576
FXUS64 KMEG 041102
AFDMEG
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
602 AM CDT THU JUN 4 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 602 AM CDT THU JUN 4 2026
- DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY, WITH AN ISOLATED
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON SATURDAY. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN IN THE 80S.
- GREATER RAIN CHANCES MANIFEST SUNDAY WITH DAILY BOUTS OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK.
DISCUSSION
(TONIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1122 PM CDT WED JUN 3 2026
AN OMEGA BLOCK CONTINUES TO IMPACT THE UNITED STATES, PLACING THE
MID-SOUTH UNDERNEATH HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT.
SURFACE WINDS WILL VEER SOUTH TODAY, BUT MOISTURE RETURN WILL BE
LIMITED THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK. AS SUCH, EXPECT
BEARABLE DEWPOINTS TO PERSIST WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 80S.
THE OMEGA BLOCK WILL BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN ON FRIDAY AS A SHORTWAVE
PUSHES ACROSS THE MIDWEST. AT THE SAME TIME, A CLOSED UPPER LEVEL
LOW WILL FORM NEAR THE TEXAS AND NEW MEXICO BORDER. THIS SYSTEM
WILL SUPPRESS REMAINING HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEAST ON
SATURDAY, BRINGING INCREASED RAIN CHANCES TO NORTH MISSISSIPPI.
WET AND UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL IMPACT THE MID-SOUTH FOR THE
FORESEEABLE FUTURE AS THE AFOREMENTIONED LOW STALLS JUST TO OUR
NORTH. DAILY BOUTS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED,
THOUGH NO ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS FORECAST DUE TO LACKLUSTER
SHEAR. INSTEAD, THIS PATTERN WILL FAVOR A TYPICAL SUMMERTIME
PULSE CONVECTION ENVIRONMENT. A FEW STRONG STORMS CANNOT BE RULED
OUT WITH THE MAIN CONCERNS BEING GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL.
OTHERWISE, EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO BE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL WITH
HIGHS REACHING 90 DEGREES AS EARLY AS TUESDAY.
ANS
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 602 AM CDT THU JUN 4 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE NEXT 24-
30 HOURS, SUPPORTED BY HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE
SOUTHEASTERN US. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND SOUTHEASTERLY.
THE JBR TAF REMAINS AMD NOT SKED DUE TO AN ONGOING ASOS
COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGE. A TECHNICIAN IS EXPECTED TO BE DISPATCHED
TODAY.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1122 PM CDT WED JUN 3 2026
MINRH VALUES WILL REMAIN AROUND OR JUST BELOW 40% THROUGH FRIDAY,
HOWEVER, FIRE DANGER CONCERNS REMAIN LOW DUE TO LIGHT 20FT WINDS.
ADDITIONAL MOISTURE WILL RETURN TO THE REGION OVER THE WEEKEND
WITH DAILY WETTING RAIN CHANCES INTO NEXT WEEK.
MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
PUBLIC FORECAST...ANS
AVIATION...JDS
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