238  
FNUS72 KMLB 230725  
FWSMLB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SFWMD - GARDNER MARSH 11...SFWMD  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL  
325 AM EDT MON MAR 23 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MARCH 23.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
LIGHT WESTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY, REACHING 10-12  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON, OCCASIONALLY GUSTING 15 TO 20 MPH THROUGH  
EARLY EVENING. SENSITIVE TO CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST,  
AS MIN RH VALUES APPROACH 30 PERCENT. VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT  
SMOKE DISPERSION IS FORECAST NEAR THE BURN SITE. COMBINED WITH  
OCCASIONAL GUSTS, THESE CONDITIONS MAY LEAD TO CONTROL ISSUES.  
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO REACH THE MID 80S AS WELL.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.  
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 14 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....17 INCREASING TO 77.  
LVORI...............3 DECREASING TO 1 LATE IN THE MORNING.  
 
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........6 4 2 4 5 5 6 5  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............68 74 78 81 83 85 84 85  
RH..............70 57 45 39 34 31 32 31  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 9 10 10 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 13 14 14 13 13 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 2.1 3.2 4.3 5.2 5.6 5.9 6.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12 13 13 14 13 12 10  
DISPERSION IDX..17 31 50 66 79 79 76 75  
LVORI...........3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 14 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....65 DECREASING TO 7.  
LVORI...............2 INCREASING TO 9.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........3 2 2 2 3 9  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............83 76 67 63 60 58  
RH..............33 45 65 81 93 100  
20 FT WIND......W 9 W 7 W 8 NW 8 NW 6 NW 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 14 17 17 14 13  
MIX HGT (FT)....5000 600 600 500 500 500  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 10 W 12 W 14 W 12 W 10 W 12  
DISPERSION IDX..65 5 9 8 5 5  
LVORI...........1 2 3 4 6 8  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 5  
TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 30.  
LVORI...............9 DECREASING TO 2.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........20 17 15 32  
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 40  
TEMP............57 63 80 85  
RH..............100 90 56 46  
20 FT WIND......NW 3G9 NW 3G6 N 6G8 N 8G10  
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1000 3000 5100  
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 10 NW 9 N 6 N 5  
DISPERSION IDX..5 11 21 28  
LVORI...........8 5 2 2  
 

 
FORECASTER...SCHAPER  
REQUESTED BY...JIM BLUSH  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2607130.0/MLB  
.DELDT 03/23/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JBLUSH@SFWMD.GOV  
 
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