319
FXUS62 KMFL 270500
AFDMFL
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
100 AM EDT SUN APR 27 2025
..NEW AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1232 PM EDT SAT APR 26 2025
A PAIR OF HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEMS, ONE OVER THE NE GULF AND ANOTHER
OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WILL KEEP THINGS PRIMARILY DRY THIS
WEEKEND. A WEAK MID/UPPER LEVEL IMPULSE ACROSS THE CARRIBEAN WILL
CONTINUE TO TOUCH OFF SOME OCCASIONAL SHOWERS TO OUR SOUTH ACROSS
THE FL STRAITS AND AT TIMES OVER THE FAR SOUTHERN ATLANTIC WATERS. A
FEW SHOWERS MAY TRY TO BRUSH THE SE FL COAST BUT POPS WILL REMAIN
UNDER 10%. ON SUNDAY SOME OF THE HI-RES GUIDANCE SUGGEST A WEAK
SURFACE TROUGH WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE SPINE OF FL, WHICH COULD TOUCH
OFF A FEW LATE DAY SHOWERS AROUND THE LAKE REGION.
HIGH TEMPS ACROSS THE EAST COAST METRO WILL CONTINUE TO BE AROUND
NORMAL THIS WEEKEND WITH LOW TO MID 80S EXPECTED, WHILE INLAND AND
SW FL WILL BE QUITE TOASTY WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S.
LOW TEMPS TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER 60S INLAND TO AROUND 70
CLOSE TO THE ATLANTIC COAST.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 326 PM EDT SAT APR 26 2025
MOSTLY BENIGN CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH AN
AMPLIFYING DEEP-LAYER RIDGE MOVING INTO THE SOUTHEAST. ENSEMBLES
STILL INDICATE AN UPPER-LEVEL SHORTWAVE RIDING OVER AND DOWN THE
EAST SIDE OF THE RIDGE AXIS MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. WHILE THERE'S
STILL PLACEMENT AND INTENSITY DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE ENSEMBLE
MEMBERS, IT SEEMS THAT THERE'LL AT LEAST BE AN INCREASE IN DEEP
LAYER MOISTURE THAT COULD FUEL THE SEABREEZE IN THE AFTERNOON
MONDAY (ESPECIALLY ON THE WEST COAST). ON TUESDAY, A LARGER AND
DEEPER TROUGH MOVING INTO THE NW ATLANTIC AND EXPANDING SW WILL
FORCE A DECAYING BACK-DOOR FRONT ACROSS FLORIDA. SLIGHTLY LESS
COVERAGE OF STORMS THAN ON MONDAY IS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY, BUT
THESE WILL BE THE TWO BEST CHANCES IN THE COMING WEEK FOR RAIN AS
WE DRY OUT ONCE AGAIN BEHIND THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONT INTO THE END
OF THE WEEK. UNDER THE EASTERLY FLOW, EXPECT HIGHS TO BE A BIT
COOLER ON THE EAST COAST THAN THE WEST, WITH MID TO UPPER 80S EAST
AND LOW 90S WEST.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1259 AM EDT SUN APR 27 2025
MAINLY VFR THROUGH THE 06Z TAF PERIOD. LIGHT EASTERLY WINDS AROUND
5 KTS EARLY THIS MORNING BECOMING E/SE 10-15 KTS AFTER 16Z, WITH A
WESTERLY GULF BREEZE DEVELOPING AT APF THIS AFTERNOON.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1232 PM EDT SAT APR 26 2025
GENTLE TO MODERATE EASTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND ACROSS
THE ATLANTIC WATERS, WITH A LIGHT TO GENTLE WESTERLY BREEZE
DEVELOPING EACH AFTERNOON ACROSS THE GULF WATERS. SEAS GENERALLY 1-2
FT IN THE ATLANTIC AND A FOOT OR LESS IN THE GULF.
BEACHES
ISSUED AT 1232 PM EDT SAT APR 26 2025
A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE TODAY FOR THE ATLANTIC
BEACHES. THE RISK LESSENS ON SUNDAY AS EASTERLY FLOW WEAKENS,
HOWEVER AN ELEVATED RISK WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE PALM BEACHES.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MIAMI 73 84 74 83 / 0 0 10 10
WEST KENDALL 70 86 70 85 / 0 0 0 10
OPA-LOCKA 72 86 72 85 / 0 0 10 10
HOMESTEAD 73 84 72 83 / 0 0 10 10
FORT LAUDERDALE 73 82 73 80 / 0 0 10 10
N FT LAUDERDALE 72 83 73 81 / 0 10 10 10
PEMBROKE PINES 75 87 74 86 / 0 0 10 10
WEST PALM BEACH 71 84 72 82 / 0 10 10 10
BOCA RATON 72 85 72 83 / 0 10 10 10
NAPLES 70 88 69 88 / 10 10 10 20
MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...CMF
LONG TERM....HARRIGAN
AVIATION...CMF
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