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WTUS82 KMLB 100351
HLSMLB
FLZ041-044>046-053-058-141-144-154-159-164-247-254-259-264-347-447-547-647-747-101200-
HURRICANE MILTON LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL AL142024
1151 PM EDT WED OCT 9 2024
THIS PRODUCT COVERS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA
**A RARE AND HISTORIC EVENT UNFOLDING ACROSS PARTS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA**
**MILTON IS BRINGING DEVASTATING AND LIFE-THREATENING IMPACTS FROM HURRICANE
WINDS AND HIGH TO EXTREME FLOODING RAINFALL**
NEW INFORMATION
---------------
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- NONE
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A STORM SURGE WARNING AND HURRICANE WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR
COASTAL VOLUSIA, NORTHERN BREVARD BARRIER ISLANDS, AND SOUTHERN
BREVARD BARRIER ISLANDS
- A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL INDIAN RIVER,
COASTAL SAINT LUCIE, INLAND INDIAN RIVER, INLAND NORTHERN
BREVARD, INLAND SAINT LUCIE, INLAND SOUTHERN BREVARD, INLAND
VOLUSIA, MAINLAND NORTHERN BREVARD, MAINLAND SOUTHERN BREVARD,
NORTHERN LAKE, OKEECHOBEE, ORANGE, OSCEOLA, SEMINOLE, AND
SOUTHERN LAKE
- A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR
COASTAL MARTIN AND INLAND MARTIN
* STORM INFORMATION:
- ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ORLANDO FL
- 27.6N 82.0W
- STORM INTENSITY 105 MPH
- MOVEMENT EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 16 MPH
SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
AS OF 11 PM, HURRICANE MILTON WAS LOCATED OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA
ABOUT 75 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ORLANDO, OR ABOUT 100 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST
OF CAPE CANAVERAL, FLORIDA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 105 MPH, AND
MOVEMENT WAS TOWARD THE EAST NORTHEAST AT 16 MPH.
MILTON IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT CROSSES THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA OVERNIGHT. IT WILL THEN EXIT OFFSHORE THE EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST NEAR CAPE CANAVERAL THURSDAY MORNING. MILTON
WILL BRING THE THREAT OF DAMAGING HURRICANE WINDS AND GUSTS, AS WELL
AS SIGNIFICANT FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATERS. THE THREAT TO LIFE IS
HIGH! THIS IS PARTICULARLY TRUE IN VICINITY OF THE INTERSTATE
4 CORRIDOR, AND ALONG AND TO THE NORTH OF MILTON'S TRACK.
HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA,
EXCEPT MARTIN COUNTY, WHERE A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT.
LARGE AREAS WILL LIKELY EXPERIENCE SIGNIFICANT POWER OUTAGES AND
COMMUNICATIONS FAILURES.
A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COUNTIES.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES IS FORECAST IN THE
VICINITY OF THE I-4 CORRIDOR WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. WATER
RESCUES MAY BE NEEDED IN THE HARDEST HIT LOCATIONS. SOUTH OF MELBOURNE
AND LAKE KISSIMME, ADDITIONAL RAINFALL UP TO 2 INCHES WILL BE
POSSIBLE.
FLOODING RAINFALL WILL ALSO CAUSE RAPID RISES ON AREA CREEKS AND
STREAMS. THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER AT ASTOR IS FORECAST TO RISE QUICKLY TO
MAJOR FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY MORNING WITH A HISTORICAL CREST NEAR
RECORD FLOOD. ADDITIONAL LOCATIONS UPSTREAM ON THE SAINT JOHNS ARE
ALSO LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE RISES TO AT LEAST MINOR OR MODERATE FLOOD
STAGE THROUGH SATURDAY, AND POSSIBLY REACHING MAJOR FLOOD LEVELS AT
DELAND AND GENEVA BY SUNDAY.
A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL BREVARD BARRIER ISLANDS AND
COASTAL VOLUSIA COUNTY WHERE COASTAL FLOOD WATERS OF 3 TO 5 FEET ARE
POSSIBLE. SIGNIFICANT BEACH AND DUNE EROSION IS LIKELY. HEIGHTS UP TO
3 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE TREASURE COAST.
ALWAYS HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS!
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* WIND:
POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THE MAIN WIND EVENT ARE NOW UNFOLDING ACROSS
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. REMAIN WELL SHELTERED FROM LIFE-THREATENING WIND
HAVING ADDITIONAL EXTENSIVE IMPACTS. IF REALIZED, THESE IMPACTS INCLUDE:
- CONSIDERABLE ROOF DAMAGE TO STURDY BUILDINGS, WITH SOME HAVING
WINDOW, DOOR, AND GARAGE DOOR FAILURES LEADING TO STRUCTURAL
DAMAGE. MOBILE HOMES SEVERELY DAMAGED, WITH SOME DESTROYED.
DAMAGE ACCENTUATED BY AIRBORNE PROJECTILES. LOCATIONS MAY BE
UNINHABITABLE FOR WEEKS.
- MANY LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED ALONG WITH FENCES AND
ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER.
- SOME ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN URBAN
OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. SEVERAL BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS, AND
ACCESS ROUTES IMPASSABLE.
- LARGE AREAS WITH POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES.
* FLOODING RAIN:
PROTECT AGAINST LIFE-THREATENING RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
DEVASTATING IMPACTS ACROSS AREAS NORTH OF A KISSIMMEE TO TITUSVILLE
LINE. POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
- EXTREME RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT NUMEROUS EVACUATIONS AND
RESCUES.
- RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY OVERWHELMINGLY OVERFLOW THEIR BANKS
IN MANY PLACES WITH DEEP MOVING WATER. SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS,
CANALS, AND DITCHES MAY BECOME RAGING RIVERS. IN MOUNTAIN
AREAS, DEADLY RUNOFF MAY RAGE DOWN VALLEYS WHILE INCREASING
SUSCEPTIBILITY TO ROCKSLIDES AND MUDSLIDES. FLOOD CONTROL
SYSTEMS AND BARRIERS MAY BECOME STRESSED.
- FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER NUMEROUS STRUCTURES WITHIN MULTIPLE
COMMUNITIES, SOME STRUCTURES BECOMING UNINHABITABLE OR WASHED
AWAY. NUMEROUS PLACES WHERE FLOOD WATERS MAY COVER ESCAPE
ROUTES. STREETS AND PARKING LOTS BECOME RIVERS OF RAGING WATER
WITH UNDERPASSES SUBMERGED. DRIVING CONDITIONS BECOME VERY
DANGEROUS. NUMEROUS ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES WITH SOME WEAKENED
OR WASHED OUT.
PROTECT AGAINST LIFE-THREATENING RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
LIMITED TO EXTENSIVE IMPACTS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA.
* SURGE:
PROTECT AGAINST LIFE-THREATENING SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS ACROSS THE IMMEDIATE VOLUSIA AND BREVARD COUNTY COASTLINES.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:
- AREAS OF INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING ACCENTUATED BY
WAVES. DAMAGE TO SEVERAL BUILDINGS, MAINLY NEAR THE COAST.
- SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ESCAPE ROUTES AND SECONDARY ROADS BECOME
WEAKENED OR WASHED OUT, ESPECIALLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE LOW
SPOTS.
- MAJOR BEACH EROSION WITH HEAVY SURF BREACHING DUNES. STRONG AND
NUMEROUS RIP CURRENTS.
- MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, AND PIERS.
SEVERAL SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS, ESPECIALLY IN
UNPROTECTED ANCHORAGES.
* TORNADOES:
POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM TORNADOES ARE STILL POSSIBLE. REMAIN WELL BRACED
AGAINST A TORNADO EVENT HAVING ADDITIONAL LIMITED IMPACTS. IF REALIZED,
THESE IMPACTS INCLUDE:
- THE OCCURRENCE OF ISOLATED TORNADOES CAN HINDER THE EXECUTION
OF EMERGENCY PLANS DURING TROPICAL EVENTS.
- A FEW PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE TORNADO DAMAGE, ALONG WITH POWER
AND COMMUNICATIONS DISRUPTIONS.
- LOCATIONS COULD REALIZE ROOFS PEELED OFF BUILDINGS, CHIMNEYS
TOPPLED, MOBILE HOMES PUSHED OFF FOUNDATIONS OR OVERTURNED,
LARGE TREE TOPS AND BRANCHES SNAPPED OFF, SHALLOW-ROOTED TREES
KNOCKED OVER, MOVING VEHICLES BLOWN OFF ROADS, AND SMALL BOATS
PULLED FROM MOORINGS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
* EVACUATIONS:
FOLLOW THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS.
* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
NOW IS THE TIME TO STAY INSIDE AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS. LISTEN FOR
UPDATES AND BE READY IN CASE YOU LOSE ELECTRICAL POWER. KEEP A
BATTERY-POWERED RADIO, CHARGED CELL PHONE AND FLASHLIGHT HANDY.
DURING THE PEAK OF THE STORM BE READY TO MOVE QUICKLY. KEEP YOUR
SHOES ON AND RAIN GEAR HANDY. BOOTS AND ATHLETIC SHOES OFFER THE BEST
FOOT PROTECTION IF YOU BECOME UNEXPECTEDLY EXPOSED TO THE WEATHER.
KEEP YOUR CELL PHONE CHARGED AND IN POWER-SAVING MODE. IF YOU LOSE
POWER, USE IT SPARINGLY AND MAINLY FOR PERSONAL EMERGENCIES AND
CHECK-INS.
DO NOT VENTURE OUTSIDE AS ANY IMPROVEMENT IN WEATHER WILL ONLY BE
TEMPORARY UNTIL THE STORM MOVES COMPLETELY OUT OF THE AREA, SO REMAIN
SAFELY SHELTERED FROM THE STORM.
IF YOU ARE PRONE TO FLOODING OR IN AN AREA UNDER A STORM SURGE WATCH
OR WARNING, BE PREPARED FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF A QUICK AND DRAMATIC
RISE IN WATER LEVELS.
BE SURE TO LET FRIENDS AND FAMILY MEMBERS KNOW OF YOUR INTENTIONS FOR
WEATHERING THE STORM AND YOUR WHEREABOUTS. HAVE SOMEONE LOCATED AWAY
FROM THE THREATENED AREA SERVE AS YOUR POINT OF CONTACT. SHARE VITAL
CONTACT INFORMATION WITH OTHERS.
ALWAYS HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ORDERS THAT
ARE ISSUED. DO NOT NEEDLESSLY JEOPARDIZE YOUR LIFE OR THE LIVES OF
OTHERS.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG
NEXT UPDATE
-----------
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE FL AROUND 6 AM EDT, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
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