210  
FNUS72 KMLB 222002  
FWSMLB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ST51 RX BURN...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL  
302 PM EST THU JAN 22 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON JANUARY 23.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
LIGHT NORTH WIND FRIDAY MORNING WILL TURN NORTHEAST BY  
AFTERNOON. DRY CONDITIONS FORECAST. DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE FAIR.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.  
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 6 TO 7 MPH LATE  
IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300 FT AGL LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO 800 FT AGL  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....11 INCREASING TO 23 IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN  
DECREASING TO 12 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............4 DECREASING TO 3 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........19 15 17 17 16 12 13 16  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............70 73 75 76 75 76 75 72  
RH..............80 73 67 64 64 63 66 71  
20 FT WIND DIR..NNE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 6 6 7 7 7 7 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 9 10 10 10 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 2.1 2.9 3.3 3.1 2.8 2.2 0.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 5 6 7 7 8 7 8  
DISPERSION IDX..9 12 20 26 26 25 19 12  
LVORI...........4 3 3 2 2 2 3 3  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....4.  
LVORI...............4 INCREASING TO 9.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........25 31 38 32 26 31 35 39 42 46 49 49  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............70 65 65 64 62 62 61 61 61 60 60 60  
RH..............78 93 91 95 98 98 97 98 98 99 100 99  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 10 10 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 9 8 7 7 8 8 8 7 7 7  
DISPERSION IDX..5 4 4 4 3 3 4 4 4 3 3 3  
LVORI...........4 6 6 7 9 9 8 9 9 9 9 9  
 

 
FORECASTER...KELLY  
REQUESTED BY...CARL ROGERS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2600908.0/MLB  
.DELDT 01/22/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CARL.ROGERS@FDACS.GOV  
 
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