451
FNUS72 KMLB 091358
FWSMLB
SPOT FORECAST FOR THREE LAKES - F3,E4,F5...FWC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
958 AM EDT WED JUL 9 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON JULY 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON. WEAK
FLOW RESULTING IN LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS THROUGH THE EARLY
AFTERNOON, SHIFTING TO THE EAST AT AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON WITH THE SEA BREEZE. HIGHEST CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND
STORMS AFTER 4 PM, PRIOR TO A SEA BREEZE COLLISION NEAR THE BURN
SITE BETWEEN 6-8 PM (CHANCES 40-60%). WINDS BECOME LIGHT AND
VARIABLE AGAIN OVERNIGHT, THEN LIGHT SOUTHERLY THURSDAY UNTIL THE
SEA BREEZE PUSHES THROUGH IN THE LATE AFTERNOON, SHIFTING WINDS
SOUTHEAST. SLIGHTLY HIGHER RAIN CHANCES UP TO AROUND 70%.
AFTERNOON SMOKE DISPERSION WILL BE POOR, WITH STAGNATION POSSIBLE
DUE TO WEAK TRANSPORT WINDS. MIN RHS 55-60 PCT. AFTERNOON HIGHS IN
THE L-M90S, WITH PEAK HEAT INDICES IN THE M100S.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3900-4400 FT AGL
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 MPH OR LESS SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....INCREASING TO 21 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4 DECREASING TO 2 IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........27 26 31 35 43 49 50 58
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 30 40 40 50 50
TEMP............86 87 89 91 92 91 91 88
RH..............72 70 64 60 56 56 56 61
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N NE NE E SE
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 3 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 6 5 6 7 7 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.4 3.9 3.0 2.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NW NW NW W SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 3 3 5 5 3 8
DISPERSION IDX..8 13 16 18 23 21 17 18
LVORI...........4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING,
THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
LATE IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
AROUND 5 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....DECREASING TO 4 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
LVORI...............INCREASING TO 8.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........61 63 64 57 51 44 39 46 43 39 19 18
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 30 20 20 10 10 10 10 0 0 0
TEMP............86 84 79 77 77 76 76 75 74 74 74 73
RH..............65 70 82 88 88 90 90 94 97 97 93 97
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 7 7 6 6 5 6 5 5 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.E SE SE S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 8 8 5 5 6 7 7 7 6 5
DISPERSION IDX..19 13 5 4 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 2
LVORI...........3 3 4 5 6 6 6 6 7 7 6 8
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800 FT AGL LATE IN
THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....INCREASING TO 25.
LVORI...............10 DECREASING TO 2 IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........23 12 14 6 9 12 22 31 41 48 56 63
WEATHER COV..... LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 60 60 60 60
TEMP............73 72 75 79 83 87 89 91 92 91 90 89
RH..............97 100 100 91 77 68 64 58 56 56 58 59
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW W SW SW SW S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 3 3 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 5 5 6 7 8 8 9 10 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.6 1.4 2.3 3.1 3.3 3.6 3.8 3.2 2.6 1.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 8 9
DISPERSION IDX..3 2 3 7 14 18 20 21 23 25 26 23
LVORI...........8 10 9 5 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2
FORECASTER...HALEY
REQUESTED BY...STEVE GLASS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2517654.0/MLB
.DELDT 07/09/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL STEVE.GLASS@MYFWC.COM
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