777  
FNUS72 KMLB 110707  
FWSMLB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SFWMD - GARDNER MARSH 25...SFWMD  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL  
307 AM EDT WED MAR 11 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MARCH 11.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA TODAY WEAKENS INTO THURSDAY, AHEAD OF AN  
APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THEN FRONT IS FORECAST TO THEN MOVE THROUGH  
THE BURN AREA THURSDAY NIGHT. DRY CONDITIONS TODAY, WITH RAIN CHANCES  
BELOW 10 PERCENT. MUCH OF THE DAY ON THURSDAY LOOKS TO ALSO REMAIN DRY,  
AT LEAST THROUGH 2 PM, BEFORE SHOWER CHANCES INCREASE INTO THE EVENING  
AND OVERNIGHT. MIN RH REMAINS ABOVE 40 PERCENT. SOUTHERLY WINDS TODAY  
BACK SOUTHEASTERLY THIS EVENING AS THE SEA BREEZE MOVES THROUGH. THEN,  
WINDS BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY THURSDAY, WITH CONTINUED NEAR RECORD HIGH  
TEMPERATURES. VERY GOOD DISPERSION EACH AFTERNOON.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 12 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....9 INCREASING TO 66.  
LVORI...............9 DECREASING TO 1.  
 
TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........10 9 11 11 10 22 23  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............78 82 86 88 88 90 88  
RH..............76 65 53 47 45 42 43  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 7 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 12 12 13 13 13 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 3.3 4.3 5.4 5.9 6.4 6.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 10 10 9 8  
DISPERSION IDX..31 42 47 64 67 64 64  
LVORI...........3 1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 14 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....47 DECREASING TO 5.  
LVORI...............2 INCREASING TO 9.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 10 PM 2 AM  
SKY (%).........19 28 35  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0  
TEMP............88 75 69  
RH..............45 76 90  
20 FT WIND......SE 6G12 SE 6G10 S 5G8  
MIX HGT (FT)....5100 800 600  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 8 SE 13 S 8  
DISPERSION IDX..47 6 4  
LVORI...........1 4 6  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.  
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 20  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 84.  
LVORI...............9 DECREASING TO 1.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM  
SKY (%).........40 39 39  
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 50  
TEMP............66 73 86  
RH..............97 90 51  
20 FT WIND......S 2G6 SW 7G12 SW 10G20  
MIX HGT (FT)....500 2300 5200  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 10 SW 15 SW 20  
DISPERSION IDX..4 42 82  
LVORI...........8 4 1  
 
 
FORECASTER...LEAHY  
REQUESTED BY...JIM BLUSH  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2605263.0/MLB  
.DELDT 03/11/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JBLUSH@SFWMD.GOV  
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