548
FNUS72 KMLB 081740
FWSMLB
SPOT FORECAST FOR UCF UNIT 8 PRESCRIBED BURN...UNIVERSITY OF CENTRAL FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1240 PM EST THU JAN 8 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EST ON JANUARY 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
LOCALLY DENSE FOG IS FORECAST NEAR THE BURN SITE EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING. ANY FOG THAT DEVELOPS IS ANTICIPATED TO CLEAR LATE
MORNING, WITH DRY CONDITIONS PERSISTING THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE DAY. MINIMUM RH VALUES ARE FORECAST TO FALL INTO THE UPPER
50S, WITH PREVAILING LIGHT WINDS PICKING UP TO 5 TO 10 MPH OUT OF
THE SOUTHEAST INTO THE AFTERNOON. AFTERNOON SMOKE DISPERSION
VALUES ARE FORECAST TO BE FAIR ON FRIDAY. DRY CONDITIONS PERSIST
OVERNIGHT ON FRIDAY, WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE TO
CALM ONCE MORE. FOG DEVELOPMENT WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN LATE
FRIDAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY, AND THE COMBINATION OF ANY LINGERING
SMOKE AND FOG COULD LEAD TO EVEN FURTHER REDUCED VISIBILITIES
LOCALLY.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN PATCHY FOG LATE IN
THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 41, THEN DECREASING TO 31.
LVORI...............9 DECREASING TO 1.
TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........38 29 32 35 29 31 30 31 31 26
WEATHER COV.....ARS PTY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0
TEMP............64 67 72 76 78 79 80 81 79 78
RH..............100 93 84 74 67 64 62 58 62 64
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 5 6 6 7 8 8 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 7 9 10 12 12 13 13 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.8 1.5 2.3 3.1 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.4 2.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE S S SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 7 8 9 9 8 9 8 10 10
DISPERSION IDX..3 6 16 27 34 38 41 35 37 31
LVORI...........9 6 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG
OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5.
LVORI...............3 INCREASING TO 9.
TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........21 14 22 19 18 17
WEATHER COV..... PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE FOG FOG
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............75 70 67 66 64 63
RH..............71 84 93 93 97 100
20 FT WIND......E 8 E 7 SE 6 SE 5 SE 3 S 2
20 FT WIND GUST.12 9 8 7 6 5
MIX HGT (FT)....500 700 600 500 500 400
TRANSPORT WIND..E 10 SE 9 SE 9 SE 8 SE 7 S 6
DISPERSION IDX..6 4 4 4 3 3
LVORI...........3 5 6 7 9 9
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE
MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN
THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200 FT AGL LATE IN
THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 54.
LVORI...............9 DECREASING TO 1.
TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........21 21 19 26 30 29
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............62 65 71 77 80 80
RH..............100 97 84 67 60 58
20 FT WIND......S 2 S 2 S 3 S 6 S 7 S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 6 9 10 9
MIX HGT (FT)....200 600 1700 3100 4100 3900
TRANSPORT WIND..S 6 S 7 S 9 S 9 S 10 S 12
DISPERSION IDX..3 6 19 35 50 54
LVORI...........9 7 4 3 1 1
FORECASTER...TOLLEFSEN
REQUESTED BY...AMANDA LINDSAY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2528587.0/MLB
.DELDT 01/08/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL AMANDA.LINDSAY@UCF.EDU
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