047
FXUS62 KMFL 071726
AFDMFL
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1226 PM EST SAT MAR 7 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1224 PM EST SAT MAR 7 2026
- HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK ALONG ATLANTIC BEACHES CONTINUES
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- TEMPERATURES REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1205 AM EST SAT MAR 7 2026
OVERALL PATTERN WILL CONTINUE TO HOLD THIS WEEKEND WITH SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OVER
THE STATE OF FLORIDA. THIS WILL RESULT IN A BREEZY ESE FLOW
CONTINUING THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WITH PWAT VALUES RUNNING 1.2-1.4
INCHES, OCCASIONAL COASTAL SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE EAST
COAST METRO, WITH SOME LATE DAY SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
LATE IN THE DAY ACROSS SW FL. SOME PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE EARLY THIS
MORNING AND AGAIN EARLY SUNDAY MORNING OVER INTERIOR SW FL.
TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL WITH HIGHS
RANGING FROM THE LOW TO MID 80S ACROSS THE EAST COAST METRO TO UPPER
80S AND AROUND 90 OVER INLAND SW FL. LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE
60S/70S.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1205 AM EST SAT MAR 7 2026
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC THROUGH THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK. MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH JUST A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF COASTAL SHOWERS. A BETTER CHANCE OF RAIN IS EXPECTED
TOWARDS THE END OF THE WORK WEEK AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SLIDES SOUTH
ACROSS FL, WITH SOME UNCERTAINTY REGARDING HOW FAR SOUTH THE FRONT
REACHES BEFORE STALLING OUT. REGARDLESS, THIS WILL INCREASE THE
CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE AREA FOR THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD,
WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE LOW/MID 80S ACROSS SE FL, AND UPPER 80S
TO AROUND 90 OVER SW FL. LOWS EACH NIGHT WILL REMAIN MILD IN THE
60S/70S.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1224 PM EST SAT MAR 7 2026
MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD.
SE WINDS WILL CONTINUE AND RANGE FROM 10 TO 15 KTS THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS THE EAST COAST TERMINALS. WIND GUSTS OF 20 TO 25 KTS WILL
REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH 22Z AND THEN WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE
THROUGH THE EVENING. AT KAPF, WINDS WILL SHIFT AND BECOME SW AFTER
20Z AS A GULF BREEZE DEVELOPS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1205 AM EST SAT MAR 7 2026
MODERATE TO FRESH EASTERLY WINDS EXPECTED TODAY OVER THE ATLANTIC
WATERS, WITH LIGHT TO GENTLE VARIABLE WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS THE GULF
WATERS. SEAS IN THE ATLANTIC WILL BE 2-4 FT, AND 2 FT OR LESS IN THE
GULF.
BEACHES
ISSUED AT 1205 AM EST SAT MAR 7 2026
PERSISTENT EASTERLY FLOW WILL RESULT IN A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS
FOR THE ATLANTIC BEACHES THROUGH AT LEAST THE WEEKEND.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MIAMI 71 83 71 83 / 10 10 10 10
WEST KENDALL 67 85 66 86 / 10 10 10 10
OPA-LOCKA 70 85 69 85 / 10 10 10 10
HOMESTEAD 71 84 71 84 / 10 10 10 10
FORT LAUDERDALE 71 81 71 82 / 20 10 10 10
N FT LAUDERDALE 71 81 71 82 / 20 10 10 10
PEMBROKE PINES 70 85 70 85 / 10 10 10 10
WEST PALM BEACH 70 82 69 83 / 20 10 10 10
BOCA RATON 70 82 70 83 / 20 10 10 10
NAPLES 67 86 67 86 / 10 20 20 10
MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR FLZ168-172-173.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...CMF
LONG TERM....CMF
AVIATION...CWC
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