731
FNUS72 KMLB 291143
FWSMLB
SPOT FORECAST FOR HINSON...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
743 AM EDT THU MAY 29 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0800 EDT ON MAY 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
GOOD MORNING. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PREVAIL TODAY, WITH
LIGHT WIND SPEEDS THIS MORNING INCREASING BY LATE MORNING, BUT
WILL GENERALLY REMAIN UNDER 10 MPH. THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE IS
FORECAST TO REMAIN TO THE EAST OF THE BURN SITE, WITH THE WEST
COAST SEA BREEZE BEING SLIGHTLY MORE DOMINATE TODAY AND IS
FORECAST TO PUSH THROUGH THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON, WHICH MAY
INCREASE WINDS TO AROUND 10 MPH BEHIND THE SEA BREEZE. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND LIGHTNING STORMS (RAIN CHANCES 40-70 PERCENT) ALONG
THE WEST COAST SEA BREEZE WILL PUSH INTO AND AROUND THE BURN AREA
MID TO LATE AFTERNOON WITH THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR STORMS BEING
4PM-8PM AS THE WEST COAST SEA BREEZE PUSHES THROUGH AND BOUNDARY
INTERACTIONS/COLLISIONS OCCUR. THE MAIN STORM THREATS WITH THE
STRONGER STORMS WILL BE OCCASIONAL TO FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES
AND GUSTY WINDS OF 40-50 MPH.
MIN RH VALUES WILL DROP TO 45-50 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON. SMOKE
DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE GOOD TO VERY GOOD TODAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 77.
LVORI...............6 DECREASING TO 1.
TIME (EDT) 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM
SKY (%).........25 26 21 17 23 39 43 50 57 61
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC LKY
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC LKY
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 10 30 40 50 60
TEMP............75 78 84 87 90 92 93 93 94 92
RH..............94 91 77 67 58 52 51 49 46 51
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 5 6 6 6 6 7 7 6
20 FT WIND GUST.7 9 8 7 7 7 10 12 12 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.4 2.4 3.5 4.9 5.7 6.2 6.0 5.5 5.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 6 6 7 8 9 9 10 10 14
DISPERSION IDX..5 10 20 31 47 60 70 73 66 77
LVORI...........6 5 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN
THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL LATE IN THE
EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....40 DECREASING TO 5.
LVORI...............2 INCREASING TO 8.
TIME (EDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM
SKY (%).........62 59 69 49 63 66 62 47 36 41 54 47
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 60 30 30 30 20 10 10 0 0 0 0
TEMP............91 88 83 80 79 77 76 76 75 74 73 73
RH..............52 59 72 79 85 88 90 87 90 93 97 97
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW S SW SW SW S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 5 2 1 1 1 1 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.14 16 15 16 12 7 6 6 7 7 7 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 1.8 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 8 7 8 7 6 6 6 7 7 7
DISPERSION IDX..40 24 6 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
LVORI...........1 2 3 4 5 6 6 6 6 7 8 8
FORECASTER...WATSON
REQUESTED BY...COLEMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2514913.1/MLB
.DELDT 05/29/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL RYAN.COLEMAN@USDA.GOV,FLFIC@FIRENET.GOV
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