019
FXUS64 KMEG 040422
AFDMEG
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1122 PM CDT WED JUN 3 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1122 PM CDT WED JUN 3 2026
- DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY, WITH AN ISOLATED
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON SATURDAY. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN IN THE 80S.
- GREATER RAIN CHANCES MANIFEST SUNDAY WITH DAILY BOUTS OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK.
DISCUSSION
(TONIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1122 PM CDT WED JUN 3 2026
AN OMEGA BLOCK CONTINUES TO IMPACT THE UNITED STATES, PLACING THE
MID-SOUTH UNDERNEATH HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT.
SURFACE WINDS WILL VEER SOUTH TODAY, BUT MOISTURE RETURN WILL BE
LIMITED THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK. AS SUCH, EXPECT
BEARABLE DEWPOINTS TO PERSIST WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 80S.
THE OMEGA BLOCK WILL BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN ON FRIDAY AS A SHORTWAVE
PUSHES ACROSS THE MIDWEST. AT THE SAME TIME, A CLOSED UPPER LEVEL
LOW WILL FORM NEAR THE TEXAS AND NEW MEXICO BORDER. THIS SYSTEM
WILL SUPPRESS REMAINING HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEAST ON
SATURDAY, BRINGING INCREASED RAIN CHANCES TO NORTH MISSISSIPPI.
WET AND UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL IMPACT THE MID-SOUTH FOR THE
FORESEEABLE FUTURE AS THE AFOREMENTIONED LOW STALLS JUST TO OUR
NORTH. DAILY BOUTS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED,
THOUGH NO ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS FORECAST DUE TO LACKLUSTER
SHEAR. INSTEAD, THIS PATTERN WILL FAVOR A TYPICAL SUMMERTIME
PULSE CONVECTION ENVIRONMENT. A FEW STRONG STORMS CANNOT BE RULED
OUT WITH THE MAIN CONCERNS BEING GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL.
OTHERWISE, EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO BE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL WITH
HIGHS REACHING 90 DEGREES AS EARLY AS TUESDAY.
ANS
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1122 PM CDT WED JUN 3 2026
VFR AND LIGHT SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE NEXT
30 HOURS, AS THE MIDSOUTH REMAINS UNDER THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF
A DRY MID-CONTINENTAL SURFACE PRESSURE RIDGE.
AMD NOT SKED REMAINS FOR THE JBR TAF DUE TO AN ASOS COMMS OUTAGE.
WE EXPECT A TELCO TECHNICIAN TO BE DISPATCHED THURSDAY.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1122 PM CDT WED JUN 3 2026
MINRH VALUES WILL REMAIN AROUND OR JUST BELOW 40% THROUGH FRIDAY,
HOWEVER, FIRE DANGER CONCERNS REMAIN LOW DUE TO LIGHT 20FT WINDS.
ADDITIONAL MOISTURE WILL RETURN TO THE REGION OVER THE WEEKEND
WITH DAILY WETTING RAIN CHANCES INTO NEXT WEEK.
MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
PUBLIC FORECAST...ANS
AVIATION...PWB
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