071
FNUS72 KMLB 211359
FWSMLB
SPOT FORECAST FOR HILOCHEE WMA PRESCRIBED BURN...FWC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
859 AM EST WED JAN 21 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EST ON JANUARY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
AS HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS GRADUALLY BUILD AND SCATTERED LOW TO MID
LEVEL CLOUDS MOVE ONSHORE FROM THE ATLANTIC, TEMPERATURES WILL
CLIMB INTO THE LOW TO MID 70S BY THIS AFTERNOON. NORTH-NORTHEAST WINDS
NEAR OR JUST UNDER 10 MPH TURNING EASTERLY BY MIDDAY, AND
GUSTS AROUND 15 MPH CANNOT BE RULED OUT. DRY CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE DESPITE A GRADUAL INCREASE IN MOISTURE, LEADING TO MIN RH
VALUES IN THE UPPER 40 TO LOW 50 PERCENT RANGE. GOOD TO VERY GOOD
DISPERSION IS FORECAST THROUGH SUNSET.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL LATE IN
THE MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO 5400 FT AGL
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 3300 FT AGL
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 13 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 13
TO 16 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....10 INCREASING TO 22 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 58 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING
TO 49 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4 DECREASING TO 2 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........12 14 13 13 25 40 39 40 38
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............56 63 68 69 72 73 73 73 71
RH..............76 63 54 52 49 48 48 47 52
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 9 10 10 10 10 9 8
20 FT WIND GUST.15 16 16 16 16 16 15 15 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 1.2 3.1 4.2 5.0 5.4 5.3 4.9 3.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE E E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 14 17 16 15 14 13 13 14
DISPERSION IDX..10 22 56 60 62 61 54 53 49
LVORI...........4 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND
5 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....6.
LVORI...............4 INCREASING TO 8.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........44 51 60 64 72 79 77 72 67 64 57 69
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............68 65 62 61 60 58 57 57 56 55 56 55
RH..............60 67 75 81 84 90 91 94 94 99 97 99
20 FT WIND DIR..E E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 6 5 5 5 3 3 3 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.13 12 10 9 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 13 10 10 10 9 8 8 8 8 8 8
DISPERSION IDX..8 8 7 7 7 6 4 4 4 5 5 5
LVORI...........3 3 4 4 4 5 6 6 6 8 7 7
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4800 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 34.
LVORI...............7 DECREASING TO 5 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
DECREASING TO 3 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING
TO 1 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 3.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........73 77 79 80 80 81 82 83 78 73 69 63
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............56 56 57 62 66 69 72 75 75 76 76 73
RH..............94 96 96 90 84 79 71 63 61 60 59 66
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 9 9 10 12 12 13 13 12 12 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.1 2.0 3.0 3.8 4.5 4.8 4.6 3.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 10 12 10 9 9 8 8 9 9 9
DISPERSION IDX..5 4 6 10 15 25 33 29 32 37 36 31
LVORI...........6 7 6 5 4 3 3 3 1 1 1 3
FORECASTER...SHIVELEY
REQUESTED BY...LOGHAN LOMNECK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2600750.0/MLB
.DELDT 01/21/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL LOGHAN.LOMNECK@MYFWC.COM
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