350
FXUS64 KMEG 071128
AFDMEG
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
628 AM CDT TUE APR 7 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 628 AM CDT TUE APR 7 2026
- BENIGN WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK.
- A SIGNIFICANT WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED, WITH TEMPERATURES
CLIMBING FROM THE 70S EARLY IN THE WEEK INTO THE 80S BY THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND.
- MARGINAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL EXIST THROUGH MID-WEEK DUE
TO LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND DRY CONDITIONS.
DISCUSSION
(TONIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1039 PM CDT MON APR 6 2026
ANOTHER GENERALLY CALM OVERNIGHT PERIOD IS PROGRESSING ACROSS THE
MID-SOUTH WITH TEMPERATURES CURRENTLY SPANNING THE 50S. NIGHTTIME
MICROPHYSICS RGB DEPICTS CLEAR SKIES OVERHEAD, WITH SOME HIGH
CLOUDS TO OUR NORTHWEST THAT WILL BEGIN TO FUNNEL INTO THE REGION
BY SUNRISE. UNTIL THEN, TEMPERATURES WILL DIP A FEW MORE DEGREES
WITH MOST OF THE AREA FALLING BACK INTO THE MID TO UPPER 40S NEAR
SUNRISE. A RINSE AND REPEAT FORECAST IS IN STORE FOR TUESDAY, AS
A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE DEVELOPS ACROSS THE REGION. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL REACH INTO THE MID 60S TO THE NORTH, WITH
TEMPERATURES REACHING THE 70S GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE I-
40 CORRIDOR.
INTO THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND REALLY THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST, A DRY AND WARMING PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST. LREF
CLUSTERS LARGELY HAVE VERY LITTLE VARIABILITY FROM CLUSTER TO
CLUSTER, ONLY SHOWING A FOUR DEGREE HIGH TEMPERATURE SPREAD
THROUGH THE ENTIRE CURRENT FORECAST PERIOD. THIS FURTHER
HIGHLIGHTS THE CONFIDENCE IN A GENERALLY BENIGN AND DRY PATTERN
THROUGH THE REST OF THIS WEEK AND INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY CLIMB BACK TO THE MID TO UPPER 70S
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY, WITH TEMPERATURES CLIMBING FURTHER INTO
THE 80S THIS UPCOMING WEEKEND. LOOKING FURTHER OUT, CPC'S 8-
14 DAY TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION OUTLOOKS BOTH FAVOR ABOVE-
NORMAL OUTCOMES. SO WHILE THE ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL
LIKELY PERSIST WE SHOULD BEGIN TO SEE A RETURN IN PRECIPITATION
SOMETIME NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 628 AM CDT TUE APR 7 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH LIGHT EAST-NORTHEASTERLY WINDS
THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1039 PM CDT MON APR 6 2026
DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE WITH NO
MEASURABLE RAINFALL CURRENTLY IN THE FORECAST. SOME MARGINAL FIRE
DANGER CONCERNS ARE NOTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY, WITH MINRH VALUES
REMAINING IN THE 25 TO 35% RANGE. HOWEVER, 20FT WINDS WILL REMAIN
BELOW 10 MPH WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A FEW LOCATIONS ACROSS NE AR
AND THE MO BOOTHEEL TUESDAY AFTERNOON. MINRH VALUES WILL REMAIN
GENERALLY LOW THROUGH THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK, WITH VALUES
REMAINING IN THE 30 - 45% RANGE.
MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
PUBLIC FORECAST...CMA
AVIATION...JAB
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