938
FNUS54 KMEG 012131
FWFMEG
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
330 PM CST SUN MAR 1 2026
DISCUSSION
A STATIONARY FRONT REMAINS DRAPED OVER THE AREA, CREATING A BIT
OF A TEMPERATURE GRADIENT ALONG THE I-40 CORRIDOR THIS AFTERNOON.
IF RH VALUES DROP BELOW 30%, IT WOULD MOST LIKELY BE OVER NORTH
MS WHERE TEMPERATURES WOULD BE MORE LIKELY TO OVERPERFORM IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN CHANCES WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE TONIGHT AND
PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEK AS A SERIES OF UPPER-LEVEL SYSTEMS MOVE
THROUGH THE MIDDLE AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEYS. WETTING RAIN
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AREAWIDE STARTING WEDNESDAY FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-021000-
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-
330 PM CST SUN MAR 1 2026
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 80 60 20 10
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.23 0.07 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 5 3 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING 6 PM
PRECIP END CONTINUING 1 PM 6 AM
TEMP (24H TREND) 43 (-4) 62 (+1) 47 76
RH % (24H TREND) 98 (+24) 62 (+19) 96 50
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 6 S 11 G23
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 8 NE 4 NE 4 S 13 G23
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 400 1200
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1200 3900
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 400 1300
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 1400 4100
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 3 S 12
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 7 S 26
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 1200 15600
CATEGORY DAY 1 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 58 59
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SE 4 S 9
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SE 9 S 20
DISPERSION INDEX 30 22 13 65
STABILITY CLASS D C E D
STAGNATION INDEX 2 3 3 2
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY
CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY
CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 74 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 79 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-021000-
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-
330 PM CST SUN MAR 1 2026
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 40 40 10
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 2 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 11 AM
TEMP (24H TREND) 50 (-2) 72 (+2) 53 77
RH % (24H TREND) 88 (+14) 45 (+2) 91 48
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR S 8 G21
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 4 S 4 LGT/VAR S 9 G21
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1000 1200
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3300 3900
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1100 1300
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3500 4100
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 5 S 11
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 10 S 25
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5500 14300
CATEGORY DAY 3 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 67 60
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 7 S 9
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 15 S 20
DISPERSION INDEX 13 19 19 63
STABILITY CLASS E B F C
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 2
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
61 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 81 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM
RH 72 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TNZ001>004-019>022-021000-
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-
330 PM CST SUN MAR 1 2026
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 70 70 30 10
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.07 0.11 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 3 4 2
PRECIP BEGIN 7 PM CONTINUING 6 PM
PRECIP END CONTINUING 5 PM 6 AM
TEMP (24H TREND) 44 (-3) 63 (0) 50 75
RH % (24H TREND) 91 (+17) 62 (+20) 89 44
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) E 5 S 9 G23
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 6 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 10 G23
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 200 1200
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 800 4000
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 400 1300
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 1200 4400
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 3 S 12
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 6 S 26
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 1200 15600
CATEGORY DAY 1 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 60 61
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 7 S 9
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 16 S 20
DISPERSION INDEX 27 21 20 69
STABILITY CLASS D C E C
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 2
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
56 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY
CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND
70. MINIMUM RH 73 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
SUNDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TNZ048>055-088>091-021000-
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-
330 PM CST SUN MAR 1 2026
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 40 40 10
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 2 2 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING 6 PM
PRECIP END CONTINUING 5 PM 12 AM
TEMP (24H TREND) 49 (-1) 71 (+1) 54 78
RH % (24H TREND) 85 (+15) 48 (+10) 82 43
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SE 4 S 9 G21
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 4 S 4 LGT/VAR S 10 G21
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 800 1200
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2600 3900
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 900 1300
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3000 4300
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 4 S 11
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 8 S 25
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 3600 14300
CATEGORY DAY 2 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 65 61
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 6 S 8
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 14 S 19
DISPERSION INDEX 12 14 19 66
STABILITY CLASS D C F C
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 2
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
53 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH
72 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-021000-
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-
330 PM CST SUN MAR 1 2026
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 10
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
TEMP (24H TREND) 55 (+5) 76 (0) 55 79
RH % (24H TREND) 84 (+8) 37 (+1) 92 45
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR S 7 G20
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR S 4 LGT/VAR S 9 G20
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1200 1200
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3800 4000
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1200 1300
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4100 4200
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 6 S 10
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 14 S 23
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 7200 13000
CATEGORY DAY 3 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 67 61
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 7 S 7
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 16 S 16
DISPERSION INDEX 9 33 15 59
STABILITY CLASS E B F C
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 2
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
58 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 76 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-021000-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-
330 PM CST SUN MAR 1 2026
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 10
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1
PRECIP BEGIN 9 PM
PRECIP END 6 AM
TEMP (24H TREND) 53 (+5) 76 (-1) 55 78
RH % (24H TREND) 85 (0) 37 (+6) 89 43
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR S 7 G18
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR S 4 LGT/VAR S 8 G18
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1300 1300
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4100 4200
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1400 1400
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4500 4600
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 5 S 10
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 12 S 22
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 7000 14000
CATEGORY DAY 3 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 66 62
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 5 S 7
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 12 S 15
DISPERSION INDEX 9 30 12 55
STABILITY CLASS E B F C
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH
48 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
68 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
SHOWERS LIKELY. CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
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