413
FNUS72 KMLB 051506
FWSMLB
SPOT FORECAST FOR HILOCHEE WMA PRESCRIBED BURN...FWC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1006 AM EST THU MAR 5 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON MARCH 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
MIN RHS ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES (AROUND 50%). SOUTHEAST WINDS 5-10
MPH THIS MORNING SHIFT MORE EAST-SOUTHEASTERLY AND CLOSER TO 10
MPH WITH OCCASIONALLY HIGHER GUSTS IN THE AFTERNOON BEHIND A
DIFFUSE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE. THERE IS A LOW (20-30%) CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS TO ACCOMPANY THE SEA BREEZE AFTER 2 PM. THERE IS A LOW
(20% OR LESS) CHANCE FOR LIGHTNING STORMS NEAR THE BURN SITE AFTER
2 PM, WITH THE HIGHEST CHANCES AFTER 6 PM WEST OF THE BURN SITE
ALONG THE SEA BREEZE COLLISION. RAIN CHANCES DIMINISH AFTER 9 PM.
AFTERNOON SMOKE DISPERSION GENERALLY GOOD.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4600 FT AGL LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO 2300 FT AGL
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....45 DECREASING TO 33 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3 DECREASING TO 1 LATE IN THE MORNING.
TIME (EST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........22 25 29 31 35 36 39 40
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 20 20 30 30 40
TEMP............77 81 84 84 86 84 84 83
RH..............74 63 57 54 52 53 54 57
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 8 8 8 8 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.14 15 15 14 14 14 14 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 3.3 4.0 4.5 4.6 3.6 2.8 2.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 14 12 9 8 9 9 12
DISPERSION IDX..47 45 49 49 46 40 32 34
LVORI...........3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....20 DECREASING TO 8.
LVORI...............4 INCREASING TO 9.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........35 29 33 34 38 42 39 35 39 50 57 57
WEATHER COV.....CHC SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0
TEMP............80 76 75 73 71 70 69 68 68 68 67 67
RH..............65 76 79 84 90 93 97 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 13 12 12 12 10 10 9 9 9 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 14 15 14 13 14 14 13 13 12 13 12
DISPERSION IDX..20 9 7 6 6 9 6 6 6 8 8 8
LVORI...........3 4 4 5 6 6 6 9 9 8 8 8
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200 FT AGL IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO
1900 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 25 EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 40 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
TO 49 IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON
DECREASING TO 36.
LVORI...............8 DECREASING TO 1.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........65 66 49 46 43 38 33 30 35 42 50 46
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 10 40 40 40 40 40
TEMP............67 68 68 73 77 80 82 85 85 85 85 83
RH..............100 98 97 85 75 67 61 55 54 52 51 57
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E SE SE SE E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 9
20 FT WIND GUST.9 10 12 13 14 15 16 16 16 15 15 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 1.3 2.0 2.5 3.3 3.9 4.2 3.8 3.1 2.4 1.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E SE SE SE E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 12 15 16 16 15 13 12 12 12 13 14
DISPERSION IDX..8 8 25 40 51 53 51 49 45 38 35 33
LVORI...........8 8 5 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
FORECASTER...HALEY
REQUESTED BY...LOGHAN LOMNECK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2604854.0/MLB
.DELDT 03/05/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL LOGHAN.LOMNECK@MYFWC.COM
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