298  
FNUS72 KMLB 220936  
FWSMLB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SJRWMD RX 3911...ST. JOHNS RIVER WATER MANAGMENT DISTRICT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL  
436 AM EST THU JAN 22 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EST ON JANUARY 22.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
INCREASED CLOUD COVER TODAY, BUT CONDITIONS SHOULD BE DRY. LIGHT  
NNE WINDS TURN TO THE NE AND INCREASE TO 5-12 MPH BY LATE  
MORNING. A FEW GUSTS UP TO AROUND 15 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. SMOKE  
DISPERSION SHOULD BECOME FAIR BY AFTERNOON, WITH SMOKE DRIFTING  
SOUTHWESTWARD.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.  
MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3600 FT AGL LATE IN  
THE MORNING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 TO 14 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 31.  
LVORI...............7 DECREASING TO 4 IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........77 64 60 72 68 76 81 78 77 76  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............61 65 70 73 75 75 75 75 74 72  
RH..............97 95 83 78 73 70 73 71 74 76  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 7 8 9 10 10 10 10 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 9 10 12 13 14 14 14 13 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.7 1.5 2.4 3.4 3.6 3.5 3.1 3.1 2.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 10 10 10 9 10 12 10 13 14  
DISPERSION IDX..4 9 20 28 30 34 35 33 30 27  
LVORI...........7 6 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 12 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....7.  
LVORI...............5 INCREASING TO 9.  
 
TIME (EST) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM  
SKY (%).........66 46 35 25  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0  
TEMP............70 64 62 61  
RH..............81 93 100 100  
20 FT WIND......NE 6G10 N 5G8 N 2G6 N 2G5  
MIX HGT (FT)....600 500 400 400  
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 12 NE 12 NE 8 NE 8  
DISPERSION IDX..10 6 4 4  
LVORI...........4 6 9 9  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.  
MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3900 FT AGL IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 8 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 32 IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............9 DECREASING TO 3.  
 
TIME (EST) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM  
SKY (%).........24 12 24  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 10  
TEMP............60 72 78  
RH..............100 84 68  
20 FT WIND......N 2G5 NE 5G7 NE 7G9  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 2400 3900  
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 7 NE 8 E 7  
DISPERSION IDX..3 24 32  
LVORI...........9 4 3  
 

 
FORECASTER...HEIL  
REQUESTED BY...JONATHAN BAKER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2600767.0/MLB  
.DELDT 01/22/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JABAKER@SJRWMD.COM  
 
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