885
FXUS62 KMFL 260510
AFDMFL
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
110 AM EDT SAT APR 26 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, BEACHES
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 107 AM EDT SAT APR 26 2025
A PAIR OF HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEMS, ONE OVER THE NE GULF AND ANOTHER
OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WILL KEEP THINGS PRIMARILY DRY THIS
WEEKEND. A WEAK MID/UPPER LEVEL IMPULSE ACROSS THE CARRIBEAN WILL
CONTINUE TO TOUCH OFF SOME OCCASIONAL SHOWERS TO OUR SOUTH ACROSS
THE FL STRAITS AND AT TIMES OVER THE FAR SOUTHERN ATLANTIC WATERS. A
FEW SHOWERS MAY TRY TO BRUSH THE SE FL COAST BUT POPS WILL REMAIN
UNDER 10%. ON SUNDAY SOME OF THE HI-RES GUIDANCE SUGGEST A WEAK
SURFACE TROUGH WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE SPINE OF FL, WHICH COULD TOUCH
OFF A FEW LATE DAY SHOWERS AROUND THE LAKE REGION.
HIGH TEMPS ACROSS THE EAST COAST METRO WILL CONTINUE TO BE AROUND
NORMAL THIS WEEKEND WITH LOW TO MID 80S EXPECTED, WHILE INLAND AND
SW FL WILL BE QUITE TOASTY WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S.
LOW TEMPS TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER 60S INLAND TO AROUND 70
CLOSE TO THE ATLANTIC COAST.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 317 PM EDT FRI APR 25 2025
GENERALLY SPEAKING, DEEP LAYER RIDGING WITH WARM TEMPERATURES AND
LOW RAIN CHANCES WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD.
FOR SOME OF THE FINER DETAILS, AS THE RIDGE AXIS SHIFTS EASTWARD
AN UPPER-LEVEL SHORTWAVE WILL ROTATE AROUND IT, DROPPING THROUGH
THE SOUTHEAST MONDAY - TUES. THIS WAVE WILL BRING INCREASED PWATS
AND FORCING TO THE REGION TO COMBINE WITH THE SEABREEZES TO RESULT
IN OUR BEST CHANCE OF RAIN IN RECENT MEMORY AND IN THE NEAR
FUTURE. LOOKS LIKE THE BEST RAIN CHANCES WILL BE MONDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING, WITH SLIGHTLY LOWER CHANCES ON TUESDAY. FROM
LATE TUESDAY ONWARD DRIER AIR WILL TAKE OVER ONCE AGAIN WITH
LITTLE TO NO RAIN EXPECTED.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 107 AM EDT SAT APR 26 2025
MAINLY VFR THROUGH THE 06Z TAF PERIOD. EASTERLY WINDS 5-10 KTS
THIS MORNING INCREASING SLIGHTLY TO 10-15 KTS AFTER 16Z, WITH AN
AFTERNOON GULF BREEZE EXPECTED AT APF.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 107 AM EDT SAT APR 26 2025
GENTLE TO MODERATE EASTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND ACROSS
THE ATLANTIC WATERS, WITH A LIGHT TO GENTLE WESTERLY BREEZE
DEVELOPING EACH AFTERNOON ACROSS THE GULF WATERS. SEAS GENERALLY 1-2
FT IN THE ATLANTIC AND A FOOT OR LESS IN THE GULF.
BEACHES
ISSUED AT 107 AM EDT SAT APR 26 2025
A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE TODAY FOR THE ATLANTIC
BEACHES. THE RISK LESSENS ON SUNDAY AS EASTERLY FLOW WEAKENS,
HOWEVER AN ELEVATED RISK WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE PALM BEACHES.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MIAMI 84 70 85 71 / 10 0 0 0
WEST KENDALL 85 67 87 68 / 10 0 0 0
OPA-LOCKA 85 70 87 71 / 0 0 0 0
HOMESTEAD 84 70 85 70 / 10 0 0 0
FORT LAUDERDALE 83 70 83 72 / 0 0 0 0
N FT LAUDERDALE 83 70 84 71 / 0 0 0 0
PEMBROKE PINES 87 71 89 72 / 0 0 0 0
WEST PALM BEACH 83 68 85 69 / 0 0 0 0
BOCA RATON 84 69 85 71 / 0 0 0 0
NAPLES 87 68 87 69 / 0 0 10 0
MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR FLZ168-172-173.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...CMF
LONG TERM....HARRIGAN
AVIATION...CMF
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