181
FNUS72 KMLB 230720
FWSMLB
SPOT FORECAST FOR RKS12...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
320 AM EDT MON MAR 23 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON MARCH 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
SENSITIVE TO CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST, AS MIN RH
VALUES APPROACH 35 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON AND WEST WINDS (10-15
MPH) OCCASIONALLY GUST TO 20 MPH. GOOD TO VERY GOOD SMOKE
DISPERSION IS FORECAST NEAR THE BURN SITE. COMBINED WITH
OCCASIONAL GUSTS, THESE CONDITIONS COULD LEAD TO CONTROL ISSUES.
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO REACH THE MID 80S.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE
MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
MORNING BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING WEST 6 TO
10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 21 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 42 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
TO 60 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 76
DECREASING TO 63 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............9 DECREASING TO 1.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........17 20 24 17 11 3 2 4 4 5 4 3
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG FOG FOG
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............57 56 58 60 67 73 76 79 82 82 83 83
RH..............100 100 93 93 75 64 54 47 40 38 37 36
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 3 6 7 9 9 10 9 9 10 10
20 FT WIND GUST.9 10 9 12 13 15 15 15 15 15 15 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.7 1.3 2.2 3.1 3.9 4.6 4.9 5.0 4.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 10 13 15 15 14 14 13 14 14
DISPERSION IDX..4 4 4 9 21 42 57 62 73 78 73 63
LVORI...........9 8 6 6 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH LATE
IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL EARLY IN
THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....60 DECREASING TO 8.
LVORI...............2 INCREASING TO 7.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........3 3 3 3 7 22
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............82 76 69 65 62 61
RH..............38 50 68 81 93 97
20 FT WIND......W 10 W 8 W 9 W 7 W 6 W 5
20 FT WIND GUST.16 18 20 17 13 13
MIX HGT (FT)....3600 800 800 700 600 500
TRANSPORT WIND..W 15 W 15 W 15 W 13 W 12 W 12
DISPERSION IDX..60 10 10 7 5 5
LVORI...........1 2 3 4 6 7
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL LATE IN
THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
12 TO 14 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 19 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 32 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
TO 45 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 36
DECREASING TO 27 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............8 DECREASING TO 6 EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN
DECREASING TO 4 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING
TO 2 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 3.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........40 30 31 61
WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ S CHC CHANCE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 20 20 50
TEMP............60 65 78 80
RH..............100 90 64 62
20 FT WIND......W 5G12 NW 6G12 N 9G15 NE 10G17
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1200 2900 2800
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 9 N 12 N 14 NE 12
DISPERSION IDX..5 19 48 38
LVORI...........8 4 1 2
FORECASTER...SCHAPER
REQUESTED BY...BENJAMIN BANDOR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2607148.0/MLB
.DELDT 03/23/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL BEN.BANDOR@FLORIDADEP.GOV
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