045  
FNUS72 KMLB 160833  
FWSMLB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SALT LAKE WMA UNIT 18...FWC  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL  
433 AM EDT THU APR 16 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON APRIL 16.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE NEAR THE BURN  
SITE TODAY AND INTO FRIDAY. MINIMUM RH VALUES ARE FORECAST TO  
REMAIN WELL ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS  
WILL BECOME EASTERLY AROUND 10 MPH EACH AFTERNOON AS THE EAST  
COAST SEA BREEZE DEVELOPS AND MOVES INLAND. AFTERNOON SMOKE  
DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE FAIR NEAR THE BURN SITE TODAY AND  
FRIDAY. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR PATCHY FOG DEVELOPMENT NEAR  
THE BURN SITE LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING, WHICH COULD  
LEAD TO VISIBILITY CONCERNS, BUT CONFIDENCE IN DEVELOPMENT REMAINS  
VERY LOW. IF ANY FOG MANAGES TO DEVELOP, IT IS ANTICIPATED TO  
DIMINISH AFTER SUNRISE.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.  
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400 FT AGL IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 8 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 38.  
LVORI...............4 DECREASING TO 1.  
 
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........29 29 32 38 37 41 43 37 35  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............68 73 77 78 80 80 81 82 80  
RH..............78 68 60 58 54 54 53 51 54  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 2 5 6 7 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 5 6 8 9 10 12 12 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 3.1 4.0 4.1 4.4 4.3 4.2 3.9 3.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 6 5 5 6 7 7 8 8  
DISPERSION IDX..3 23 23 24 32 37 36 38 36  
LVORI...........4 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER  
3 AM.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL EARLY IN  
THE EVENING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
DISPERSION INDEX....35 DECREASING TO 3.  
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 7.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........34 30 23 18 8 9  
WEATHER COV..... PATCHY  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE FOG  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............79 72 70 67 65 63  
RH..............56 71 78 87 93 97  
20 FT WIND......E 7 E 6 SE 5 SE 3 S 2 S 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 10 9 8 6 5  
MIX HGT (FT)....3000 600 500 400 400 400  
TRANSPORT WIND..E 9 E 9 SE 8 SE 7 S 7 S 6  
DISPERSION IDX..35 4 4 3 3 3  
LVORI...........1 3 4 6 6 7  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.  
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5  
TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO  
THE EAST 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....2 INCREASING TO 41.  
LVORI...............10 DECREASING TO 1.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........12 17 5 3 4 4  
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY PATCHY  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............61 63 74 84 86 85  
RH..............100 97 69 49 43 43  
20 FT WIND......W 1 W 1 W 1 N 3 E 6 E 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 2 3 6 9 12  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 400 2700 4600 5100 5100  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 3 W 3 W 5 N 6 E 6 E 7  
DISPERSION IDX..2 2 15 33 36 41  
LVORI...........10 8 3 1 1 1  
 

 
FORECASTER...TOLLEFSEN  
REQUESTED BY...DAVID TURNER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2610449.0/MLB  
.DELDT 04/16/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DAVID.TURNER@MYFWC.COM  
 
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