898  
FNUS72 KMLB 190915  
FWSMLB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR JDSP D3...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL  
515 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON AUGUST 19.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
NORTH TO NORTHEAST SURFACE AND TRANSPORT WINDS WILL  
PRODUCE VERY GOOD DISPERSION THIS AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND  
ISOLATED STORMS WILL PUSH ONSHORE THE COAST THIS MORNING AND MAY AFFECT  
THE BURN SITE. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND STORMS THIS AFTERNOON MAY STAY  
INLAND FROM THE BURN SITE.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.  
MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700 FT AGL IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 17 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 55.  
LVORI...............6 DECREASING TO 3 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
DECREASING TO 1 IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO  
3 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........28 23 22 25 26 30 33 30 24 18  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 30 50 50 50 40  
TEMP............81 85 87 88 89 89 90 90 89 88  
RH..............91 80 75 72 68 68 66 66 68 70  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 9 10 10 12 13 13 13 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 10 13 15 15 16 17 17 17 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 2.1 3.0 3.3 3.4 3.3 3.7 3.5 3.3 3.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 10 12 13 14 14 15 16 17 17  
DISPERSION IDX..12 29 40 47 49 48 53 55 56 55  
LVORI...........5 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 3  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.  
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL IN THE  
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
AFTER 3 AM.  
DISPERSION INDEX....49 DECREASING TO 10 EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
LVORI...............3 INCREASING TO 6.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........27 28 8 18 31 12  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........S CHC S CHC S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 10 10 10  
TEMP............87 84 82 81 79 78  
RH..............72 77 79 85 94 94  
20 FT WIND......N 12 N 9 N 6 N 6 NW 5 NW 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 17 16 15 14 15  
MIX HGT (FT)....2900 1500 500 500 700 500  
TRANSPORT WIND..N 17 N 15 N 13 N 9 N 9 NW 12  
DISPERSION IDX..52 13 9 7 6 7  
LVORI...........2 4 4 4 5 5  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.  
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3900 FT AGL IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....9 INCREASING TO 19 EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 36 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING  
TO 51 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 59  
DECREASING TO 47 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO 35.  
LVORI...............6 DECREASING TO 3 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
DECREASING TO 2 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING  
TO 3 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........11 11 27 40  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC CHANCE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 50  
TEMP............76 83 91 91  
RH..............97 82 62 64  
20 FT WIND......NW 7G16 NW 10G17 NW 10G17 NW 10G17  
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1900 3800 3300  
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 13 NW 15 NW 14 NW 12  
DISPERSION IDX..8 36 59 44  
LVORI...........6 3 1 1  
 

 
FORECASTER...KELLY  
REQUESTED BY...MIRANDA CUNNINGHAM  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2520154.0/MLB  
.DELDT 08/19/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MIRANDA.CUNNINGHAM@FLORIDADEP.GOV  
 
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