830
FXUS62 KMFL 090504
AFDMFL
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
104 AM EDT MON MAR 9 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, BEACHES
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 102 AM EDT MON MAR 9 2026
- ELEVATED RISK OF RIP CURRENTS FOR THE ATLANTIC BEACHES
THROUGH MID WEEK.
- TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH MOST OF THE
UPCOMING WEEK.
- SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD DEVELOP OVER
INTERIOR SOUTH FL THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 102 AM EDT MON MAR 9 2026
A FEW STRAY SHOWERS OVER THE INTERIOR ARE QUICKLY DIMINISHING EARLY
THIS MORNING. OUTSIDE OF A FEW STRAY COASTAL SHOWERS, MOST OF SOUTH
FL WILL REMAIN DRY THIS MORNING. SOME PATCHY FOG IS LIKELY THIS
MORNING OVER THE TYPICAL INTERIOR LOCATIONS.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL EARLY THIS WEEK. THIS
WILL RESULT IN SOUTHEAST FLOW CONTINUING ACROSS THE AREA, ALBEIT
MUCH WEAKER THAN WHAT WAS SEEN FOR MUCH OF THE LAST WEEK. WITH THE
WEAKER FLOW, THE GULF COAST SEA BREEZE WILL BE ABLE TO MAKE A GOOD
PUSH INLAND AGAIN TODAY, AND WITH PWAT VALUES OF 1.2-1.4 INCHES AND
MUCAPE VALUES OF 1500 J/KG DURING THE PEAK HEATING OF THE DAY, SOME
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM MID
AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING OVER INLAND AREAS.
DRIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON TUESDAY. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW
PWAT VALUES DROPPING TO AROUND 1.1 INCHES WITH PLENTY OF DRY AIR IN
THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS. WHILE A STRAY SHOWER CAN'T BE COMPLETELY
RULED OUT, CHANCES ARE ONLY 10% OR LESS ACROSS THE AREA.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL WITH HIGHS TODAY AND TUESDAY
RANGING FROM THE LOW TO MID 80S ACROSS THE EAST COAST METRO TO UPPER
80S AND AROUND 90 OVER INLAND SW FL. LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE
60S/70S.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 102 AM EDT MON MAR 9 2026
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC THROUGH THE MIDDLE
OF THIS WEEK. MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
A BETTER CHANCE OF RAIN IS EXPECTED TOWARDS THE END OF THE WORK WEEK
AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SLIDES SOUTH ACROSS FL AND APPROACHES OUR AREA
BY FRIDAY BEFORE WEAKENING AND EVENTUALLY DISSIPATING OVER SOUTH FL
OR JUST TO THE SOUTH OF US. WHILE ANY RAINFALL WILL BE WELCOME GIVEN
THE ONGOING DROUGHT, QPF AMOUNTS THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND ARE
MEAGER, ONLY ADDING UP TO A FEW TENTHS OF AN INCH. SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN IN THE FORECAST NEXT WEEK AS
WHATS LEFT OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY LINGERS IN THE AREA.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH MID WEEK, WITH ONLY A
FEW DEGREES OF RELIEF FOR THE END OF THE WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 102 AM EDT MON MAR 9 2026
SCT MVFR CEILINGS EARLY THIS MORNING. ESE WINDS 5-10 KTS ACROSS
THE EAST COAST METRO, WITH AN AFTERNOON GULF BREEZE DEVELOPING FOR
APF. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE INTERIOR LATE
IN THE DAY.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 102 AM EDT MON MAR 9 2026
GENTLE ESE BREEZE OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS TODAY, WITH A LIGHT
VARIABLE BREEZE ACROSS THE GULF WATERS. SEAS EARLY THIS WEEK 1-2 FT
IN THE ATLANTIC AND A FOOT OR LESS IN THE GULF. A BRIEF PERIOD OF
HAZARDOUS WINDS ARE POSSIBLE LATE IN THE WEEK AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
APPROACHES THE AREA.
BEACHES
ISSUED AT 102 AM EDT MON MAR 9 2026
PERSISTENT SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL RESULT IN AN ELEVATED RISK OF RIP
CURRENTS FOR THE ATLANTIC BEACHES THROUGH MID WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MIAMI 84 71 83 71 / 10 0 0 0
WEST KENDALL 86 66 86 67 / 10 0 0 0
OPA-LOCKA 85 70 85 70 / 10 0 0 0
HOMESTEAD 85 71 84 71 / 10 0 0 0
FORT LAUDERDALE 83 70 82 71 / 10 0 0 0
N FT LAUDERDALE 83 71 82 71 / 10 0 0 0
PEMBROKE PINES 85 70 85 71 / 10 0 0 0
WEST PALM BEACH 84 69 83 70 / 10 0 0 0
BOCA RATON 83 70 83 71 / 10 0 0 0
NAPLES 85 67 87 67 / 10 10 10 0
MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...CMF
LONG TERM....CMF
AVIATION...CMF
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