694
WTUS82 KMFL 092108
HLSMFL
FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-100600-
HURRICANE MILTON LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL AL142024
508 PM EDT WED OCT 9 2024
THIS PRODUCT COVERS SOUTH FLORIDA
**MAJOR HURRICANE MILTON TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA
TONIGHT**
NEW INFORMATION
---------------
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- THE HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR COASTAL COLLIER
COUNTY AND INLAND COLLIER COUNTY
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR
GLADES AND HENDRY
- A STORM SURGE WARNING AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT
FOR COASTAL COLLIER COUNTY AND MAINLAND MONROE
- A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL BROWARD
COUNTY, COASTAL MIAMI DADE COUNTY, COASTAL PALM BEACH COUNTY,
FAR SOUTH MIAMI-DADE COUNTY, INLAND BROWARD COUNTY, INLAND
COLLIER COUNTY, INLAND MIAMI-DADE COUNTY, INLAND PALM BEACH
COUNTY, METRO BROWARD COUNTY, METRO PALM BEACH COUNTY, AND
METROPOLITAN MIAMI DADE
* STORM INFORMATION:
- ABOUT 210 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF MIAMI FL OR ABOUT 110 MILES
WEST-NORTHWEST OF NAPLES FL
- 26.9N 83.4W
- STORM INTENSITY 120 MPH
- MOVEMENT NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 17 MPH
SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
HURRICANE MILTON REMAINS A MAJOR HURRICANE AND IS NOW OVER THE
EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. IT IS FORECAST TO REMAIN AT MAJOR HURRICANE
STRENGTH AS IT APPROACHES THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA LATER TONIGHT,
MAKING LANDFALL SOMEWHERE BETWEEN SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF TAMPA BAY AND
SARASOTA.
THE FOLLOWING ARE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS OF CONCERN WITH HURRICANE MILTON
FOR SOUTH FLORIDA:
* STORM SURGE - THERE IS AN INCREASING RISK OF DANGEROUS STORM SURGE
FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA GULF COAST. 5 TO 8 FEET OF STORM SURGE
OVER PORTIONS OF COASTAL COLLIER COUNTY AND 3 TO 5 FEET OVER PORTIONS
OF MAINLAND MONROE COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY.
* WIND - THE HIGHEST PROBABILITIES FOR SUSTAINED HURRICANE AND
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BE ALONG THE GULF COAST OF SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA, INCLUDING GLADES, HENDRY AND COLLIER COUNTIES, AS WELL AS THE
ADJACENT GULF WATERS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
THE REST OF SOUTH FLORIDA, INCLUDING THE ATLANTIC COAST AND ADJACENT
ATLANTIC WATERS, ESPECIALLY IN CONJUNCTION WITH MILTON'S RAINBANDS.
THE PEAK OF THE WINDS WILL GENERALLY OCCUR TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY.
* TORNADOES - SEVERAL TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING, WITH THE HIGHEST CHANCES ACROSS INTERIOR AND
SOUTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.
* RAINFALL - HEAVY RAINFALL LEADING TO POSSIBLE FLOODING IS EXPECTED
ACROSS SOUTHWEST FLORIDA THROUGH THURSDAY. 1 TO 3 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS TIME PERIOD WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER
AMOUNTS. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR HENDRY, GLADES, AND COLLIER
COUNTIES THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING CANNOT BE
RULED OUT IN THESE AREAS.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* WIND:
POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THE MAIN WIND EVENT ARE NOW UNFOLDING ACROSS
INTERIOR AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. REMAIN WELL SHELTERED FROM DANGEROUS
WINDS. IF REALIZED, THESE IMPACTS INCLUDE:
- SOME DAMAGE TO ROOFING AND SIDING MATERIALS, ALONG WITH DAMAGE
TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, AND SHEDS. A FEW BUILDINGS
EXPERIENCING WINDOW, DOOR, AND GARAGE DOOR FAILURES. MOBILE
HOMES DAMAGED, ESPECIALLY IF UNANCHORED. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT
OBJECTS BECOME DANGEROUS PROJECTILES.
- SEVERAL LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED, BUT WITH GREATER
NUMBERS IN PLACES WHERE TREES ARE SHALLOW ROOTED. SEVERAL
FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER.
- SOME ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN URBAN
OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. A FEW BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS, AND ACCESS
ROUTES IMPASSABLE.
- SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES, BUT MORE PREVALENT
IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THE MAIN WIND EVENT ARE ALSO NOW UNFOLDING
ACROSS INTERIOR AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA.
* SURGE:
PROTECT AGAINST LIFE-THREATENING SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE EXTENSIVE
IMPACTS ACROSS COASTAL SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS
AREA INCLUDE:
- LARGE AREAS OF DEEP INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING
ACCENTUATED BY BATTERING WAVES. STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS,
WITH SEVERAL WASHING AWAY. DAMAGE COMPOUNDED BY FLOATING
DEBRIS. LOCATIONS MAY BE UNINHABITABLE FOR AN EXTENDED PERIOD.
- LARGE SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ESCAPE ROUTES AND SECONDARY ROADS
WASHED OUT OR SEVERELY FLOODED. FLOOD CONTROL SYSTEMS AND
BARRIERS MAY BECOME STRESSED.
- SEVERE BEACH EROSION WITH SIGNIFICANT DUNE LOSS.
- MAJOR DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, AND PIERS. MANY
SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS, ESPECIALLY IN
UNPROTECTED ANCHORAGES WITH SOME LIFTED ONSHORE AND STRANDED.
ALSO, PROTECT AGAINST LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE
SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ACROSS FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE COUNTY ALONG FLORIDA
BAY.
* FLOODING RAIN:
PROTECT AGAINST DANGEROUS RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. POTENTIAL
IMPACTS INCLUDE:
- MODERATE RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT SEVERAL EVACUATIONS AND
RESCUES.
- DITCHES AND CANALS MAY QUICKLY BECOME SWOLLEN WITH SWIFT
CURRENTS AND OVERSPILL THEIR BANKS IN A FEW PLACES, ESPECIALLY
IN USUALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS.
- FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER SOME STRUCTURES OR WEAKEN FOUNDATIONS.
SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE EXPANDED AREAS OF RAPID
INUNDATION AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS. SOME STREETS AND PARKING LOTS TAKE ON MOVING WATER AS
STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS OVERFLOW. DRIVING CONDITIONS
BECOME HAZARDOUS. SOME ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES.
PROTECT AGAINST LOCALLY HAZARDOUS RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
LIMITED IMPACTS ACROSS THE REST OF SOUTH FLORIDA.
* TORNADOES:
POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM TORNADOES ARE STILL UNFOLDING ACROSS INTERIOR
AND AROUND THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE AREA. REMAIN WELL BRACED AGAINST A
PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS TORNADOES, WHICH MAY HAVE EXTENSIVE IMPACTS. IF
REALIZED, THESE IMPACTS INCLUDE:
- THE OCCURRENCE OF NUMEROUS TORNADOES CAN GREATLY HINDER THE
EXECUTION OF EMERGENCY PLANS DURING TROPICAL EVENTS.
- MANY PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE TORNADO DAMAGE WITH A FEW SPOTS OF
IMMENSE DESTRUCTION, POWER LOSS, AND COMMUNICATIONS FAILURES.
- LOCATIONS COULD REALIZE ROOF AND WALL FAILURES OF STURDY
BUILDINGS WITH SOME BEING LEVELED, STRUCTURES UPON WEAK
FOUNDATIONS BLOWN AWAY, MOBILE HOMES OBLITERATED, LARGE TREES
TWISTED AND SNAPPED WITH FORESTED TREES UPROOTED, VEHICLES LIFTED
OFF THE GROUND AND THROWN, AND SMALL BOATS DESTROYED. LARGE AND
DEADLY PROJECTILES CAN ADD TO THE TOLL.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
* EVACUATIONS:
FOLLOW THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS.
* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
NOW IS THE TIME TO STAY INSIDE AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS. LISTEN FOR
UPDATES AND BE READY IN CASE YOU LOSE ELECTRICAL POWER. KEEP A BATTERY-
POWERED RADIO, CHARGED CELL PHONE AND FLASHLIGHT HANDY.
KEEP YOUR CELL PHONE CHARGED AND IN POWER-SAVING MODE. IF YOU LOSE
POWER, USE IT SPARINGLY AND MAINLY FOR PERSONAL EMERGENCIES AND
CHECK-INS.
QUICKLY MOVE TO THE SAFEST PLACE WITHIN YOUR SHELTER IF IT BEGINS TO
FAIL, PREFERABLY AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR AS LONG AS
FLOODING IS NOT A CONCERN.
IF YOU ARE PRONE TO FLOODING OR IN AN AREA UNDER A STORM SURGE WATCH
OR WARNING, BE PREPARED FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF A QUICK AND DRAMATIC
RISE IN WATER LEVELS.
IF A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA, QUICKLY MOVE TO THE
SAFEST PLACE WITHIN YOUR SHELTER. PROTECT YOUR HEAD AND BODY.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG
NEXT UPDATE
-----------
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MIAMI FL AROUND 12 AM EDT, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
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