101
FNUS72 KMLB 110713
FWSMLB
SPOT FORECAST FOR BC UNITS 47 79-W 83...FWC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
313 AM EDT WED MAR 11 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EDT ON MARCH 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
PATCHY FOG POSSIBLE NEAR THE BURN SITE EARLY THIS MORNING BEFORE LIFTING.
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA TODAY WEAKENS INTO THURSDAY, AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE FRONT IS FORECAST TO THEN MOVE THROUGH
THE BURN AREA THURSDAY NIGHT. DRY CONDITIONS TODAY, WITH RAIN CHANCES
BELOW 10 PERCENT. MUCH OF THE DAY ON THURSDAY LOOKS TO ALSO REMAIN DRY,
AT LEAST THROUGH 2 PM, BEFORE SHOWER CHANCES INCREASE INTO THE EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT. MIN RH REMAINS ABOVE 45 PERCENT. SOUTHERLY WINDS THIS
MORNING BACK SOUTHEASTERLY THIS AFTERNOON AS THE SEA BREEZE MOVES THROUGH.
THEN, WINDS BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY THURSDAY, WITH CONTINUED NEAR RECORD HIGH
TEMPERATURES. GOOD TO VERY GOOD DISPERSION EACH AFTERNOON.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE
MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 64 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
DECREASING TO 44.
LVORI...............9 DECREASING TO 1.
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........32 30 20 12 8 6 12 16 14 15 26
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG FOG
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............65 66 69 75 79 83 85 87 87 87 88
RH..............100 100 97 87 74 65 57 52 52 52 50
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 5 6 7 8 8 9 9 9
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 7 7 10 12 13 14 14 15 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.6 1.8 2.6 3.6 4.7 5.6 6.0 5.9 6.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 9 10 10 10 9 10 9 9 10
DISPERSION IDX..4 4 8 24 33 44 51 64 45 42 44
LVORI...........9 9 6 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL EARLY IN
THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 10
TO 14 MPH OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....40 DECREASING TO 8 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 8.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........25 20 25 37 32 42
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............86 79 73 71 70 67
RH..............53 67 84 87 90 97
20 FT WIND......SE 9 SE 8 SE 8 S 6 S 6 S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15 13 13 12 10 9
MIX HGT (FT)....4500 800 700 600 700 600
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 10 SE 14 SE 16 S 14 S 12 S 12
DISPERSION IDX..41 9 11 6 5 7
LVORI...........1 3 4 5 6 6
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 20
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 85.
LVORI...............9 EARLY IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 1.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........45 46 34 47
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 50
TEMP............67 69 83 88
RH..............97 97 65 48
20 FT WIND......S 3G7 S 5G8 SW 9G16 SW 10G18
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1300 4000 6300
TRANSPORT WIND..S 10 S 12 SW 17 SW 20
DISPERSION IDX..5 20 68 89
LVORI...........7 5 1 1
FORECASTER...LEAHY
REQUESTED BY...JARED DRAXLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2605345.0/MLB
.DELDT 03/11/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JARED.DRAXLER@MYFWC.COM
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