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WTUS82 KMLB 100938
HLSMLB
FLZ041-044>046-053-058-141-144-154-159-164-247-254-259-264-347-447-547-647-747-101800-
HURRICANE MILTON LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL AL142024
538 AM EDT THU OCT 10 2024
THIS PRODUCT COVERS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA
**HURRICANE MILTON CROSSES EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA OVERNIGHT**
**STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL CONTINUE EARLY THIS MORNING AND LINGER ALONG
COASTAL AREAS THIS AFTERNOON**
**MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING ALONG MUCH OF THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER**
NEW INFORMATION
---------------
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- THE HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR COASTAL MARTIN AND
INLAND MARTIN
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL MARTIN AND
INLAND MARTIN
- A STORM SURGE WARNING AND HURRICANE WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR
COASTAL VOLUSIA, NORTHERN BREVARD BARRIER ISLANDS, AND SOUTHERN
BREVARD BARRIER ISLANDS
- A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL INDIAN RIVER,
COASTAL SAINT LUCIE, INLAND INDIAN RIVER, INLAND NORTHERN
BREVARD, INLAND SAINT LUCIE, INLAND SOUTHERN BREVARD, INLAND
VOLUSIA, MAINLAND NORTHERN BREVARD, MAINLAND SOUTHERN BREVARD,
NORTHERN LAKE, OKEECHOBEE, ORANGE, OSCEOLA, SEMINOLE, AND
SOUTHERN LAKE
* STORM INFORMATION:
- ABOUT 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF CAPE CANAVERAL FL
- 28.5N 80.5W
- STORM INTENSITY 85 MPH
- MOVEMENT NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 18 MPH
SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
AT 5 AM, THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MILTON WAS LOCATED 10 MILES NORTHEAST
OF CAPE CANAVERAL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 MPH, AND MOVEMENT WAS
TOWARD THE EAST NORTHEAST AT 18 MPH.
MILTON IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN HURRICANE STRENGTH THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON
AS THE SYSTEM MOVES FARTHER OFFSHORE ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WATERS BY THE
LATE AFTERNOON HOURS. A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT ASSOCIATED WITH MILTON
WILL CONTINUE VERY STRONG WINDS ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THIS MORNING.
SOME DAMAGING WINDS GUSTS TO 65 TO 75 MPH MAY OCCUR THIS MORNING ACROSS
MUCH OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA AND CONTINUE INTO THIS AFTERNOON ALONG COASTAL
AREAS, MAINLY NORTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET.
THE RISK OF CONTINUED FLOODING WILL REMAIN ELEVATED ACROSS VOLUSIA
COUNTY THIS MORNING AND URBAN FLOODING WILL BE SLOW TO DRAIN.
HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA,
EXCEPT MARTIN COUNTY, WHERE A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT. THE
STRONG WINDS CONTINUING THIS MORNING ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA AND
STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST INTO THIS AFTERNOON
WILL BRING CONTINUED POWER OUTAGES TO SOME AREAS.
A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT TODAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS VOLUSIA COUNTY. SOUTH OF MELBOURNE
AND LAKE KISSIMME, ADDITIONAL RAINFALL UP TO 2 INCHES WILL BE
POSSIBLE.
THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER AT ASTOR WILL BE NEAR RECORD FLOOD LEVELS THIS
AFTERNOON AND INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. ADDITIONAL LOCATIONS UPSTREAM
ON THE SAINT JOHNS ARE ALSO LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE RISES TO MODERATE TO
MAJOR FLOOD STAGE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL BREVARD BARRIER ISLANDS AND
COASTAL VOLUSIA COUNTY WHERE COASTAL FLOOD WATERS OF 3 TO 5 FEET ARE
POSSIBLE. SIGNIFICANT BEACH AND DUNE EROSION IS LIKELY. HEIGHTS UP TO
3 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE TREASURE COAST. ADDITIONAL DUNE
EROSION IS POSSIBLE NEAR THE TIME OF THE NEXT HIGH TIDE BETWEEN 1 AND
3 PM THIS AFTERNOON. WATER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO BE ELEVATED ALONG
THE ATLANTIC COAST ON FRIDAY WITH MINOR COASTAL FLOODING POSSIBLE NEAR
THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE.
DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED ROADWAYS. BE ESPECIALLY CAREFUL NEAR DOWNED
TREES AND POWER LINES WHEN CLEANING UP FROM THE STORM.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* WIND:
POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THE MAIN WIND EVENT ARE NOW UNFOLDING ACROSS
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. REMAIN WELL SHELTERED FROM LIFE-THREATENING WIND
HAVING POSSIBLE EXTENSIVE IMPACTS. IF REALIZED, THESE IMPACTS INCLUDE:
- CONSIDERABLE ROOF DAMAGE TO STURDY BUILDINGS, WITH SOME HAVING
WINDOW, DOOR, AND GARAGE DOOR FAILURES LEADING TO STRUCTURAL
DAMAGE. MOBILE HOMES SEVERELY DAMAGED, WITH SOME DESTROYED.
DAMAGE ACCENTUATED BY AIRBORNE PROJECTILES. LOCATIONS MAY BE
UNINHABITABLE FOR WEEKS.
- MANY LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED ALONG WITH FENCES AND
ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER.
- SOME ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN URBAN
OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. SEVERAL BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS, AND
ACCESS ROUTES IMPASSABLE.
- LARGE AREAS WITH POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES.
* FLOODING RAIN:
POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THE FLOODING RAIN ARE STILL UNFOLDING ACROSS
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. REMAIN WELL GUARDED AGAINST LOCALLY
HAZARDOUS FLOOD WATERS HAVING ADDITIONAL IMPACTS.
IF REALIZED, THESE IMPACTS INCLUDE:
- LOCALIZED RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT A FEW EVACUATIONS.
- RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY QUICKLY RISE WITH SWIFTER CURRENTS.
SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS, AND DITCHES MAY BECOME SWOLLEN
AND OVERFLOW IN SPOTS.
- FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER A FEW STRUCTURES, ESPECIALLY IN USUALLY
VULNERABLE SPOTS. A FEW PLACES WHERE RAPID PONDING OF WATER
OCCURS AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS. SEVERAL STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS BECOME
NEAR-FULL AND BEGIN TO OVERFLOW. SOME BRIEF ROAD AND BRIDGE
CLOSURES.
* SURGE:
POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THE MAIN SURGE EVENT ARE NOW UNFOLDING ACROSS
COASTAL SECTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. REMAIN WELL AWAY FROM
LIFE-THREATENING SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS. IF
REALIZED, THESE IMPACTS INCLUDE:
- AREAS OF INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING ACCENTUATED BY
WAVES. DAMAGE TO SEVERAL BUILDINGS, MAINLY NEAR THE COAST.
- SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ESCAPE ROUTES AND SECONDARY ROADS BECOME
WEAKENED OR WASHED OUT, ESPECIALLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE LOW
SPOTS.
- MAJOR BEACH EROSION WITH HEAVY SURF BREACHING DUNES. STRONG AND
NUMEROUS RIP CURRENTS.
- MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, AND PIERS.
SEVERAL SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS, ESPECIALLY IN
UNPROTECTED ANCHORAGES.
* TORNADOES:
LITTLE TO NO ADDITIONAL IMPACTS ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME ACROSS
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
* EVACUATIONS:
FOLLOW THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS.
* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
LISTEN FOR UPDATES AND BE READY IN CASE YOU LOSE ELECTRICAL POWER. KEEP A
BATTERY-POWERED RADIO, CHARGED CELL PHONE AND FLASHLIGHT HANDY.
KEEP YOUR CELL PHONE CHARGED AND IN POWER-SAVING MODE. IF YOU LOSE
POWER, USE IT SPARINGLY AND MAINLY FOR PERSONAL EMERGENCIES AND
CHECK-INS.
IF YOU ARE PRONE TO FLOODING OR IN AN AREA UNDER A STORM SURGE WATCH
OR WARNING, BE PREPARED FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF A QUICK AND DRAMATIC
RISE IN WATER LEVELS.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG
NEXT UPDATE
-----------
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE FL AROUND NOON EDT, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.
VOLKMER
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