344
FNUS72 KMLB 120758
FWSMLB
SPOT FORECAST FOR BSP-02...BLUE SPRING STATE PARK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
358 AM EDT THU MAR 12 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON MARCH 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
BREEZY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS TODAY AROUND 15-20 MPH, WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE BURN SITE THIS EVENING, VEERING WINDS
NORTHERLY OVERNIGHT, BEFORE THEN BECOMING NORTHEASTERLY FRIDAY. WINDS WILL
REMAIN BREEZY THROUGH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE AND AROUND 10-15 MPH INTO FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. MOSTLY DRY THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN SHOWER CHANCES INCREASE
FROM 2 PM ONWARD INTO THE EVENING, AS THE FRONT APPROACHES. A FEW STORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE, MAINLY ALONG THE FRONT ITSELF. DRIER CONDITIONS WILL
DEVELOP OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY. MAIN THREATS WITH ANY STORMS WILL BE GUSTY
WINDS, LIGHTNING STRIKES, AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS. NO MIN RH CONCERNS. VERY GOOD
DISPERSION WILL APPROACH EXCELLENT THIS AFTERNOON.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 13
TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 28 MPH LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 22 TO 25
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON, THEN
SHIFTING TO THE WEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 78 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............8 DECREASING TO 1.
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........51 38 28 28 22 36 56 72 79 83
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 10 20 30 60 70
TEMP............68 69 74 78 82 84 85 85 84 81
RH..............93 97 87 74 67 61 57 57 61 69
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW SW SW W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..6 8 12 15 15 15 15 14 14 13
20 FT WIND GUST.14 17 22 25 26 28 29 29 28 28
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.7 2.8 3.5 4.0 4.8 5.3 4.6 4.2 2.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 17 22 24 25 25 25 24 23 20
DISPERSION IDX..15 38 67 63 70 76 78 77 69 43
LVORI...........5 4 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 24 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 9 TO 14 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 26 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST 17 TO 26 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....31 DECREASING TO 22 OVERNIGHT.
LVORI...............3 INCREASING TO 5 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........78 78 73 69 64 62
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........CHANCE S CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 40 10 0 10 10
TEMP............80 71 66 62 61 60
RH..............67 90 90 90 84 84
20 FT WIND......NW 10 N 9 N 13 N 14 N 13 N 10
20 FT WIND GUST.24 18 23 25 24 23
MIX HGT (FT)....2000 1100 1600 2100 2000 1400
TRANSPORT WIND..W 16 N 14 N 26 NE 25 NE 22 NE 18
DISPERSION IDX..31 13 29 31 26 20
LVORI...........3 5 4 4 4 4
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 8 TO 9 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700 FT AGL LATE IN
THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 7
TO 13 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....16 INCREASING TO 65 IN THE LATE MORNING.
LVORI...............4 DECREASING TO 1 IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........60 46 25 25
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 10
TEMP............60 62 73 79
RH..............84 90 73 60
20 FT WIND......N 8G21 NE 9G17 E 10G17 E 8G15
MIX HGT (FT)....1500 2300 3800 4500
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 18 NE 17 E 17 E 10
DISPERSION IDX..16 47 65 53
LVORI...........4 4 3 1
FORECASTER...LEAHY
REQUESTED BY...DUSTIN ALLEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2605415.1/MLB
.DELDT 03/12/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DUSTIN.L.ALLEN@FLORIDADEP.GOV,JAMES.TERRELL@FLORIDADEP.GOV
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