926  
FNUS72 KMLB 220716  
FWSMLB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SE0505 (SSF)...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL  
216 AM EST THU JAN 22 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON JANUARY 22.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
INCREASED CLOUD COVER TODAY, BUT CONDITIONS SHOULD BE DRY. LIGHT  
NNE WINDS TURN TO THE NE AND INCREASE TO 5-12 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSION SHOULD BECOME FAIR TO GOOD BY AFTERNOON, WITH  
SMOKE DRIFTING SOUTHWESTWARD. LATE TONIGHT, THERE IS A LOW CHANCE  
FOR PATCHY FOG DEVELOPMENT, THOUGH ANY LINGERING SMOKE IN THE AREA  
WOULD INCREASE THIS RISK. LIGHT NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY WINDS MAY  
DRIFT ANY DEVELOPING FOG/SMOKE TOWARD NEARBY ROADS INCLUDING  
SR-44, THOUGH CONFIDENCE IN IMPACTS REMAINS LOW.  
 
THE REQUESTED HYSPLIT WILL BE SENT IN A SUBSEQUENT EMAIL.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.  
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO 2500 FT AGL LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....9 INCREASING TO 38.  
LVORI...............4 DECREASING TO 1 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........65 59 59 72 73 77 70 67  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............65 70 74 75 75 76 75 73  
RH..............81 71 64 60 62 58 60 64  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 12 12 13 13 13 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 2.2 3.3 4.4 4.5 4.4 4.1 2.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 8 8 8 8 9 12  
DISPERSION IDX..9 26 32 41 42 41 36 33  
LVORI...........4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....4.  
LVORI...............4 INCREASING TO 9.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........65 52 34 20 19 22 11 15 13 19 29 29  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............70 65 62 60 59 58 57 56 56 55 55 55  
RH..............71 81 90 96 96 100 100 100 100 100 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE N NE NE N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 10 9 9 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N NE N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 9 8 8 7 6 7 6 6 5  
DISPERSION IDX..4 5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 2  
LVORI...........3 4 6 7 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.  
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 6 TO  
7 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 30.  
LVORI...............9 DECREASING TO 2.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........29 40 30 21 11 11 10 10 14 18 21 22  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............54 55 55 62 68 72 76 79 79 79 79 75  
RH..............100 100 100 93 84 76 64 56 56 54 54 62  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 2 2 2 3 3 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 6 7 7 7 8 8 8 9 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.3 2.3 3.4 4.4 5.1 5.4 5.1 3.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NE NE E E E E E NE N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 5 5 5 6 6 5 5 5 5 6 7  
DISPERSION IDX..2 2 2 3 8 15 19 24 27 30 33 31  
LVORI...........9 9 9 6 4 4 2 2 2 1 1 1  
 
 
FORECASTER...HEIL  
REQUESTED BY...ANTONIO PARIS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2600803.0/MLB  
.DELDT 01/22/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ANTONIO.PARIS@FDACS.GOV  
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