669
FNUS72 KMLB 290556
FWSMLB
SPOT FORECAST FOR FWC BROADMOOR RESERVOIR...FWC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
156 AM EDT THU MAY 29 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MAY 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS THIS MORNING TURN TOWARD THE
SOUTHEAST BY 1-3 PM AS A SEA BREEZE PUSHES INLAND. TRANSPORT WIND
DIRECTIONAL CHANGES MAY BE DELAYED COMPARED TO SURFACE WINDS.
SIMILAR TO THE LAST FEW DAYS, A FEW STORMS MAY TRY TO FORM NEARBY
OR OVERHEAD ON THE ADVANCING SEA BREEZE BY 1-3 PM (30-40%
CHANCE). IN THESE CIRCUMSTANCES, BE MINDFUL THAT LIGHTNING CAN
OCCUR BEFORE RAIN BEGINS TO FALL! THERE IS A SLIGHTLY BETTER
CHANCE (40-60%) THAT STORMS APPROACH FROM THE WEST AFTER 4-6 PM.
ERRATIC WIND GUSTS AND DIRECTIONS ARE LIKELY IN STORMS TODAY; WIND
GUSTS EXCEEDING 40-50 MPH HAVE A LOW POTENTIAL OF ACCOMPANYING
THE STRONGEST STORMS.
OTHERWISE, MINIMUM RH READINGS EXCEED 50% AND DISPERSION SHOULD
BECOME GOOD.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON, THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5100 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO 2700 FT AGL LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....28 INCREASING TO 40.
LVORI...............4 DECREASING TO 1 IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........14 18 17 25 24 34 37 54 58
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC LKY CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC LKY CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 10 50 50 60 50
TEMP............79 84 87 89 90 90 90 91 89
RH..............91 77 68 61 60 60 60 58 61
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 7 7 6 7 7 9 9
20 FT WIND GUST.14 10 9 8 7 8 9 12 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 2.9 3.7 4.5 5.0 5.1 4.9 3.6 2.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S SE S
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 8 8 7 7 8 8 10
DISPERSION IDX..23 32 34 43 41 44 44 39 35
LVORI...........4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING,
THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
LATE IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE
IN THE EVENING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT OVERNIGHT
BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....31 DECREASING TO 5.
LVORI...............3 INCREASING TO 7.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 10 PM 2 AM
SKY (%).........60 68 36
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
TSTM COV........CHANCE S CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 20 10
TEMP............88 77 75
RH..............63 90 90
20 FT WIND......SE 9G15 S 5G12 S 3G7
MIX HGT (FT)....2100 800 800
TRANSPORT WIND..S 13 SW 8 S 5
DISPERSION IDX..31 5 2
LVORI...........2 6 7
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900 FT AGL IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 16
MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 76.
LVORI...............7 INCREASING TO 9 EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN
DECREASING TO 6 EARLY IN THE MORNING DECREASING
TO 4 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 1.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM
SKY (%).........58 47 42
WEATHER COV..... S CHC LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ S CHC LIKELY
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 60
TEMP............73 82 90
RH..............93 82 60
20 FT WIND......SW 5G8 SW 9G14 SW 12G17
MIX HGT (FT)....400 3000 4900
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 6 SW 15 SW 16
DISPERSION IDX..4 52 77
LVORI...........7 3 1
FORECASTER...HEIL
REQUESTED BY...JON WEBB
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2514923.0/MLB
.DELDT 05/29/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JONATHAN.WEBB@MYFWC.COM
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