885
FXUS62 KMFL 080511
AFDMFL
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1211 AM EST SUN MAR 8 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, BEACHES
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1207 AM EST SUN MAR 8 2026
- A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE ATLANTIC
COAST BEACHES THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.
- TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH MOST OF THE
UPCOMING WEEK.
- SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE OVER INTERIOR AND SW FL
THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1207 AM EST SUN MAR 8 2026
THE END OF THE WEEKEND AND INTO MONDAY WILL SEE SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OVER
THE STATE OF FLORIDA. THIS WILL RESULT IN A CONTINUES ESE FLOW
HOWEVER WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER THAN THE PREVIOUS SEVERAL DAYS. WITH
PWAT VALUES RUNNING 1.2-1.4 INCHES, OCCASIONAL COASTAL SHOWERS WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS THE EAST COAST METRO MAINLY DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS AND EARLY MORNING. WITH THE WEAKER ESE FLOW, THE GULF COAST
SEAS BREEZE WILL BE ABLE TO PUSH FURTHER INLAND ACROSS SW FL, SO
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING SHOWER AND STORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE
OVER THE INTERIOR TODAY AND AGAIN ON MONDAY. WITH WINDS OVER THE
INTERIOR BECOMING LIGHT TO NEARLY CALM OVERNIGHT, SOME PATCHY FOG IS
POSSIBLE IN THE TYPICAL LOCATIONS THIS MORNING AND AGAIN EARLY
MONDAY MORNING.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE
LOW TO MID 80S ACROSS THE EAST COAST METRO TO UPPER 80S AND AROUND
90 OVER INLAND SW FL. LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE 60S/70S.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1207 AM EST SUN MAR 8 2026
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC THROUGH THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK. MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FOR TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. A BETTER CHANCE OF RAIN IS EXPECTED TOWARDS THE END OF
THE WORK WEEK AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SLIDES SOUTH ACROSS FL LATE
THURSDAY INTO EARLY FRIDAY. WHILE ANY RAINFALL WILL BE WELCOME GIVEN
THE ONGOING DROUGHT, QPF AMOUNTS THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY ARE MEAGER,
ONLY ADDING UP TO A COUPLE OF TENTHS OF AN INCH. DRIER CONDITIONS
EXPECTED BY LATE FRIDAY INTO THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEKEND, WITH
ONLY A SLIGHT RELIEF IN TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITY EXPECTED.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH MID WEEK, WITH HIGHS
GENERALLY IN THE LOW/MID 80S ACROSS SE FL, AND UPPER 80S TO AROUND
90 OVER SW FL. LOWS EACH NIGHT WILL REMAIN MILD IN THE 60S/70S.
SLIGHT RELIEF IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY, HOWEVER TEMPS WILL JUST DROP TO
NORMAL RANGES FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1207 AM EST SUN MAR 8 2026
SE WINDS 10-15 KTS THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING, WITH AN AFTERNOON
WESTERLY GULF BREEZE AT APF. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS POSSIBLE
OVER INTERIOR SOUTH FL THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING. WINDS
THIS EVENING SUBSIDE TO 5-10 KTS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1207 AM EST SUN MAR 8 2026
GENTLE TO MODERATE ESE BREEZE OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS TODAY, WITH A
LIGHT VARIABLE BREEZE ACROSS THE GULF WATERS. SEAS 2-3 FT IN THE
ATLANTIC AND 2 FT OR LESS IN THE GULF. THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
LATE IN THE DAY OVER THE GULF WATERS, WHICH MAY RESULT IN LOCALLY
HAZARDOUS WINDS AND SEAS.
BEACHES
ISSUED AT 1207 AM EST SUN MAR 8 2026
PERSISTENT MODERATE EASTERLY FLOW WILL RESULT IN A HIGH RISK OF RIP
CURRENTS FOR THE ATLANTIC BEACHES TODAY. WITH THE FLOW BECOMING
WEAKER EARLY THIS WEEK, THE RIP RISK WILL LOWER BUT REMAIN ELEVATED
THROUGH AT LEAST MID WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MIAMI 82 71 83 71 / 0 10 10 0
WEST KENDALL 85 67 86 66 / 0 10 10 0
OPA-LOCKA 84 69 85 69 / 0 10 10 0
HOMESTEAD 84 70 84 71 / 0 10 10 0
FORT LAUDERDALE 82 70 82 70 / 0 10 10 0
N FT LAUDERDALE 82 70 82 70 / 0 10 10 0
PEMBROKE PINES 84 70 86 70 / 0 10 10 0
WEST PALM BEACH 82 69 83 69 / 10 10 10 0
BOCA RATON 82 70 83 70 / 0 10 10 0
NAPLES 85 67 86 67 / 20 30 20 10
MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR FLZ168-172-173.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...CMF
LONG TERM....CMF
AVIATION...CMF
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