186
FXUS62 KMFL 252305
AFDMFL
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
705 PM EDT FRI APR 25 2025
..NEW AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1150 AM EDT FRI APR 25 2025
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST WILL BE IN CONTROL
TODAY AND SATURDAY. OVERALL DRY WEATHER WILL PERSIST ACROSS SOUTH
FL, HOWEVER A RIBBON OF ENHANCED MOISTURE ACROSS THE FL STRAITS DUE
TO A WEAK IMPULSE WILL TOUCH OFF A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS OVER THE FAR
SOUTHERN PENINSULA. EASTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE BOTH DAYS WITH
AFTERNOON GUSTS OF 20-25 MPH. AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPS TODAY AND
SATURDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE LOW TO MID 80S ACROSS THE EAST COAST
METRO, TO UPPER 80S AND LOWER 90S OVER SW FL. LOW TEMPS TONIGHT WILL
RANGE FROM THE LOWER 60S OVER INLAND SW FL TO LOWER 70S CLOSER TO
THE ATLANTIC COAST.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 317 PM EDT FRI APR 25 2025
GENERALLY SPEAKING, DEEP LAYER RIDGING WITH WARM TEMPERATURES AND
LOW RAIN CHANCES WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD.
FOR SOME OF THE FINER DETAILS, AS THE RIDGE AXIS SHIFTS EASTWARD
AN UPPER-LEVEL SHORTWAVE WILL ROTATE AROUND IT, DROPPING THROUGH
THE SOUTHEAST MONDAY - TUES. THIS WAVE WILL BRING INCREASED PWATS
AND FORCING TO THE REGION TO COMBINE WITH THE SEABREEZES TO RESULT
IN OUR BEST CHANCE OF RAIN IN RECENT MEMORY AND IN THE NEAR
FUTURE. LOOKS LIKE THE BEST RAIN CHANCES WILL BE MONDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING, WITH SLIGHTLY LOWER CHANCES ON TUESDAY. FROM
LATE TUESDAY ONWARD DRIER AIR WILL TAKE OVER ONCE AGAIN WITH
LITTLE TO NO RAIN EXPECTED.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 700 PM EDT FRI APR 25 2025
VFR CONDITIONS AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH THE 00Z TAF PERIOD. LIGHT,
EASTERLY FLOW OVERNIGHT. WINDS STRENGTHEN, 10 TO 12KT, AROUND
16-18Z. GULF BREEZE AT 18Z BRINGS WIND SHIFT TO SW AT KAPF. EASTERLY
WIND FLOW CONTINUES AT ALL EAST COAST TAF SITES.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1150 AM EDT FRI APR 25 2025
GENTLE TO MODERATE EASTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
SEAS GENERALLY 1-3 FT IN THE ATLANTIC AND 2 FT OR LESS IN THE GULF.
OCCASIONAL SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE OVER BOTH THE SOUTHERN ATLANTIC AND
GULF WATERS.
BEACHES
ISSUED AT 1150 AM EDT FRI APR 25 2025
PERSISTENT EASTERLY ONSHORE FLOW WILL KEEP A HIGH RISK OF RIP
CURRENTS IN PLACE THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY, WITH SOME IMPROVEMENT
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MIAMI 73 84 71 85 / 0 0 0 0
WEST KENDALL 69 86 67 88 / 0 0 0 0
OPA-LOCKA 71 85 70 87 / 0 0 0 0
HOMESTEAD 71 83 70 85 / 0 0 0 0
FORT LAUDERDALE 73 81 71 83 / 0 0 0 0
N FT LAUDERDALE 72 82 70 84 / 0 0 0 0
PEMBROKE PINES 73 86 72 89 / 0 0 0 0
WEST PALM BEACH 71 83 69 85 / 0 0 0 0
BOCA RATON 71 84 69 86 / 0 0 0 0
NAPLES 66 87 67 87 / 0 0 0 0
MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR FLZ168-172-
173.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...CMF
LONG TERM....HARRIGAN
AVIATION...JS
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