118
FXUS62 KMLB 181732
AFDMLB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
1232 PM EST MON NOV 18 2024
..NEW AVIATION
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1229 PM EST MON NOV 18 2024
AVIATION IMPACTS REMAIN LOW. A 4KFT TO 5KFT CIG CONTINUES TO
LINGER FOR MOST TAF SITES WITH A GENERAL E TO ESE FLOW IN PLACE.
HOWEVER, THERE IS SOME CLEARING OVER THE INTERIOR. THE SETUP
REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR AT LEAST SCT CLOUDS IN THIS RANGE TO REMAIN
THROUGH THE ENTIRE TAF PERIOD AS THE ESE FLOW PREVAILS. INCREASING
IMPACTS ARE POSSIBLE LATE TOMORROW NIGHT AND INTO WEDNESDAY AS A
COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE REGION.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 909 AM EST MON NOV 18 2024
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST U.S. VISIBLE
SATELLITE SHOWS BROKEN TO OVERCAST SKIES ACROSS MUCH OF EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA THIS MORNING WHILE A THIN BAND OF LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE PERSISTS. OTHERWISE, THE 11Z XMR SOUNDING INDICATES A
VERY DRY ATMOSPHERIC COLUMN (0.66" PWAT), AND PRECIP IS NOT
FORECAST. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE NEAR SEASONAL VALUES
IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 500 AM EST MON NOV 18 2024
CURRENTLY-TONIGHT... FAVORABLE BOATING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. DRY WEATHER IS
FORECAST WITH LIGHT EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS AT 5-10KTS. SEAS ARE
FORECAST UP TO 2-3FT OVER THE NEARSHORE VOLUSIA AND BREVARD
COUNTY WATERS WITH UP TO 4-5FT OVER THE GULF STREAM AND THE
NEARSHORE TREASURE COAST WATERS.
TUESDAY-FRIDAY... DRY WEATHER AND FAVORABLE BOATING CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY SHIFTS EAST
OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC BEFORE A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
EAST-SOUTHEAST OVER THE LOCAL ATLANTIC WATERS WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY. LIGHT SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS AT 6-12KTS TUESDAY ARE
FORECAST TO VEER SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WEDNESDAY AT 15-20KTS NORTH-
NORTHWEST THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY AT 15-25KTS. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO
BUILD TO 2-3FT TUESDAY, 3-4FT WEDNESDAY, AND INCREASE TO 4-6FT
NEARSHORE WITH UP TO 6-9FT OFFSHORE (20-60NM) THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS ARE FORECAST LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY (POPS ~ 50-60%) WHICH WILL BE CAPABLE OF
HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 60 83 69 81 / 10 10 50 60
MCO 61 85 69 81 / 0 0 40 60
MLB 64 84 70 81 / 10 10 20 60
VRB 64 84 71 82 / 0 10 20 70
LEE 61 84 70 81 / 0 0 60 60
SFB 60 85 69 81 / 0 0 40 60
ORL 61 85 70 81 / 0 0 40 60
FPR 63 84 69 81 / 0 10 10 70
MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
UPDATE...LAW
AVIATION...FLANNERY (TBW)
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