810  
FNUS74 KMEG 202040  
FWSMEG  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HOLLY SPRINGS FIRE...MARSHALL EMA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
340 PM CDT TUE OCT 20 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1600 CDT ON OCTOBER 20.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING  
WITH OBSERVED RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES RANGING FROM 20 TO 25  
PERCENT IN THE VICINITY OF HOLLY SPRINGS. 20-FOOT WINDS WILL  
HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO REACH UPWARDS OF 10 MPH, REMAINING OUT OF  
THE NORTHEAST. FUELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE VERY DRY, LEADING TO THE  
POTENTIAL FOR THE FIRE TO SPREAD. AFTER SUNSET RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
VALUES WILL RISE BACK ABOVE 40 PERCENT BY 8 TO 9 PM CDT ALONGSIDE  
A DECREASE IN WINDS.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
TIME (CDT) 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........3 6  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0  
TEMP............76 75  
DEWPOINT........39 39  
RH..............26 27  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.6 3.4  
MX HT MSL (KFT).4.6 3.4  
MIX HGT (KM)....1.4 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8  
TRANS WIND DIR..NE NE  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4  
5000 FT WND DIR.E E  
5000 FT WND SPD.7 7  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........5 15 24 28 20 7 11 7 10 6 14 15  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............71 65 61 59 58 57 55 54 53 51 50 50  
DEWPOINT........40 41 41 43 42 42 42 42 41 42 42 41  
RH..............32 41 48 55 55 57 61 64 64 71 74 71  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE E NE NE NE E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
MX HT MSL (KFT).0.8 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 8 8 9 8 9 9 8 8 7 7  
TRANS WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E E E E  
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3  
5000 FT WND DIR.NE NE E E E E E E E E E E  
5000 FT WND SPD.8 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 7 6 5 5  
 

 
FORECASTER...BRUSS  
REQUESTED BY...EMERGENCY MANAGER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2624184.0/MEG  
.DELDT 10/20/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL NWS.MEMPHIS@NOAA.GOV,MCEMA@MARSHALLCOMS.ORG  
 
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