716
FNUS72 KMLB 210755
FWSMLB
SPOT FORECAST FOR RKS23 SW...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
255 AM EST WED JAN 21 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EST ON JANUARY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
EASTERLY WINDS DEVELOP NEAR THE BURN SITE TODAY, WITH WIND SPEEDS
OF 10 TO 15 MPH POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. MINIMUM RH VALUES ARE
FORECAST TO FALL INTO THE UPPER 40S TODAY, REMAINING WELL ABOVE
CRITICAL THRESHOLDS AS MOISTURE INCREASES ACROSS THE AREA. VERY
GOOD SMOKE DISPERSION VALUES ARE FORECAST TODAY. BY THURSDAY,
WINDS SHIFT TO OUT OF THE NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH AND SMOKE
DISPERSIONS BECOME FAIR AS TRANSPORT WINDS WEAKEN. NO MINIMUM RH
CONCERNS ANTICIPATED ON THURSDAY. RAIN IS NOT FORECAST NEAR THE
BURN SITE TODAY OR ON THURSDAY.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
8 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL LATE IN
THE MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO 5400 FT AGL
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 3000 FT AGL
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 12
TO 16 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 65 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
DECREASING TO 49 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6 DECREASING TO 1.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........44 35 31 15 21 21 27 32 45 35 44 50
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............47 48 49 56 62 67 70 72 72 72 72 71
RH..............88 87 91 76 64 55 50 49 48 48 48 53
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NE NE NE E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 7 8 8 9 9 9 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.14 13 13 14 14 14 15 15 15 14 14 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 1.2 3.3 4.5 5.3 5.4 5.3 4.9 3.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N NE NE E E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 9 10 12 16 15 14 12 12 13 13
DISPERSION IDX..7 5 5 8 18 64 65 58 52 50 60 49
LVORI...........5 5 6 4 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-70 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 12 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 8 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....6.
LVORI...............3 INCREASING TO 9.
TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........55 62 78 76 65 68
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............68 62 59 57 56 55
RH..............62 78 87 94 94 99
20 FT WIND......NE 7 NE 5 NE 3 N 2 N 2 N 3
20 FT WIND GUST.12 9 7 7 7 7
MIX HGT (FT)....700 500 500 400 400 400
TRANSPORT WIND..E 12 E 10 NE 8 NE 7 N 7 NE 7
DISPERSION IDX..9 6 4 3 3 3
LVORI...........3 4 6 6 6 9
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY
IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 8 TO
10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 36.
LVORI...............8 DECREASING TO 1.
TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........74 74 75 80 77 67
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............55 56 66 72 75 75
RH..............95 96 81 69 60 61
20 FT WIND......N 3 N 5 N 6 NE 6 NE 6 NE 7
20 FT WIND GUST.8 9 10 12 12 13
MIX HGT (FT)....400 500 1100 3500 5000 4400
TRANSPORT WIND..N 7 NE 8 NE 9 NE 8 E 7 E 9
DISPERSION IDX..3 5 14 34 29 36
LVORI...........8 7 4 3 2 1
FORECASTER...TOLLEFSEN
REQUESTED BY...BENJAMIN BANDOR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2600673.0/MLB
.DELDT 01/21/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL BEN.BANDOR@FLORIDADEP.GOV
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