874
FXUS62 KMFL 182333
AFDMFL
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
733 PM EDT WED JUN 18 2025
..NEW AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 201 PM EDT WED JUN 18 2025
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WATERS AND
EXTEND WESTWARD INTO THE FLORIDA PENINSULA, AS A MID TO UPPER LEVEL
LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN BAHAMAS MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD INTO EASTERN
CUBA. THIS WILL KEEP AN EASTERLY WIND FLOW OVER SOUTH FLORIDA
THROUGH THURSDAY ALLOWING FOR THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE TO DEVELOP
THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN ON THURSDAY PUSHING ACROSS THE REGION.
THEREFORE, THE BEST COVERAGE OF THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BE OVER THE INTERIOR/WEST COAST METRO AREAS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING
AND AGAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS WHERE THE SEA BREEZES
COLLIDE. EAST COAST METRO AREAS COULD ALSO SEE A FEW SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING DUE TO THE EASTERLY
WIND FLOW ALLOWING ANY ACTIVITY OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS TO WORK
WESTWARD INTO THESE AREAS.
LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE 70S OVER MOST AREAS EXCEPT AROUND 80
OVER THE EAST COAST METRO AREAS. HIGHS ON THURSDAY WILL BE IN THE
LOWER TO MID 90S OVER MOST AREAS EXCEPT AROUND 90 OVER THE EAST
COAST METRO AREAS. HEAT INDICES WILL BE AROUND 100 OVER SOUTH
FLORIDA ON THURSDAY.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 201 PM EDT WED JUN 18 2025
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC WATERS EXTENDING WESTWARD INTO THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. THE
MID TO UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE CUBA REGION WILL ALSO DISSIPATE THIS
WEEKEND. THIS WEATHER PATTERN WILL KEEP AN EASTERLY WIND FLOW OVER
SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK ALLOWING FOR THE EAST COAST
SEA BREEZE TO PUSH ACROSS THE REGION EACH DAY. THEREFORE, SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE
INTERIOR/WEST COAST METRO AREAS EACH AFTERNOON ESPECIALLY WHERE THE
EAST AND WEST COAST SEA BREEZES COLLIDE. THE EAST COAST METRO AREAS
WILL ALSO SEE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY
IN THE LATE NIGHT AND MORNING HOURS.
HIGHS WILL BE IN THE LOWER TO MID 90S OVER MOST AREAS EACH DAY
EXCEPT AROUND 90 EAST COAST METRO AREAS. HEAT INDICES WILL BE IN THE
100 TO 105 RANGE OVER SOUTH FLORIDA EACH DAY. LOWS EACH NIGHT WILL
BE IN THE 70S EXCEPT AROUND 80 OVER THE EAST COAST METRO AREAS.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 731 PM EDT WED JUN 18 2025
VFR PREVAILS FOR THE 00Z TAF PERIOD. VCSH DEVELOPS OVERNIGHT FOR
THE EAST COAST BUT WILL BE ISOLATED. BY 16-17Z THURSDAY, VCSH
PUSHES WESTWARD TOWARDS THE INTERIOR AND GULF COAST, WHERE VCSH
BEGINS FOR APF. WINDS WILL REMAIN BREEZY OUT OF THE SE AROUND
10-12 KTS AND GUSTING TO 20 KTS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 201 PM EDT WED JUN 18 2025
WINDS WILL BE MAINLY EAST SOUTHEAST OVER THE LOCAL WATERS OF SOUTH
FLORIDA THROUGH THIS WEEKEND WITH SPEEDS OF 10 TO 15 KNOTS. THIS
WILL KEEP THE SEAS AT 2 FEET OR LESS IN THE ATLANTIC AND GULF
WATERS OF SOUTH FLORIDA. THEREFORE, BOATING CONDITIONS LOOKS GOOD
INTO THIS WEEKEND OUTSIDE OF ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS.
BEACHES
ISSUED AT 201 PM EDT WED JUN 18 2025
MODERATE EASTERLY WINDS WILL REMAIN OVER SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A MODERATE RISK OF RIP
CURRENTS ALONG THE EAST COAST BEACHES OF SOUTH FLORIDA.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MIAMI 79 90 79 90 / 20 30 10 40
WEST KENDALL 78 90 78 90 / 10 30 10 50
OPA-LOCKA 79 90 79 90 / 20 30 10 40
HOMESTEAD 79 89 79 89 / 20 30 10 40
FORT LAUDERDALE 81 89 81 89 / 20 30 10 30
N FT LAUDERDALE 80 89 80 89 / 20 30 10 40
PEMBROKE PINES 80 90 80 90 / 20 30 10 40
WEST PALM BEACH 77 89 77 89 / 20 30 10 40
BOCA RATON 79 88 79 88 / 20 30 10 40
NAPLES 75 90 75 90 / 50 60 50 60
MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...REDMAN
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