118
FXUS62 KMFL 202323
AFDMFL
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
623 PM EST THU NOV 20 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 620 PM EST THU NOV 20 2025
- MAINLY SUNNY AND PLEASANT CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE
ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH THE WEEK.
- PATCHY DENSE FOG IS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING ACROSS INTERIOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 219 PM EST THU NOV 20 2025
NO MAJOR CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AS EVERYTHING
LOOKS ON TRACK WITH HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUING TO BRING DRY
CONDITIONS TO THE REGION. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME PATCHY
FOG DEVELOPMENT ONCE AGAIN OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING
ACROSS THE INTERIOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA. ANY FOG THAT DOES
DEVELOP WILL QUICKLY LIFT AFTER SUNRISE AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THE REST OF FRIDAY. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL
RANGE FROM THE UPPER 50S WEST OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE TO AROUND 70
ACROSS THE EAST COAST METRO AREAS.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1220 AM EST THU NOV 20 2025
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING EXTENDS FROM THE GULF INTO CANADA, WITH SOUTH
FLORIDA REMAINING ON THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THIS FEATURE. AT THE
SURFACE, HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WILL
CONTINUE TO SHIFT OFFSHORE. THIS WILL MAINTAIN EAST-NORTHEASTERLY
FLOW OVER THE AREA, AND PARTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS EACH DAY THROUGH
THE PERIOD. MOISTURE PROFILES REMAIN BELOW AVERAGE, WITH PWAT
VALUES RANGING FROM .8 INCHES TO 1 INCH, BUT THERE MAY BE A FEW
ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG THE EAST COAST DURING THE MORNING HOURS
EACH DAY. WITHOUT AMPLE MOISTURE AND FORCING, THESE WOULD BE LOW-
TOPPED AND EXTREMELY SHORT-LIVED. POPS REMAIN LESS THAN 10% FOR
ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA.
HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY AND TOMORROW WILL REACH THE LOWER 80S ALONG
THE COASTLINE, WITH MID TO UPPER 80S POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF
INTERIOR SOUTH FLORIDA.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1220 AM EST THU NOV 20 2025
NOT MUCH CHANGE WITH THE LONG TERM OUTLOOK AS HIGH PRESSURE FIRMLY
REMAINS IN CONTROL THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO THE NEW WORK-WEEK. LATE
IN THE WEEKEND A WEAKENING COLD FRONT WILL SETTLE INTO NORTH FLORIDA
AND WASHOUT EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING IN FROM THE NORTH. THIS BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO BE SO WEAK
THAT WE MAY NOT EVEN SEE A SURFACE FLOW RESPONSE TO IT ACROSS SOUTH
FLORIDA AND MAINTAIN EAST-NORTHEAST FLOW THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WITH A
LACK OF MOISTURE, AND A LACK OF MOISTURE ADVECTION FROM THIS FRONTAL
BOUNDARY, SENSIBLE IMPACTS WILL BE NEARLY NONEXISTENT AND WE SHOULD
BE ABLE TO MAINTAIN PRIMARILY PARTLY CLOUDY AND PLEASANT CONDITIONS
EACH DAY THROUGH THE LONG TERM PERIOD.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REACH THE LOW TO MID 80S EACH AFTERNOON ALONG
THE COASTS WHILE SOME PORTIONS OF INLAND SW FLORIDA MAY HIT THE
UPPER 80S. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 620 PM EST THU NOV 20 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. LIGHT
AND VARIABLE WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL INCREASE OUT OF THE EAST AFTER
16Z FRIDAY AND WILL RANGE BETWEEN 5 TO 10 KTS THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. SOME PATCHY FOG MAY DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING ACROSS THE INTERIOR SECTIONS, HOWEVER, MOST OF THE
FOG SHOULD REMAIN AWAY FROM THE TERMINALS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1220 AM EST THU NOV 20 2025
A GENTLE TO MODERATE EAST-NORTHEAST BREEZE WILL PREVAIL ACROSS
LOCAL WATERS TODAY AND TOMORROW. WAVE HEIGHTS SHOULD REMAIN 3 FEET
OR LESS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MIAMI 71 83 69 83 / 0 0 0 0
WEST KENDALL 66 83 64 84 / 0 0 0 0
OPA-LOCKA 69 84 68 84 / 0 0 0 0
HOMESTEAD 69 82 67 83 / 0 0 0 0
FORT LAUDERDALE 70 81 69 81 / 0 0 0 0
N FT LAUDERDALE 70 82 69 82 / 0 0 0 0
PEMBROKE PINES 69 85 68 85 / 0 0 0 0
WEST PALM BEACH 69 82 67 83 / 0 0 0 0
BOCA RATON 69 83 68 83 / 0 0 0 0
NAPLES 65 84 64 83 / 0 0 0 0
MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...RIZZUTO
LONG TERM....RIZZUTO
AVIATION...CWC
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