126
FNUS72 KMLB 132256
FWSMLB
SPOT FORECAST FOR LAUNCH WILDFIRE...US WILDLAND FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
556 PM EST FRI FEB 13 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 EST ON FEBRUARY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 5-10 MPH CONTINUE INTO EARLY TONIGHT, THEN
DIMINISH TO AROUND 5 MPH THE REST OF THE NIGHT, SHIFTING MORE
NORTHERLY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. WINDS VEER THROUGH THE DAY
SATURDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN US PUSHES OFFSHORE, BUT
THERE IS SOME IN UNCERTAINTY IN DIRECTION DUE TO WEAKNESS OF THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT. GENERALLY, WINDS BECOMING NORTHEASTERLY TO
EASTERLY 5-10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON, THEN
SOUTHEASTERLY TO SOUTHERLY AROUND 5 MPH. THERE IS A VERY LOW
(10% OR LESS) CHANCE FOR AN ONSHORE MOVING SHOWER SATURDAY. SOUTH-
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS INCREASE SUNDAY AFTERNOON TO 10-15 MPH WITH
GUSTS APPROACHING 30 MPH AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. RAIN
AND LIGHTNING STORM CHANCES INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY SUNDAY,
HIGHEST IN THE LATE EVENING TO OVERNIGHT WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.
NO CRITICAL RH CONCERNS. DISPERSION VALUES FAIR TO GENERALLY GOOD,
BETTER ON SUNDAY.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....22 DECREASING TO 6.
LVORI...............3 INCREASING TO 6.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........10 15 19 16 15 17 17 17 17 14 12 18
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............63 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60
RH..............81 90 90 87 90 87 87 87 87 87 90 90
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.13 12 12 12 10 9 9 9 8 8 8 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.2 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.8 0.8 1.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N NE NE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 16 15 14 14 13 12 10 10 10 9
DISPERSION IDX..22 8 7 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 4 4
LVORI...........3 5 5 5 6 6 5 6 5 5 6 6
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....9 INCREASING TO 27.
LVORI...............6 DECREASING TO 4 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........17 17 15 11 13 15 15 16 16 15 26 30
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 10 10 0 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............59 60 61 64 66 67 68 68 68 68 69 68
RH..............90 90 93 87 81 78 73 76 76 76 73 76
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 6 6 7 8 9 9 9 9 8
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 9 10 12 12 13 14 14 14 14 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.0 1.4 2.0 2.2 2.1 2.0 2.0 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE E E E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 9 9 10 10 9 9 10 10 10 10
DISPERSION IDX..4 13 17 23 30 29 25 24 27 26 26 24
LVORI...........6 5 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
SATURDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....24 DECREASING 21.
LVORI...............4 INCREASING TO 5 EARLY IN THE EVENING. 9
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........42 52 53 57 61 61 62 63 64 66 68 67
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
TEMP............66 64 63 63 63 63 63 62 62 62 62 62
RH..............84 90 93 93 93 93 93 97 97 97 97 97
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 7 7 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 12 13 14 14 15 15 15 16 16 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 14 16 17 17 17 18 18 20 20 20 18
DISPERSION IDX..24 9 10 13 17 18 20 20 21 21 21 20
LVORI...........3 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF
SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO
20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....23 INCREASING TO 40.
LVORI...............5 DECREASING TO 3 LATE IN THE MORNING.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........66 65 62 59 56 56 56 56 52 48 43 54
WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 30 30 30 30 30 50 50 50 50 50
TEMP............62 63 65 67 69 70 70 70 71 71 71 70
RH..............100 97 93 87 84 81 78 78 76 76 79 81
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 10 12 14 14 15 16 16 17 17 18
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 16 17 18 20 21 25 25 24 25 25
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 1.5 1.6 1.8 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.1 1.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 15 15 15 15 16 16 17 18 18 20 21
DISPERSION IDX..18 27 28 30 32 35 36 38 39 39 40 42
LVORI...........5 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
FORECASTER...HALEY
REQUESTED BY...SAM ASHBAUGH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2602596.3/MLB
.DELDT 02/13/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL SAMUEL_ASHBAUGH@FWS.GOV
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