549
FNUS72 KMLB 160817
FWSMLB
SPOT FORECAST FOR RKS12N...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
417 AM EDT THU APR 16 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON APRIL 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
SLIGHT CHANCE OF FOG DEVELOPMENT NEAR THE BURN SITE THIS MORNING,
BUT CONFIDENCE IN THIS REMAINS VERY LOW. ANY FOG THAT DOES MANAGE
TO DEVELOP WILL DIMINISH AFTER SUNRISE. DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS
PERSIST ACROSS THE AREA, WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES FORECAST TO REACH
NEAR TO CRITICAL THRESHOLDS TODAY AND FRIDAY. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS DURING THE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS PICK UP OUT OF
THE EAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH AS THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE MOVES INLAND.
AFTERNOON SMOKE DISPERSION VALUES ARE FORECAST TO BE FAIR EACH
DAY NEAR THE BURN SITE. PATCHY FOG DEVELOPMENT WILL BE POSSIBLE
ONCE AGAIN LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING, BUT SIMILAR TO
THIS MORNING, CONFIDENCE REMAINS VERY LOW. ANY FOG THAT DOES
DEVELOP WILL DIMINISH AFTER SUNRISE.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE
MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 34.
LVORI...............8 DECREASING TO 1.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........16 24 29 24 21 22 19 25 34 27 28 27
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG FOG
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............59 60 61 66 73 76 79 81 84 85 85 86
RH..............96 96 93 78 62 58 50 47 43 40 40 39
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE E SE S S SE E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 5 5 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5 3 3 3 5 6 7 8 8 9 9 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.8 3.2 4.1 4.4 4.6 4.8 5.0 5.2 5.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 6 5 7 3 3 3 5 5 5 6
DISPERSION IDX..3 3 3 5 26 18 20 20 28 29 32 34
LVORI...........8 8 6 4 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
3 AM.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO 9
MPH OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....32 DECREASING TO 4.
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 6.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........23 14 18 5 6 5
WEATHER COV..... PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE FOG
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............84 78 72 69 66 63
RH..............43 56 68 76 84 93
20 FT WIND......E 6 E 7 SE 6 SE 3 S 2 SW 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10 13 10 8 6 3
MIX HGT (FT)....4600 800 700 600 400 400
TRANSPORT WIND..E 6 E 12 E 10 SE 9 S 7 S 5
DISPERSION IDX..32 5 5 4 3 2
LVORI...........1 3 3 4 5 6
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE
MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE EAST 3 TO 5 MPH LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2 INCREASING TO 32.
LVORI...............10 DECREASING TO 1.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........6 21 4 2 4 4
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............61 63 73 83 88 90
RH..............100 97 71 49 38 34
20 FT WIND......SW 1 W 1 W 1 NW 2 E 3 E 5
20 FT WIND GUST.3 2 3 6 7 8
MIX HGT (FT)....400 400 2500 4400 5900 6800
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 3 SW 3 W 5 N 6 E 3 SE 3
DISPERSION IDX..2 2 17 32 25 28
LVORI...........10 8 3 1 2 2
FORECASTER...TOLLEFSEN
REQUESTED BY...BENJAMIN BANDOR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2610467.0/MLB
.DELDT 04/16/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL BEN.BANDOR@FLORIDADEP.GOV
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