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WTUS82 KMFL 090259
HLSMFL
FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-091100-
HURRICANE MILTON LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL AL142024
1059 PM EDT TUE OCT 8 2024
THIS PRODUCT COVERS SOUTH FLORIDA
**MILTON REMAINS EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE
SOUTHEAST GULF**
NEW INFORMATION
---------------
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- NONE
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A STORM SURGE WARNING, TROPICAL STORM WARNING, AND HURRICANE
WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL COLLIER COUNTY
- A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR
GLADES, HENDRY, AND INLAND COLLIER COUNTY
- A STORM SURGE WARNING AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT
FOR MAINLAND MONROE
- A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL BROWARD
COUNTY, COASTAL MIAMI DADE COUNTY, COASTAL PALM BEACH COUNTY,
FAR SOUTH MIAMI-DADE COUNTY, INLAND BROWARD COUNTY, INLAND
MIAMI-DADE COUNTY, INLAND PALM BEACH COUNTY, METRO BROWARD
COUNTY, METRO PALM BEACH COUNTY, AND METROPOLITAN MIAMI DADE
* STORM INFORMATION:
- ABOUT 430 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MIAMI FL OR ABOUT 350 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF NAPLES FL
- 23.4N 86.5W
- STORM INTENSITY 160 MPH
- MOVEMENT NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 12 MPH
SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
HURRICANE MILTON REMAINS A MAJOR HURRICANE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN
GULF OF MEXICO. IT IS FORECAST TO REMAIN AT OR NEAR MAJOR HURRICANE
STRENGTH AS IT APPROACHES THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA LATE WEDNESDAY.
THE FOLLOWING ARE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS OF CONCERN WITH HURRICANE MILTON
FOR SOUTH FLORIDA:
* STORM SURGE - THERE IS AN INCREASING RISK OF DANGEROUS STORM SURGE
FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA GULF COAST. 5 TO 8 FEET OF STORM SURGE
OVER PORTIONS OF COASTAL COLLIER COUNTY AND 3 TO 5 FEET OVER PORTIONS
OF MAINLAND MONROE COUNTY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY.
* WIND - THE HIGHEST PROBABILITIES FOR SUSTAINED HURRICANE AND
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BE ALONG THE GULF COAST OF SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA, INCLUDING GLADES, HENDRY AND COLLIER COUNTIES, AS WELL AS THE
ADJACENT GULF WATERS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
THE REST OF SOUTH FLORIDA, INCLUDING THE ATLANTIC COAST AND ADJACENT
ATLANTIC WATERS, ESPECIALLY IN CONJUNCTION WITH MILTON'S RAINBANDS.
THE PEAK OF THE WINDS WILL GENERALLY OCCUR ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY.
* TORNADOES - SEVERAL TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING, WITH THE HIGHEST CHANCES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PENINSULA.
* RAINFALL - HEAVY RAINFALL LEADING TO POSSIBLE FLOODING IS EXPECTED
ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH THURSDAY. 1 TO 3 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS TIME PERIOD WITH HIGHEST TOTALS
ACROSS COASTAL SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. ISOLATED LOCATIONS COULD EXPERIENCE
UP TO 5 INCHES WITH THE HEAVIER RAIN. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE ENTIRE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. FLASH FLOODING CANNOT BE
RULED OUT.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* SURGE:
PROTECT AGAINST LIFE-THREATENING SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE EXTENSIVE
IMPACTS ACROSS COASTAL SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS
AREA INCLUDE:
- LARGE AREAS OF DEEP INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING
ACCENTUATED BY BATTERING WAVES. STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS,
WITH SEVERAL WASHING AWAY. DAMAGE COMPOUNDED BY FLOATING
DEBRIS. LOCATIONS MAY BE UNINHABITABLE FOR AN EXTENDED PERIOD.
- LARGE SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ESCAPE ROUTES AND SECONDARY ROADS
WASHED OUT OR SEVERELY FLOODED. FLOOD CONTROL SYSTEMS AND
BARRIERS MAY BECOME STRESSED.
- SEVERE BEACH EROSION WITH SIGNIFICANT DUNE LOSS.
- MAJOR DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, AND PIERS. MANY
SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS, ESPECIALLY IN
UNPROTECTED ANCHORAGES WITH SOME LIFTED ONSHORE AND STRANDED.
ALSO, PROTECT AGAINST LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE
SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ACROSS FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE COUNTY ALONG FLORIDA
BAY.
* WIND:
PROTECT AGAINST LIFE-THREATENING WIND HAVING POSSIBLE EXTENSIVE
IMPACTS ACROSS SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS AREA
INCLUDE:
- CONSIDERABLE ROOF DAMAGE TO STURDY BUILDINGS, WITH SOME HAVING
WINDOW, DOOR, AND GARAGE DOOR FAILURES LEADING TO STRUCTURAL
DAMAGE. MOBILE HOMES SEVERELY DAMAGED, WITH SOME DESTROYED.
DAMAGE ACCENTUATED BY AIRBORNE PROJECTILES. LOCATIONS MAY BE
UNINHABITABLE FOR WEEKS.
- MANY LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED ALONG WITH FENCES AND
ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER.
- SOME ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN URBAN
OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. SEVERAL BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS, AND
ACCESS ROUTES IMPASSABLE.
- LARGE AREAS WITH POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES.
ALSO, PROTECT AGAINST DANGEROUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED TO
SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ACROSS THE REST OF SOUTH FLORIDA.
* TORNADOES:
PROTECT AGAINST A DANGEROUS TORNADO EVENT HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA. POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
- THE OCCURRENCE OF SCATTERED TORNADOES CAN HINDER THE EXECUTION
OF EMERGENCY PLANS DURING TROPICAL EVENTS.
- SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE TORNADO DAMAGE WITH A FEW SPOTS
OF CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE, POWER LOSS, AND COMMUNICATIONS FAILURES.
- LOCATIONS COULD REALIZE ROOFS TORN OFF FRAME HOUSES, MOBILE
HOMES DEMOLISHED, BOXCARS OVERTURNED, LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR
UPROOTED, VEHICLES TUMBLED, AND SMALL BOATS TOSSED ABOUT.
DANGEROUS PROJECTILES CAN ADD TO THE TOLL.
* FLOODING RAIN:
PROTECT AGAINST DANGEROUS RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA. POTENTIAL
IMPACTS INCLUDE:
- MODERATE RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT SEVERAL EVACUATIONS AND
RESCUES.
- DITCHES AND CANALS MAY QUICKLY BECOME SWOLLEN WITH SWIFT
CURRENTS AND OVERSPILL THEIR BANKS IN A FEW PLACES, ESPECIALLY
IN USUALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS.
- FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER SOME STRUCTURES OR WEAKEN FOUNDATIONS.
SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE EXPANDED AREAS OF RAPID
INUNDATION AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS. SOME STREETS AND PARKING LOTS TAKE ON MOVING WATER AS
STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS OVERFLOW. DRIVING CONDITIONS
BECOME HAZARDOUS. SOME ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
* EVACUATIONS:
FOLLOW THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS.
* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
NOW IS THE TIME TO COMPLETE ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY IN ACCORDANCE WITH YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN. ENSURE YOU ARE IN A
SAFE LOCATION BEFORE THE ONSET OF STRONG WINDS OR POSSIBLE FLOODING.
IF YOU ARE RELOCATING TO SAFE SHELTER, LEAVE AS EARLY AS POSSIBLE.
ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. MANY ROADS AND BRIDGES
WILL BE CLOSED ONCE STRONG WINDS ARRIVE. CHECK THE LATEST WEATHER
FORECAST BEFORE DEPARTING AND DRIVE WITH CAUTION.
STORM SURGE IS THE LEADING KILLER ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORMS AND
HURRICANES! MAKE SURE YOU ARE IN A SAFE AREA AWAY FROM THE SURGE
ZONE. EVEN IF YOU ARE NOT IN A SURGE-PRONE AREA, YOU COULD FIND
YOURSELF CUTOFF BY FLOOD WATERS DURING AND AFTER THE STORM. HEED
EVACUATION ORDERS ISSUED BY THE LOCAL AUTHORITIES.
IF A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA, BE READY TO SHELTER
QUICKLY, PREFERABLY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND IN AN INTERIOR ROOM NOT
PRONE TO FLOODING. IF DRIVING, SCAN THE ROADSIDE FOR QUICK SHELTER
OPTIONS.
CLOSELY MONITOR WEATHER.GOV, NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. BE READY TO ADAPT TO POSSIBLE CHANGES
TO THE FORECAST. ENSURE YOU HAVE MULTIPLE WAYS TO RECEIVE WEATHER
WARNINGS.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG
NEXT UPDATE
-----------
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MIAMI FL AROUND 6 AM EDT, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
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