995
FXUS62 KMFL 071857
AFDMFL
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
157 PM EST SAT MAR 7 2026
..NEW UPDATE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 146 PM EST SAT MAR 7 2026
- A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE ATLANTIC
COAST BEACHES THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEKEND.
- TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH MOST OF THE
UPCOMING WEEK.
- CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE TOWARDS
THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE
REGION.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 146 PM EST SAT MAR 7 2026
NO MAJOR CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AS EVERYTHING
REMAINS ON TRACK. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BEGIN TO RELAX
ACROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR THE EAST
SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW TO BEGIN TO SUBSIDE TONIGHT. WITH WINDS
SUBSIDING, THIS MAY ALLOW FOR SOME PATCHY FOG TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT
INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING ACROSS INTERIOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA. SOME OF THIS FOG DOES HAVE A LOW CHANCE, (20 TO 30 PERCENT)
OF BECOMING LOCALLY DENSE MAINLY WEST OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE. THIS
COULD REDUCE VISIBILITY TO A QUARTER OF A MILE OR LESS IN SPOTS
JUST BEFORE SUNRISE. ANY FOG THAT DOES DEVELOP WILL LIFT SHORTLY
AFTER SUNRISE ON SUNDAY MORNING. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL
GENERALLY RANGE FROM THE LOWER 60S ACROSS INTERIOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA TO THE LOWER 70S ACROSS THE EAST COAST METRO
AREAS.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1205 AM EST SAT MAR 7 2026
OVERALL PATTERN WILL CONTINUE TO HOLD THIS WEEKEND WITH SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OVER
THE STATE OF FLORIDA. THIS WILL RESULT IN A BREEZY ESE FLOW
CONTINUING THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WITH PWAT VALUES RUNNING 1.2-1.4
INCHES, OCCASIONAL COASTAL SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE EAST
COAST METRO, WITH SOME LATE DAY SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
LATE IN THE DAY ACROSS SW FL. SOME PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE EARLY THIS
MORNING AND AGAIN EARLY SUNDAY MORNING OVER INTERIOR SW FL.
TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL WITH HIGHS
RANGING FROM THE LOW TO MID 80S ACROSS THE EAST COAST METRO TO UPPER
80S AND AROUND 90 OVER INLAND SW FL. LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE
60S/70S.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1205 AM EST SAT MAR 7 2026
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC THROUGH THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK. MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH JUST A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF COASTAL SHOWERS. A BETTER CHANCE OF RAIN IS EXPECTED
TOWARDS THE END OF THE WORK WEEK AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SLIDES SOUTH
ACROSS FL, WITH SOME UNCERTAINTY REGARDING HOW FAR SOUTH THE FRONT
REACHES BEFORE STALLING OUT. REGARDLESS, THIS WILL INCREASE THE
CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE AREA FOR THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD,
WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE LOW/MID 80S ACROSS SE FL, AND UPPER 80S
TO AROUND 90 OVER SW FL. LOWS EACH NIGHT WILL REMAIN MILD IN THE
60S/70S.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1224 PM EST SAT MAR 7 2026
MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD.
SE WINDS WILL CONTINUE AND RANGE FROM 10 TO 15 KTS THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS THE EAST COAST TERMINALS. WIND GUSTS OF 20 TO 25 KTS WILL
REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH 22Z AND THEN WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE
THROUGH THE EVENING. AT KAPF, WINDS WILL SHIFT AND BECOME SW AFTER
20Z AS A GULF BREEZE DEVELOPS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1205 AM EST SAT MAR 7 2026
MODERATE TO FRESH EASTERLY WINDS EXPECTED TODAY OVER THE ATLANTIC
WATERS, WITH LIGHT TO GENTLE VARIABLE WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS THE GULF
WATERS. SEAS IN THE ATLANTIC WILL BE 2-4 FT, AND 2 FT OR LESS IN THE
GULF.
BEACHES
ISSUED AT 1205 AM EST SAT MAR 7 2026
PERSISTENT EASTERLY FLOW WILL RESULT IN A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS
FOR THE ATLANTIC BEACHES THROUGH AT LEAST THE WEEKEND.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MIAMI 71 82 71 83 / 0 0 10 10
WEST KENDALL 67 85 67 86 / 0 0 10 10
OPA-LOCKA 71 84 69 85 / 0 0 10 10
HOMESTEAD 71 84 70 84 / 0 0 10 10
FORT LAUDERDALE 71 82 70 82 / 0 0 10 10
N FT LAUDERDALE 71 82 70 82 / 0 0 10 10
PEMBROKE PINES 71 84 70 86 / 0 0 10 10
WEST PALM BEACH 70 82 69 83 / 10 10 10 10
BOCA RATON 71 82 70 83 / 10 0 10 10
NAPLES 67 85 67 86 / 20 20 30 20
MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR FLZ168-172-173.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...CMF
LONG TERM....CMF
AVIATION/UPDATE...CWC
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