197
FXUS62 KMFL 021840
AFDMFL
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
140 PM EST FRI JAN 2 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 137 PM EST FRI JAN 2 2026
- A DRY EVENING IS ANTICIPATED WITH TEMPERATURES DROPPING FROM
THE LOWER 60S INTO THE 50S.
- GRADUAL WARMING TREND STARTS TODAY AND LASTS THROUGH THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND.
- CHANCES OF SHOWERS WILL SLOWLY INCREASE ON SUNDAY AS A
WEAKENING COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE REGION.
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 137 PM EST FRI JAN 2 2026
SHIFTING HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL ALLOW THE LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WIND FLOW TO BECOME MORE WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY BY THE
END OF SATURDAY. A WARMING TREND WILL COMMENCE WITH SOME LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE TONIGHT ALLOWING THE POTENTIAL FOR FOG DEVELOPMENT FOCUSED
OVER INLAND PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA AND INTO SOUTHWEST FLORIDA.
TEMPERATURES WILL DIP 50S THIS EVENING THOUGH THE URBAN HEAT ISLAND
MAY HELP KEEP THE COASTAL METRO AREAS A FEW DEGREES WARMER FOR A FEW
HOURS AFTER SUNSET. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 40S
INLAND TO THE MID TO UPPER 50S OVER THE URBAN HEAT ISLANDS. DESPITE
ANOTHER CHILLY START ON SATURDAY MORNING, THE ABUNDANCE OF SUNSHINE
SHOULD ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM INTO THE 70S ACROSS THE AREA. RAIN
CHANCES REMAIN MINIMAL WITH A FAIRLY DRY AIR MASS REMAINING
OVERHEAD.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1205 AM EST FRI JAN 2 2026
AS THE LOW OVER THE SE US ADVANCES EASTWARD AND MOVES OFF THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST ON SUNDAY, A FRONTAL BOUNDARY ASSOCIATED WITH THE
SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE AREA. LIMITED MOISTURE WILL BE AVAILABLE BY
THE TIME THE FRONT REACHES SOUTH FL, HOWEVER THIS WILL BE THE BEST
CHANCE FOR RAINFALL IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD. QPF AMOUNTS LOOK MEAGER,
WITH A QUARTER INCH OR LESS AT BEST ACROSS THE AREA, CERTAINLY
NOTHING THAT WILL PUT A DENT INTO THE REGIONS ONGOING DROUGHT.
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE AXIS CROSS SOUTH FL
BY LATE SUNDAY INTO EARLY MONDAY, AND THEN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN
FOR THE EARLY TO MIDDLE PORTION OF NEXT WEEK. OUTSIDE OF A FEW
OCCASIONAL COASTAL SHOWERS, MUCH OF THE AREA WILL BE DRY.
TEMPERATURES FROM SUNDAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WILL BE AT
OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL WITH HIGHS EACH DAY GENERALLY IN THE UPPER
70S TO AROUND 80, AND LOWS IN THE 50S/60S.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1231 PM EST FRI JAN 2 2026
GENERALLY VFR WITH LIGHT WIND THAT WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY WESTERLY
TO SOUTHWESTERLY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. SOME FOG CANNOT BE
RULED OUT OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING INLAND AND ACROSS SW
FLORIDA.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 137 PM EST FRI JAN 2 2026
LIGHT TO GENTLE WEST TO SOUTHWESTERLY WIND AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES
OVER THE AREA. SEAS 1-3 FT IN THE ATLANTIC AND 2 FT OR LESS IN THE
GULF. A BRIEF PERIOD OF HAZARDOUS WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY IN
THE ATLANTIC AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MIAMI 55 76 60 80 / 0 0 0 20
WEST KENDALL 48 76 55 81 / 0 0 0 10
OPA-LOCKA 54 77 60 81 / 0 0 0 20
HOMESTEAD 52 76 57 80 / 0 0 0 10
FORT LAUDERDALE 54 75 60 79 / 0 0 10 20
N FT LAUDERDALE 55 76 60 80 / 0 0 10 20
PEMBROKE PINES 52 76 59 80 / 0 0 10 20
WEST PALM BEACH 53 76 60 80 / 0 0 10 20
BOCA RATON 54 77 60 81 / 0 0 10 20
NAPLES 57 76 63 78 / 0 0 40 30
MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...RAG
LONG TERM....CMF
AVIATION...RAG
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