592
FNUS72 KMLB 231330
FWSMLB
SPOT FORECAST FOR HILOCHEE WMA PRESCRIBED BURN...FWC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
930 AM EDT MON MAR 23 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MARCH 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
SENSITIVE TO NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST
NEAR THE BURN SITE TODAY. A DRY AIR MASS SITUATED ACROSS THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA WILL CAUSE MINIMUM RH VALUES TO FALL INTO THE
MID 30S THIS AFTERNOON, WITH WESTERLY WINDS ANTICIPATED TO REACH
10 TO 15 MPH. AFTERNOON SMOKE DISPERSION VALUES ARE FORECAST TO BE
VERY GOOD THIS AFTERNOON THANKS TO SUFFICIENT WESTERLY TRANSPORT
WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH. RAIN IS NOT FORECAST NEAR THE SITE TODAY.
TUESDAY, MOISTURE INCREASES ACROSS THE AREA DUE TO AN APPROACHING
FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM THE NORTH, WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES RECOVERING
INTO THE MID 50S. WINDS BECOME MORE NORTH TO NORTHEAST AROUND 10
MPH. RAIN CHANCES INCREASE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND THERE IS A 20-30%
CHANCE FOR STORM DEVELOPMENT WITH THIS ACTIVITY. AFTERNOON SMOKE
DISPERSION VALUES ON TUESDAY BECOME GENERALLY GOOD NEAR THE BURN
SITE.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....18 INCREASING TO 69 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
DECREASING TO 47.
LVORI...............3 DECREASING TO 1.
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........13 1 2 4 5 5 5 5
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............67 73 77 80 82 82 82 83
RH..............75 64 52 44 38 38 37 36
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..7 9 9 10 10 12 12 12
20 FT WIND GUST.12 13 13 14 15 16 15 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 2.3 3.3 4.3 5.1 5.5 5.2 4.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 13 13 13 13 13 12 12
DISPERSION IDX..18 37 52 66 69 51 53 47
LVORI...........3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL EARLY IN
THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....50 DECREASING TO 5.
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 8.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........3 2 0 3 6 19
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............80 74 66 63 61 60
RH..............39 53 75 87 93 96
20 FT WIND......W 10 W 8 W 8 W 7 W 6 W 5
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 15 14 13 13
MIX HGT (FT)....3600 600 500 400 400 500
TRANSPORT WIND..W 13 W 13 W 12 W 10 W 10 W 12
DISPERSION IDX..50 8 8 5 5 5
LVORI...........1 2 4 5 7 8
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN
THE MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO 7 TO 9 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 48.
LVORI...............8 DECREASING TO 1.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........32 46 18 21 35 51
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ S CHC S CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 40 40
TEMP............60 59 69 78 84 81
RH..............96 100 81 62 51 56
20 FT WIND......W 3 NW 5 N 6 N 7 N 8 N 9
20 FT WIND GUST.9 7 9 10 12 13
MIX HGT (FT)....500 500 1600 3000 4400 3400
TRANSPORT WIND..W 9 N 9 N 10 N 9 NE 8 N 12
DISPERSION IDX..5 5 23 36 40 48
LVORI...........7 8 3 1 1 1
FORECASTER...TOLLEFSEN
REQUESTED BY...LOGHAN LOMNECK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2607278.0/MLB
.DELDT 03/23/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL LOGHAN.LOMNECK@MYFWC.COM
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