051
FXUS62 KMFL 061126
AFDMFL
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
626 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 623 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2026
- HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK ALONG ATLANTIC BEACHES CONTINUES
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- TEMPERATURES REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1202 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2026
LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC, AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OVER THE REGION. THE PATTERN WILL
HOLD STEADY TODAY AND SATURDAY, WITH PERSISTENT EASTERLY FLOW
CONTINUING ACROSS SOUTH FL. OCCASIONAL COASTAL SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE EAST COAST METRO TODAY AND SATURDAY, ALTHOUGH MOST OF THE
DAYS WILL BE DRY. MUCH LIKE YESTERDAY, SOME SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE GULF COAST LATE IN THE DAY
TODAY AND SATURDAY AS THE SEA-BREEZE GETS PINNED NEAR THE COAST.
TEMPERATURES TODAY AND SATURDAY WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL WITH HIGHS
RANGING FROM THE LOW TO MID 80S ACROSS THE EAST COAST METRO TO UPPER
80S AND AROUND 90 OVER INLAND SW FL. LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE
60S/70S.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1202 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2026
THE OVERALL PATTERN WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY NEXT
WEEK WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND UPPER LEVEL
RIDGING OVER THE SE US. LOW CHANCES OF COASTAL SHOWERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE EACH DAY. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES THE AREA LATE NEXT
WEEK BRINGING SLIGHTLY HIGHER CHANCES FOR RAINFALL. EARLY
INDICATIONS ARE THAT THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL STRUGGLE TO REACH
MUCH FURTHER SOUTH THAN THE LAKE REGION BEFORE STALLING AND
DISSIPATING, SO THERE MAY NOT BE MUCH IF ANY HUMIDITY RELIEF THE END
OF NEXT WEEK.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD,
WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE LOW/MID 80S ACROSS SE FL, AND UPPER 80S
TO AROUND 90 OVER SW FL. LOWS EACH NIGHT WILL REMAIN MILD IN THE
60S/70S.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 623 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2026
EASTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO RANGE BETWEEN 10 TO 15 KTS
THROUGHOUT MOST OF TODAY. GUSTS OF 20 TO 25 KTS WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE EAST COAST TERMINALS AFTER 15Z. AN
ISOLATED FAST MOVING SHOWER CANNOT BE RULED OUT ACROSS THE EAST
COAST TERMINALS TODAY, HOWEVER, CHANCES REMAIN TOO LOW TO PUT IN
TAFS THIS CYCLE.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1202 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2026
MODERATE TO FRESH EASTERLY WINDS CONTINUE TODAY ACROSS THE LOCAL
WATERS, WITH WINDS BECOMING GENTLE AND MORE SOUTHERLY IN THE GULF
WATERS LATE IN THE DAY. SEAS IN THE ATLANTIC WILL BE 2-4 FT AND 1-2
FT IN THE GULF.
BEACHES
ISSUED AT 1202 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2026
PERSISTENT EASTERLY FLOW WILL RESULT IN A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS
FOR THE ATLANTIC BEACHES THROUGH AT LEAST THE WEEKEND.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MIAMI 82 72 82 71 / 20 20 10 10
WEST KENDALL 84 67 84 67 / 20 20 10 10
OPA-LOCKA 84 70 83 70 / 20 20 20 10
HOMESTEAD 83 72 83 71 / 20 20 10 10
FORT LAUDERDALE 81 71 81 70 / 20 20 20 10
N FT LAUDERDALE 81 71 81 71 / 20 20 20 10
PEMBROKE PINES 84 71 84 70 / 20 20 20 10
WEST PALM BEACH 81 70 81 70 / 20 20 20 10
BOCA RATON 82 70 81 70 / 20 20 20 10
NAPLES 87 68 86 67 / 20 10 30 10
MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR FLZ168-172-173.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...CMF
LONG TERM....CMF
AVIATION...CWC
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