611
FXUS62 KMFL 050509
AFDMFL
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1209 AM EST THU MAR 5 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, BEACHES
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1206 AM EST THU MAR 5 2026
- SCATTERED SHOWERS POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT THE DAY.
- HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK ALONG ATLANTIC BEACHES CONTINUES.
- HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT ACROSS ATLANTIC WATERS
THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1206 AM EST THU MAR 5 2026
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ANCHORED IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC
THROUGH THE REST OF THE WORK WEEK. THIS WILL ALLOW A PERSISTENT
EASTERLY FLOW TO CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTH FL WITH HIT AND MISS SHOWERS
TODAY AND FRIDAY ACROSS THE EAST COAST METRO. ACROSS SW FL THERE IS
A BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
DAY THIS EVENING AND AGAIN EARLY FRIDAY EVENING ALONG THE PINNED SEA-
BREEZE. DID ADD IN SOME PATCHY FOG EARLY THIS MORNING OVER INLAND SW
FL WHERE WINDS WILL BE LIGHTEST, AND THERE ARE STILL A COUPLE OF
ONGOING WILDFIRES IN HENDRY AND COLLIER COUNTIES.
TEMPERATURES TODAY AND FRIDAY WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL WITH HIGHS IN
THE LOW TO MID 80S ACROSS THE EAST COAST METRO, AND MID AND UPPER
80S ACROSS SW FL. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE IN THE 60S/70S.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1206 AM EST THU MAR 5 2026
THE OVERALL PATTERN THIS WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK WILL REMAIN THE
SAME WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC IN CONTROL
AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OVER THE SE US. GLOBAL MODELS ARE HINTING AT
A COLD FRONT POSSIBLY ARRIVING LATE NEXT WEEK BUT THAT IS BEYOND THE
CURRENT LONG TERM PERIOD. QUICK MOVING COASTAL SHOWERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE EACH DAY, BUT OVERALL QPF AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT AND
CERTAINLY NOT MAKE A SIGNIFICANT DENT IN THE ONGOING DROUGHT.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THIS WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT
WEEK WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 80S ACROSS THE EAST COAST METRO,
AND MID TO UPPER 80S ACROSS SW FL. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL REMAIN MILD
ONLY DROPPING INTO THE 60S/70S.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1206 AM EST THU MAR 5 2026
EASTERLY WINDS AROUND 10 KTS THIS MORNING INCREASING SLIGHTLY TO
10-15 KTS THIS AFTERNOON. OCCASIONAL COASTAL SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
THROUGHOUT THE DAY. SCT MVFR CEILINGS EXPECTED.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1206 AM EST THU MAR 5 2026
HAZARDOUS EASTERLY WINDS REMAIN IN THE ATLANTIC WATERS THROUGH EARLY
THIS MORNING, AND THEN CAUTIONARY WINDS WILL REMAIN THROUGH THE END
OF THE WEEK. MODERATE EASTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE GULF
WATERS. SEAS IN THE ATLANTIC WATERS TODAY WILL BE 3-5 FT, AND 2 FT
OR LESS IN THE GULF.
BEACHES
ISSUED AT 1206 AM EST THU MAR 5 2026
PERSISTENT EASTERLY FLOW WILL RESULT IN A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS
FOR THE ATLANTIC BEACHES THROUGH AT LEAST THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MIAMI 82 73 81 72 / 20 20 30 20
WEST KENDALL 84 68 84 69 / 20 20 20 20
OPA-LOCKA 83 71 83 71 / 20 10 20 20
HOMESTEAD 82 72 83 72 / 20 20 20 20
FORT LAUDERDALE 80 72 81 71 / 20 10 20 20
N FT LAUDERDALE 81 72 81 71 / 20 10 20 20
PEMBROKE PINES 84 72 84 71 / 20 10 20 20
WEST PALM BEACH 81 71 81 71 / 20 10 20 20
BOCA RATON 81 71 81 71 / 20 20 20 20
NAPLES 85 68 85 69 / 40 20 40 10
MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR FLZ168-172-173.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR AMZ650-651-
670-671.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...CMF
LONG TERM....CMF
AVIATION...CMF
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