342
FNUS72 KMLB 160750
FWSMLB
SPOT FORECAST FOR JDSP E14 C2/3/4...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
350 AM EDT THU APR 16 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON APRIL 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST NEAR THE BURN SITE TODAY INTO FRIDAY AS
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS SITUATED OVERHEAD. MINIMUM RH VALUES FALL
INTO THE MID TO UPPER 50S EACH AFTERNOON, REMAINING WELL ABOVE
CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS EARLY IN THE MORNING
BECOME EASTERLY AROUND 10 MPH AS THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE
DEVELOPS AND MOVES INLAND, BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE ONCE AGAIN
INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. AFTERNOON SMOKE DISPERSION VALUES WILL
BE FAIR TO GENERALLY GOOD NEAR THE BURN SITE.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN
THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200 FT AGL IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 49 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
DECREASING TO 35 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5 DECREASING TO 1.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........42 41 34 34 39 44 42 50 49 37 35 39
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............66 67 68 72 75 78 79 79 79 79 79 80
RH..............84 81 81 71 64 58 56 56 58 58 58 56
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 5 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 12 12 12 13 13 13 13 13 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 0.5 2.4 2.6 3.7 4.1 4.0 4.2 3.9 3.9 3.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 9 9 10 10 9 8 8 8 8 8
DISPERSION IDX..3 4 6 28 41 49 45 38 40 38 37 35
LVORI...........5 5 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL EARLY IN
THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....36 DECREASING TO 2.
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 6.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........35 36 42 41 35 35
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............78 75 72 70 70 69
RH..............60 66 76 84 87 87
20 FT WIND......E 7 E 5 E 3 E 3 E 2 E 2
20 FT WIND GUST.14 13 13 12 10 8
MIX HGT (FT)....3200 500 400 400 400 400
TRANSPORT WIND..E 9 E 9 E 8 E 8 E 7 SE 5
DISPERSION IDX..36 4 4 4 3 2
LVORI...........1 3 4 5 6 6
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH LATE
IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
AROUND 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2 INCREASING TO 39.
LVORI...............8 DECREASING TO 1.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........30 26 20 22 24 17
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............67 69 76 82 83 82
RH..............97 93 74 61 61 63
20 FT WIND......N 2 N 2 N 2 NE 6 NE 8 E 9
20 FT WIND GUST.7 6 8 10 13 15
MIX HGT (FT)....400 500 3000 4500 4000 3600
TRANSPORT WIND..E 5 N 5 NE 7 NE 7 NE 8 E 9
DISPERSION IDX..2 3 27 38 38 39
LVORI...........8 6 3 1 1 1
FORECASTER...TOLLEFSEN
REQUESTED BY...ROB ROSSMANITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2610471.0/MLB
.DELDT 04/16/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ROBIN.ROSSMANITH@FLORIDADEP.GOV
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