896
FXUS62 KMFL 201740
AFDMFL
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1240 PM EST THU FEB 20 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, BEACHES
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1230 PM EST THU FEB 20 2025
MODELS DEPICT A FRONTAL BOUNDARY BECOMING SEMI-STATIONARY OVER
THE FLORIDA KEYS, WITH A DRIER AIR MASS FOLLOWING IN ITS WAKE.
THEREFORE, DRIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR SOFLO THROUGH THE
REST OF TODAY, EXCEPT FOR PERIODS OF CLOUDY SKIES. CAN'T RULE OUT
A FEW LIGHT, QUICK SHOWERS, BUT CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN GERNALLY
BENIGN ACROSS THE AREA.
TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD RANGE FROM THE LOW TO MID 70S
AROUND THE LAKE REGION, AND IN THE UPPER 70S TO AROUND 80 OVER
THE FAR SOUTHERN PENINSULA.
DRIER AND COOLER AIR FILTERS IN TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY AS STRONG
HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR NORTH BUILDS IN. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE
EXPECTED OVER THE INTERIOR AND SW FL, WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES
ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID
TO UPPER 40S WEST OF THE LAKE, TO MID AND UPPER 50S ACROSS THE
EAST COAST METRO. THE PLEASANT WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY
WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND HIGHS ONLY REACHING THE LOW TO MID
70S.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 139 AM EST THU FEB 20 2025
THE WEEKEND STARTS OFF QUIET UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE
BUT ATTENTION WILL TURN TO A DISTURBANCE FORMING IN THE GULF OF
AMERICA THAT WILL EVENTUALLY IMPACT SOUTH FL SUNDAY INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK. THERE REMAINS A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY IN BOTH TIMING AND
RAINFALL AMOUNTS. BECAUSE OF THIS, ENSEMBLE SOLUTIONS SHOW A LARGE
SPREAD WITH ANYWHERE FROM A QUARTER INCH OR LESS OF RAINFALL, TO
SEVERAL INCHES ON THE HIGHER END OF SOLUTIONS. WILL CONTINUE TO
REMAIN CLOSE TO THE CURRENT NBM SOLUTION WHICH HAS CHANCE POPS
FROM SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. ONCE THE SYSTEM MOVES OFF TO THE
EAST, HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK INTO THE REGION RESULTING IN
DRIER CONDITIONS FOR MID WEEK.
TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL BE AT OR
SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL, WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE LOW TO MID 70S,
AND LOWS IN THE 50S/60S.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1230 PM EST THU FEB 20 2025
SOME MVFR CIGS MAY STILL AFFECT THE TERMINALS THROUGH AROUND 21Z.
OTHERWISE, GENERALLY VFR SHOULD PREVAIL DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
NNW WINDS IN THE 10-12 KTS RANGE ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL DURING
THE FORECAST PERIOD, BECOMING GUSTY ON FRIDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1230 PM EST THU FEB 20 2025
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY HAS PUSHED INTO THE FLORIDA KEYS AND IS
BECOMING STATIONARY, BRINGING INCREASING NNW FLOW ACROSS
THE COASTAL WATERS TODAY. HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND PERSIST AT LEAST THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING,
BUT CAUTIONARY CONDITIONS MAY LINGER IN THE ATLANTIC WATERS
THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEKEND.
BEACHES
ISSUED AT 1230 PM EST THU FEB 20 2025
THE RIP CURRENT RISK WILL REMAIN ELEVATED OVER THE ATLANTIC
WATERS TODAY, AND EXPECTED TO BECOME HIGH FRIDAY AND INTO THE
WEEKEND AS ROBUST ONSHORE FLOW RETURNS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MIAMI 80 58 73 64 / 20 0 0 0
WEST KENDALL 82 58 75 61 / 20 0 0 0
OPA-LOCKA 81 58 75 62 / 20 0 0 0
HOMESTEAD 82 59 75 63 / 20 10 0 0
FORT LAUDERDALE 79 58 72 63 / 10 0 0 0
N FT LAUDERDALE 78 57 72 63 / 10 0 0 0
PEMBROKE PINES 82 58 76 63 / 20 0 0 0
WEST PALM BEACH 76 56 71 61 / 10 0 0 0
BOCA RATON 78 57 72 62 / 10 0 0 0
NAPLES 76 51 74 58 / 10 0 0 0
MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING FOR FLZ168-172-173.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY
FOR AMZ650-651-670-671.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM EST FRIDAY
FOR GMZ656-657.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM EST FRIDAY FOR GMZ676.
SHORT TERM...17/REDMAN
AVIATION/MARINE/BEACHES...17
LONG TERM...REDMAN
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page