397
FXUS62 KMLB 300518
AFDMLB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
118 AM EDT MON MAR 30 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 258 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2026
- BREEZY AND GUSTY WINDS CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON, ESPECIALLY ALONG
THE COAST. WINDS GRADUALLY DIMINISH THIS EVENING AND INTO
TONIGHT.
- HAZARDOUS TO DANGEROUS BEACH AND BOATING CONDITIONS PERSIST AS A
RESULT OF THE STRONG WINDS AND HIGH SEAS. ENTERING THE OCEAN AS
EITHER A SWIMMER OR A MARINER IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED!
- SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA TODAY AND MONDAY, BECOMING MORE ISOLATED AND DIURNALLY-
DRIVEN FROM TUESDAY ONWARD.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 258 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2026
CURRENT-TONIGHT... THE COLD FRONT WHICH PASSED CENTRAL FLORIDA
YESTERDAY HAS STALLED ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY. HIGH
PRESSURE IS ANALYZED ALONG THE EASTERN U.S. SEABOARD, CENTERED NEAR
THE CAROLINA AND MID ATLANTIC COAST. GUSTY AND BREEZY EAST WINDS
HAVE CONTINUED LOCALLY, ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST WHERE SUSTAINED
WINDS HAVE BEEN OBSERVED UP TO 20-25 MPH, AND A WIND ADVISORY
REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL AREAS EAST OF I-95 THROUGH 4PM. ONSHORE
FLOW COMBINED WITH LINGERING MOISTURE BEHIND THE STALLED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY HAS SUPPORTED A DECK OF BROKEN LOW LEVEL CLOUDS AND
SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS ACROSS MUCH OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THIS
AFTERNOON. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO SUBSIDE INTO THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT, AND ROUNDS OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS SHOULD BECOME
MORE LIMITED TO THE COAST. LOW TEMPERATURES FALL INTO THE LOW TO MID
60S EARLY MONDAY, REMAINING SLIGHTLY WARMER ALONG THE BREVARD AND
TREASURE COASTS.
BUILDING NEARSHORE SEAS WILL MAINTAIN HAZARDOUS BEACH CONDITIONS. A
HIGH SURF ADVISORY CONTINUES ALONG THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST
FOR LARGE BREAKING WAVES OF 7-12 FT AND ROUGH SURF. A HIGH RISK OF
LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS IS ALSO PRESENT. ENTERING THE SURF IS
STRONGLY DISCOURAGED!
MONDAY-TUESDAY... MID LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS OVERHEAD EARLY THIS WEEK.
MEANWHILE AT THE SURFACE, A RIDGE AXIS REMAINS NORTH OF THE LOCAL
AREA KEEPING ONSHORE WINDS IN PLACE. A COLUMN OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
MOSTLY BELOW 700 MB SHOULD SUPPORT CONTINUED ROUNDS OF SCATTERED
ONSHORE-MOVING SHOWERS MONDAY (40-60%), WITH COVERAGE BECOMING
MORE DIURNALLY DRIVEN ON TUESDAY (30-50%). SOUNDING PROFILES
SUGGEST THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD GENERALLY REMAIN SHALLOW, AND THERE
IS LOW CONFIDENCE FOR STORM DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. HIGH
TEMPERATURES RANGING THE UPPER 70S TO LOW 80S ON MONDAY SHOULD
MORE WIDELY RANGE THE LOW 80S INTO TUESDAY. LOWS TEMPERATURES HOLD
STEADY IN THE LOW TO MID 60S, CONTINUING TO REMAIN SLIGHTLY
WARMER ALONG THE BREVARD AND TREASURE COAST EACH DAY.
ELEVATED SEAS WILL BE SLOW TO SUBSIDE THROUGH EARLY THIS WEEK
DESPITE LIGHTER WINDS. HAZARDOUS BEACH CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
PERSIST, ESPECIALLY ALONG THE TREASURE COAST WHERE LARGE BREAKING
WAVES AND ROUGH SURF IS EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. A HIGH RISK OF LIFE-
THREATENING RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE INTO AT LEAST MID WEEK AND
ENTERING THE WATER IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED!
WEDNESDAY-SATURDAY... THE LOCAL SYNOPTIC PATTERN REMAINS LARGELY
UNCHANGED MID TO LATE WEEK AS ONSHORE SURFACE FLOW PERSISTS. CURRENT
TRENDS MAY SUGGEST SOME DRYING ON WEDNESDAY WHILE PASSING PLUMES OF
MOISTURE COULD THEN SUPPORT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS ALONG AND
AHEAD OF THE SEA BREEZE FROM THURSDAY ONWARD. TEMPERATURES IN THE
LOW TO MID 80S ON WEDNESDAY CONTINUE TO TREND ABOVE NORMAL EACH DAY,
REACHING THE UPPER 80S ACROSS THE FAR INTERIOR LATE WEEK. LOWS IN
THE LOW TO MID 60S GRADUALLY WARM EACH DAY REACHING THE MID TO UPPER
60S BY THE END OF THE WEEK.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 258 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2026
HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS CONTINUE AS EAST WINDS 20-30 KTS BUILD
SEAS TO 9-13 FT. WINDS GRADUALLY SUBSIDE OVERNIGHT MOSTLY BECOMING
EAST 15-20 KTS INTO MONDAY. HOWEVER, SEAS WILL BE SLOWER TO
DIMINISH, GRADUALLY FALLING TO 5-7 FT BY EARLY TUESDAY. SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT ACROSS ALL LEGS OF THE LOCAL
ATLANTIC WATERS AND WILL LIKELY PERSIST ACROSS MOST SECTIONS THROUGH
EARLY THIS WEEK FOR CONTINUED HAZARDOUS SEAS. ROUNDS OF ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED ONSHORE-MOVING SHOWERS ARE FORECAST THROUGH TUESDAY,
DRYING SOME ON WEDNESDAY.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 116 AM EDT MON MAR 30 2026
MODERATE ONSHORE (ERLY) FLOW 10-15 KTS (HIGHER GUSTS - STRONGEST
ALONG THE COAST) CONTINUES THRU THE PERIOD. GENERALLY LOW VFR
(OCNL MVFR) CIGS, BUT BRIEF MVFR/IFR IN SCT SHOWERY PRECIP (ISOLD
LIGHTNING), WITH MODEST MOISTURE IN PLACE. HAVE VCSH WORDING IN
PLACE AND WILL UTILIZE TEMPO GROUPS AS NECESSARY. WINDS DIMINISH
TO AROUND 5 KTS INTERIOR AND NEAR 10 KTS AT THE COAST LATER THIS
(MON) EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 78 64 80 64 / 20 10 30 10
MCO 81 65 82 65 / 30 0 40 0
MLB 79 67 80 67 / 30 10 40 10
VRB 79 66 80 66 / 30 10 40 10
LEE 82 64 85 64 / 30 0 30 0
SFB 81 64 82 64 / 30 10 30 10
ORL 81 65 82 65 / 30 0 40 0
FPR 79 65 80 65 / 40 10 40 10
MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 2 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING FOR FLZ141-
347-447-647-747.
HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR FLZ154-159-
164.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR AMZ550.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR AMZ552-555-570-
572-575.
DISCUSSION...LAW
AVIATION...SEDLOCK
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