317  
FXUS62 KMFL 020736  
AFDMFL  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL  
336 AM EDT SAT MAY 2 2026  
 
...NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, BEACHES, FIRE WEATHER, CLIMATE...  
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
UPDATED AT 334 AM EDT SAT MAY 2 2026  
 
- UNSEASONABLE NEAR RECORD HEAT THIS AFTERNOON COULD RESULT IN  
HEAT RELATED ILLNESSES IF PROPER HYDRATION OR COOLING IS NOT  
FOLLOWED.  
 
- GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS MARINE  
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE NORTHERN ATLANTIC WATERS AND DANGEROUS  
FIRE WEATHER BEHAVIOR ACROSS NORTHERN INLAND AREAS OF SOUTH  
FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON.  
 
- SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE POSSIBLE BEGINNING TONIGHT WITH RAIN  
CHANCES PEAKING DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS OF SUNDAY. HEAVY  
RAINFALL, LIGHTNING, AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN  
HAZARDS POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS.  
 
 
   
SHORT TERM  
 
(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)  
ISSUED AT 334 AM EDT SAT MAY 2 2026  
 
KEY MESSAGE 1...NEAR RECORD HEAT IS FORECAST FOR MOST OF SOUTH  
FLORIDA TODAY, ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE EAST COAST METRO. PROLONGED  
EXPOSURE OUTDOORS WITHOUT ADEQUATE COOLING, HYDRATION, OR ATTIRE  
COULD BE DANGEROUS. IF YOU ARE PLANNING ON ATTENDING AN OUTDOOR  
EVENT TODAY, TAKE THE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO REMAIN SAFE.  
 
VULNERABLE POPULATIONS MAY BE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO HEAT AS AGE  
AND CERTAIN CONDITIONS IMPACT THE BODY'S ABILITY TO REGULATE  
TEMPERATURE. WITH NEAR RECORD HEAT AND AMPLE SUNSHINE, TEMPERATURES  
WILL QUICKLY SOAR IN ENCLOSED SPACES WITHOUT A/C. NEVER LEAVE PETS  
OR CHILDREN IN PARKED CARS UNATTENDED, ALWAYS LOOK BEFORE YOU  
LOCK!  
 
SYNOPSIS:  
 
AS A NEGATIVELY TILTED LONG-WAVE TROUGH PUSHES EASTWARD ACROSS THE  
GREAT LAKES REGION TODAY, THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF A STOUT JET-  
STREAK AROUND THE BASE OF THE TROUGH WILL FACILITATE THE DEVELOPMENT  
OF AN DEEPENING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OFFSHORE OFFSHORE OF  
NORTH/SOUTH CAROLINA. AS THIS SURFACE LOW ACCELERATES NORTHEASTWARD  
IN TANDEM WITH THE LOBE OF MID-LEVEL VORTICITY, A COLD FRONT  
BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO ACCELERATE SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE GULF AND  
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF FLORIDA OVER THE COURSE OF TODAY, PRECEDED BY  
A PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH OF SHOWERS AND STORMS. FURTHER SOUTH, WE WILL  
REMAIN SOCKED INTO THE HEART OF THE WARM SECTOR OF THE SYSTEM WITH  
THE FORECASTED DEVELOPMENT OF A LOW LEVEL JET WHICH WILL MIX DOWN  
GUSTY WINDS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS DUE TO DIURNAL HEATING. WARM  
AIR ADVECTION WILL BE AMPLIFIED AS A LOW LEVEL JET ENHANCES OUT OF  
THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST. THE COMBINATION OF THE MOISTURE SURGE,  
BREEZY SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW, AND A LACK OF CLOUD COVER  
WILL SET THE STAGE FOR WIDESPREAD LOW TO MID 90S ACROSS THE EAST  
COAST METRO AREAS AND THE MID TO UPPER 90S ACROSS NORTHERN INLAND  
PORTIONS OF THE REGION. IT'S WORTH NOTING THAT THE NBM 75TH  
PERCENTILE WHICH PERFORMS WELL IN THESE TYPE OF FLOW REGIMES IS  
STILL TRENDING HIGHER, WITH POTENTIAL HIGH TEMPERATURE VALUES IN THE  
UPPER 90S NOT OUT OF THE CARDS FOR WESTERN SUBURBS OF THE EAST COAST  
METRO.  
 
INTERESTINGLY WHILE THE FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURE VALUES HAVE  
CONTINUED TO TREND HIGHER OVER THE PAST 48 HOURS FOR THIS AFTERNOON,  
FORECAST DEWPOINT VALUES HAVE TRENDED LOWER WHICH HAS RESULTED IN  
LOWER AFTERNOON MAXIMUM APPARENT TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE REGION  
WHILE ALSO INCREASING THE FIRE DANGER ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF  
SOFLO. THAT BEING SAID, WITH NEAR RECORD HEAT VALUES (SEE CLIMATE  
SECTION BELOW AND KEY MESSAGE DISCUSSION ABOVE) FORECAST FOR SEVERAL  
HOURS THIS AFTERNOON, PROLONGED OUTDOOR EXPOSURE WITHOUT  
HYDRATION, COOLING, OR PROPER ATTIRE COULD PROVE TO BE DANGEROUS.  
 
AFTER A SCORCHER OF A DAY ACROSS THE REGION, A FEW OF THE 00Z AND  
06Z MESOSCALE MODEL SUITE DEPICT THE ARRIVAL OF A DECAYING PRE-  
FRONTAL TROUGH ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA. SOME OF THE CAMS  
(CONVECTION ALLOWING MODELS) DEPICT A BROKEN LINE OF ISOLATED SHOWER  
ACTIVITY WHILE OTHER SOLUTIONS STILL DEPICT AN INTACT LINE OF  
CONVECTION ARRIVING ACROSS COASTAL COLLIER (HIGHER INSTABILITY  
VALUES OVER THE NEARSHORE GULF WATERS MAY SUSTAIN CONVECTION  
LONGER). IF MORE ROBUST CONVECTION IS ABLE TO SUSTAIN ON APPROACH TO  
THE REGION, THERE IS A NON-ZERO THREAT OF GUSTY WINDS (EITHER  
OUTFLOW INDUCED OR EMBEDDED IN ANY TALLER THUNDERSTORM THAT IS ABLE  
TO MAINTAIN ALONG THE PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH BOUNDARY).  
 
DETERMINISTIC AND NOW MESOSCALE MODELS ARE IN RELATIVE AGREEMENT THAT  
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS FORECAST TO ARRIVE ACROSS THE REGION DURING  
THE EARLY HOURS OF SUNDAY. THE EARLIER TIMING OF ARRIVAL WILL OCCUR  
IN TANDEM WITH NOCTURNAL INHIBITION OVER LAND WHICH SHOULD PRECLUDE  
ANY ROBUST SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OVER NIGHT WITH IT'S  
PASSAGE. INTERESTINGLY ENOUGH (AND WHAT WILL BE A COMMON THEME LATER  
ON IN THIS AFD), EVEN THOUGH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SLIDE  
SOUTHWARD INTO THE FLORIDA KEYS BY THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS,  
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OVER SOUTH FLORIDA AND ON THE NORTH SIDE  
OF THE BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN ABOVE THE 90TH PERCENTILE AND CLOSE TO  
THE DAILY MAX FOR THE DATE. FORECAST MODEL SOUNDINGS ON SUNDAY  
AFTERNOON DEPICT A SATURATED VERTICAL PROFILE WITH A SKINNY CAPE  
ORIENTATION. WHILE ANY DEVELOPING DIURNAL CONVECTION WILL BE FAST  
MOVING GIVEN BRISK FLOW ALOFT, THE SATURATED PROFILE SUPPORTS THE  
POTENTIAL OF EFFICIENT RAINFALL RATES IF AND WHERE CONVECTION IS ABLE  
TO MATERIALIZE. ONCE AGAIN, CAMS REMAIN SPLIT WITH A FEW MODEL  
SOLUTIONS DEPICTING HEAVIER THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY MAINLY REMAINING  
OFFSHORE ON SUNDAY WHILE OTHERS SHOW MORE OF A SIGNAL OF HEAVY  
RAINFALL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE EAST COAST.  
 
THE 00Z HREF LPMM (LOCALIZED PROBABILITY MATCHED MEAN) SHOWS THE  
POTENTIAL OF LOCALIZED POCKETS OF 2-3 INCHES ACROSS THE REGION WHILE  
THE MAJORITY OF LOCATIONS WILL SEE 0.5 TO 1 INCH OF RAINFALL. WHILE  
THE OVERALL HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT WILL REMAIN LOW, THE WEATHER  
PREDICTION CENTER CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN A MARGINAL (LEVEL 1 OF 4)  
RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF SOUTH FLORIDA ON  
SUNDAY. CLOUD COVER AND RAINFALL ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY  
WILL RESULT IN A TEMPERATURE GRADIENT FROM NORTH TO SOUTH DURING THE  
DAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL TOP OUT IN THE UPPER 70S NEAR LAKE  
OKEECHOBEE, LOW TO MID 80S ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE REST OF THE  
REGION WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A POCKET OF UPPER 80S NEAR FLORIDA BAY  
AND FLAMINGO. THIS TEMPERATURE FORECAST MAY CHANGE SLIGHTLY  
DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TIMING OF THE FRONT.  
 
   
LONG TERM  
 
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)  
ISSUED AT 334 AM EDT SAT MAY 2 2026  
 
A ROBUST MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE ARRIVES ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA EARLY ON  
MONDAY MORNING PROVIDING AN ADDITIONAL INJECTION OF SYNOPTIC ENERGY  
IN TANDEM WITH THE CONTINUATION OF AN AMPLIFIED SOUTHERN STREAM JET-  
STREAK (ENHANCED UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE) ACROSS THE REGION. ALTHOUGH  
MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO DEPICT SOUTH FLORIDA ON THE COOL SIDE OF  
THE SURFACE BOUNDARY, RESIDUAL HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES (ABOVE  
THE 90TH PERCENTILE AND CLOSE TO THE DAILY MAX) ON THE NORTHERN SIDE  
OF THE BOUNDARY AND LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE COULD SUPPORT THE  
CONTINUATION OF NOCTURNAL CONVECTION ACROSS THE GULFSTREAM WATERS  
WITH THE POTENTIAL OF SOME BACK-BUILDING CONVECTION ALONG THE  
IMMEDIATE EAST COAST. DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODEL GUIDANCE AS  
WELL AS THE LONG RANGE MESOSCALE MODELS NOW DEPICT THE DEVELOPMENT  
OF A SURFACE SIGNAL TO THE MID-LEVEL VORTICITY IN THE FORM OF  
DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE OVER THE GULF STREAM WATERS THAT WILL  
QUICKLY ADVECT NORTHEASTWARD DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OF  
MONDAY. CYCLONIC FLOW ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM  
WILL RESULT IN A WRAPPING IN OF DRIER AIR INTO THE NORTHERN HALF OF  
REGION AND A PRECIPITABLE WATER GRADIENT FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST  
BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW STORMS WILL REMAIN  
POSSIBLE ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION ON MONDAY AS FORECAST  
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES REMAIN BETWEEN THE DAILY MEAN AND 75TH  
PERCENTILE ACROSS SOUTHERN LOCALES. MEAGER INSTABILITY AND THE POST  
FRONTAL AIRMASS WILL KEEP ANY THREAT OF MORE ROBUST CONVECTION IN  
CHECK. THE SLIGHT ENHANCEMENT OF A PRESSURE GRADIENT BEHIND THE  
DEPARTURE OF THE SURFACE LOW WILL ENHANCE BREEZY NORTHEASTERLY WINDS  
WHICH WILL ALSO RESULT IN A TEMPERATURE GRADIENT FROM NORTHEAST TO  
SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE LOW  
80S ACROSS COASTAL PALM BEACH COUNTY TO TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER  
80S ACROSS COASTAL SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA.  
 
WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY EFFECTIVELY STATIONARY TO OUR SOUTH OVER  
THE CARIBBEAN SEA AND FLORIDA STRAITS ON TUESDAY, HIGHER  
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES WILL REMAIN WITH US EVEN ON THE COOL SIDE  
OF THE BOUNDARY. THIS WILL ONCE AGAIN SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF A  
FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS WHERE  
ASCENT IS MAXIMIZED (MESOSCALE BOUNDARIES). AN ACTIVE SYNOPTIC  
PATTERN WILL CONTINUE AS THE AMPLIFICATION OF A LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER  
THE NORTHEASTERN UNITE STATES WILL RESULT IN A CONTINUATION OF THE  
SOUTHERN JET-STREAM IN THE VICINITY OF SOUTH FLORIDA AS 500MB FLOW  
BEGINS TO VEER MORE NORTHERLY AS THE TROUGH AXIS LIFTS OUT TO THE  
NORTHEAST AND AWAY FROM THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES.  
 
A PATTERN CHANGE ALOFT IS IN THE CARDS BEGINNING LATE ON TUESDAY  
INTO WEDNESDAY AS A STOUT AND ANOMALOUS MID-LEVEL RIDGE SLIDES  
EASTWARD ACROSS THE GULF. 500MB TEMPERATURES COULD APPROACH THE  
DAILY MAXIMUM FOR THE DATE (MAY 7TH) WITH VALUES POTENTIALLY ABOVE -  
4C AT 500MB. LREF GEFS CLIMATOLOGY HAS 500MB TEMPERATURES IN THE  
97-99TH PERCENTILE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. A RIDGE OF THIS  
STRENGTH ALOFT WILL HAVE A STRONG SUBSIDENCE INVERSION WHICH WILL  
SUPPRESS AND LIMIT RAIN CHANCES OUTSIDE OF A FEW ISOLATED SPRINKLES.  
IF YOU ARE A FAN OF THE HEAT (NO PUN INTENDED), IT'LL BE ANOTHER  
SCORCHING PERIOD WITH FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES ON WEDNESDAY AND  
FRIDAY IN THE LOW TO MID 90S ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. MESOSCALE  
SEA-BREEZES WILL VEER WINDS ONSHORE ALONG BOTH COASTS DURING THE  
AFTERNOON HOURS BRINGING SOME RELIEF TO COASTAL LOCALES.  
 
THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE BEGINS TO FLATTEN ON THURSDAY AS A LONG-WAVE  
TROUGH TRANSITS ACROSS THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES AS A COMBINED POLAR  
AND SOUTHERN JET-STREAM AMPLIFIES IN INTENSITY ONCE AGAIN. 500MB  
TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO BEGIN TO COOL AS 500MB FLOW BECOMES MORE  
ZONAL ACROSS THE REGION. A DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW AHEAD OF THE  
TROUGH ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES WILL PROVIDE ENOUGH  
SYNOPTIC INFLUENCE TO DRAG AN ATTENDANT FRONTAL BOUNDARY SOUTHWARD  
ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES ON THURSDAY AND POTENTIALLY  
INTO OUR REGION AT THE TAIL END OF THE WORK WEEK INTO THE UPCOMING  
WEEKEND. AS THIS IS AT THE TAIL END OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD, MORE  
FORECAST CLARITY WILL COME ON THE EVOLUTION OF THIS PATTERN AS WE  
MOVE FORWARD IN TIME.  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
 
(06Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 118 AM EDT SAT MAY 2 2026  
 
GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION BETWEEN  
13-15Z BEFORE ENHANCING FURTHER DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.  
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 20-25 KNOTS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT MOST TERMINALS  
FOR MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON BEFORE WINDS LESSEN BELOW 10 KNOTS  
AFTER SUNSET. INCREASING SHRA MAY ARRIVE ACROSS SWFL AFTER 00Z AND  
INCREASE IN COVERAGE THROUGH THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD. MVFR CIGS  
AND AN ERRATIC WIND SHIFT COULD BE REALIZED AT KAPF DURING THIS  
TIME PERIOD BUT CONFIDENCE REMAINS TOO LOW TO INCLUDE ANY LOWER  
CIGS/VIS AT THIS TIME.  
 
 
   
MARINE  
 
ISSUED AT 334 AM EDT SAT MAY 2 2026  
 
SURFACE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO ENHANCE OUT OF A SOUTHERLY DIRECTION  
DURING THE MID TO MORNING HOURS AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY PUSHES  
SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF AND FLORIDA PENINSULA. THIS WILL  
RESULT IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION (SCEC)  
CONDITIONS ACROSS LAKE OKEECHOBEE & SOUTHERN ATLANTIC WATERS AS THE  
DAY PROGRESSES WITH A WINDOW OF SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS  
ACROSS THE NORTHERN ATLANTIC WATERS BEGINNING LATE THIS MORNING AND  
PERSISTING INTO THE EVENING. CONSEQUENTLY, A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY  
HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE NORTHERN ATLANTIC WATERS BETWEEN 12PM TO 8PM  
TODAY AS HREF ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE PROBABILITIES OF 20 KNOTS OR GREATER  
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ACROSS THESE ZONES ARE IN THE HIGH, 80-100%  
RANGE.  
 
SEAS ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WATERS WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM 2 TO 4  
FEET TODAY BEFORE INCREASING TO THE 3 TO 5 FEET RANGE ON SUNDAY AS  
SURFACE WINDS VEER NORTHERLY BEHIND THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. SEAS WILL  
REMAIN IN THE 1 TO 2 FEET RANGE ACROSS THE GULF WATERS TODAY BEFORE  
INCREASING TO 2 TO 3 FEET ON SUNDAY. WINDS WILL LESSEN ACROSS THE  
REGION AFTER SUNSET BUT WEAKENING SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY  
MAY ARRIVE ACROSS LAKE OKEECHOBEE AND THE LOCAL GULF WATERS DURING  
THIS TIME PERIOD, WHICH COULD RESULT IN LOCALLY ELEVATED WINDS AND  
WAVES. WITH RAIN CHANCES REMAINING ELEVATED SUNDAY INTO MONDAY, ANY  
SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY COULD ALSO BRING LOCALLY HAZARDOUS  
WINDS AND WAVES. CONTINUED NORTHEASTERLY WINDS BEHIND THE FRONTAL  
BOUNDARY ON MONDAY COULD RESULT IN WAVE HEIGHTS REMAINING SLIGHTLY  
ELEVATED IN THE GULFSTREAM BEFORE WINDS VEER TO MORE OF AN EASTERLY  
COMPONENT ON TUESDAY AND WAVE HEIGHTS GRADUALLY LESSEN.  
 
 
   
BEACHES  
 
ISSUED AT 334 AM EDT SAT MAY 2 2026  
 
DUE TO A LINGERING NORTHEASTERLY SWELL, A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS  
WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE PALM BEACHES COUNTY BEACHES TODAY. A  
MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE AT MIAMI DADE AND  
BROWARD COUNTY BEACHES THROUGH THIS EVENING BEFORE THE RISK OF RIP  
CURRENTS DECREASES ON SUNDAY. WITH ONSHORE NORTHEASTERLY WINDS  
DEVELOPING DURING THE EARLY PORTION OF THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK, AN  
ELEVATED RISK OF RIP CURRENTS MAY ONCE AGAIN RETURN TO THE PALM  
BEACH COUNTY BEACHES.  
 
 
   
FIRE WEATHER  
 
ISSUED AT 334 AM EDT SAT MAY 2 2026  
 
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL ENHANCE AND BECOME BREEZY TO GUSTY THIS  
AFTERNOON OUT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS THE  
NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA. WIND SPEEDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS  
OF 25 TO 30 MPH COMBINED WITH DRY VEGETATION AND BORDERLINE CRITICAL  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES COULD SUPPORT A THREAT OF ELEVATED FIRE  
BEHAVIOR. HREF ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE DEPICTS HIGH PROBABILITY OF MEETING  
WIND THRESHOLDS FOR THE RED FLAG ADVISORY CRITERIA WITH WIND SPEED  
VALUES AT 90-100% CHANCE OF THRESHOLD EXCEEDANCE. THERE IS ALSO A  
MEDIUM PROBABILITY OF 40-60% OF DROPPING BELOW THE CRITICAL RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY THRESHOLD OF 35%. THE ONGOING DROUGHT, DRIED OUT  
VEGETATION, AND KINEMATICS MENTIONED ABOVE SUPPORT A THREAT FOR  
FAVORABLE FIRE SPREAD. A RED FLAG WARNING WILL GO INTO EFFECT FROM  
11AM TO 7PM TODAY FOR GLADES, HENDRY, INLAND PALM BEACH, AND INLAND  
BROWARD COUNTIES. WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY ARRIVING AND PUSHING  
ACROSS THE REGION ON SUNDAY, MOISTURE RETURN AND PRECIPITATION WILL  
ACT TO BRING INCREASED MOISTURE BACK INTO THE REGION.  
 
 
   
CLIMATE  
 
ISSUED AT 334 AM EDT SAT MAY 2 2026  
 
TODAY'S FORECASTED HIGH TEMPERATURE VALUES:  
MIAMI (KMIA): 93  
FORT LAUDERDALE (KFLL): 92  
WEST PALM BEACH (KPBI): 93  
 
TODAY'S 90TH PERCENTILE HIGH TEMPERATURE VALUES: (1 IN 10 CHANCE)  
MIAMI (KMIA): 95  
FORT LAUDERDALE (KFLL): 93  
WEST PALM BEACH (KPBI): 95  
 
TODAY'S RECORD MAXIMUM HIGH TEMPERATURE VALUES:  
MIAMI (KMIA): 93  
FORT LAUDERDALE (KFLL): 93  
WEST PALM BEACH (KPBI): 94  
 
 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS  
 
MIAMI 93 75 84 72 / 0 20 90 70  
WEST KENDALL 94 71 86 69 / 0 20 90 70  
OPA-LOCKA 94 74 85 71 / 0 20 90 70  
HOMESTEAD 92 74 86 71 / 0 20 80 70  
FORT LAUDERDALE 92 74 82 71 / 10 30 90 70  
N FT LAUDERDALE 92 74 81 71 / 10 30 90 70  
PEMBROKE PINES 96 76 85 71 / 0 30 90 70  
WEST PALM BEACH 94 72 79 70 / 10 40 90 60  
BOCA RATON 93 74 80 71 / 10 30 90 70  
NAPLES 88 72 83 68 / 0 60 70 40  
 
 
   
MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
FL...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EDT THIS  
EVENING FOR FLZ071.  
 
HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR FLZ168.  
 
AM... SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING  
FOR AMZ650-670.  
 
GM...NONE.  
 
 
 
 
SHORT TERM...HADI  
LONG TERM....HADI  
AVIATION...HADI  
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