580
FXUS62 KMFL 121743
AFDMFL
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1243 PM EST WED NOV 12 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1234 PM EST WED NOV 12 2025
- HAZARDOUS MARINE AND BEACH CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TODAY
WHILE GRADUALLY IMPROVING.
- TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY MODERATE OVER THE COMING WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1234 PM EST WED NOV 12 2025
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN GULF AND AN 850MB
RIDGE OVER THE SAME AREA WILL RESULT AN EAST-NORTHEAST MARITIME
PATTERN. AMPLE DRY AIR REMAINS AFTER THE PREVIOUS FRONTAL PASSAGE
WITH PWATS OF 0.5-0.7" ACCORDING TO THE LATEST ACARS SOUNDINGS.
THIS DRY AIR WILL LINGER THROUGH AT LEAST TOMORROW EVEN AS DEW
POINTS MODERATE AND REACH THE UPPER 50S ALONG THE EAST COAST.
OVERALL, A VERY TRANQUIL PATTERN CONTINUES THROUGH TODAY AND
TOMORROW WITH NO IMPACTFUL WEATHER TO SPEAK OF.
HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE MID TO UPPER 70S BOTH
TODAY AND TOMORROW ACROSS THE REGION. TONIGHT'S LOWS WILL RANGE
FROM THE UPPER 40S WEST OF LAKE O, TO THE MID TO UPPER 50S NEAR
THE GULF COAST AND INTERIOR AND LOW 60S FOR THE EAST COAST METRO.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 232 AM EST WED NOV 12 2025
THE UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN WILL BECOME MORE PROGRESSIVE LATE THIS
WEEK THROUGH THE WEEKEND. GLOBAL ENSEMBLES HAVE SOME LARGE
DIFFERENCES WITH THE TIMING OF A LARGE NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE
AND JUST HOW AMPLIFIED THE TROUGH/RIDGE PATTERN BECOMES. HOWEVER,
IT APPEARS THAT THERE AREN'T MANY SENSIBLE WEATHER DIFFERENCES
(TEMP/PRECIP) REGARDLESS OF THE EVOLUTION. AT THIS TIME, EXPECT
HEIGHTS ACROSS FLORIDA TO INCREASE AND BECOME MOSTLY ZONAL BY
EARLY NEXT WEEK. AT THE SURFACE, HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO
DOMINATE, WITH LOW-LEVEL FLOW VEERING FROM EASTERLY TO MORE
SOUTHERLY AS THE RIDGE AXIS SHIFTS.
ALL OF THIS WILL MEAN CONTINUED MODERATING OF HIGH AND LOW TEMPS
TO NEAR AND THEN ABOVE AVERAGE, AND NO RAIN.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1216 PM EST WED NOV 12 2025
VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD. NE WINDS AROUND 10 KTS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING BEFORE DECREASING TO AROUND 5 KTS OVERNIGHT.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1234 PM EST WED NOV 12 2025
CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO IMPROVE TODAY, BUT LINGERING 5-7 FEET SEAS
CONTINUE IN THE ATLANTIC THROUGH THIS EVENING. AFTER THAT,
GENERALLY BENIGN CONDITIONS RETURN WITH GENTLE TO LIGHTLY MODERATE
WINDS INTO THE LATE WEEK PERIOD. SEAS WILL FALL TO 2-3 FEET FOR
THE END OF THE WEEK.
BEACHES
ISSUED AT 232 AM EST WED NOV 12 2025
AS EASTERLY WINDS AND ELEVATED SEAS AND SURF SLOWLY SUBSIDE, A
HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL STILL EXIST ACROSS ATLANTIC BEACHES
THROUGH TODAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MIAMI 64 78 65 80 / 0 0 0 0
WEST KENDALL 60 78 60 81 / 0 0 0 0
OPA-LOCKA 62 79 63 81 / 0 0 0 0
HOMESTEAD 63 78 63 80 / 0 0 0 0
FORT LAUDERDALE 64 77 65 79 / 0 0 0 0
N FT LAUDERDALE 64 77 65 80 / 0 0 0 0
PEMBROKE PINES 63 81 64 83 / 0 0 0 0
WEST PALM BEACH 62 78 62 80 / 0 0 0 0
BOCA RATON 62 79 64 81 / 0 10 0 0
NAPLES 57 79 57 81 / 0 0 0 0
MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR FLZ168-172-
173.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR AMZ630-
650-651-670-671.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...REDMAN
LONG TERM....HARRIGAN
AVIATION...REDMAN
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