642
FNUS72 KMLB 160840
FWSMLB
SPOT FORECAST FOR SSR 74 RX...FDEP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
440 AM EDT THU APR 16 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EDT ON APRIL 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE NEAR THE BURN
SITE TODAY AND INTO FRIDAY. MINIMUM RH VALUES ARE FORECAST TO
REMAIN WELL ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS
WILL BECOME EASTERLY AROUND 10 MPH EACH AFTERNOON AS THE EAST
COAST SEA BREEZE DEVELOPS AND MOVES INLAND. AFTERNOON SMOKE
DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE GENERALLY GOOD NEAR THE BURN SITE TODAY
AND FRIDAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 6 TO 10 MPH LATE IN
THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4300 FT AGL IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 45.
LVORI...............6 DECREASING TO 1.
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........26 38 34 33 42 46 42 40 40 41 30
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............64 65 69 75 78 79 80 80 82 80 80
RH..............87 84 76 62 58 56 54 54 51 54 54
20 FT WIND DIR..SE E E E E E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 6 6 8 9 9 10 9
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 8 9 9 10 13 13 14 14 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.4 0.8 3.4 4.3 4.1 4.2 4.2 4.1 3.8 3.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE E E E E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 8 8 7 7 7 8 9 9 9
DISPERSION IDX..3 3 8 35 37 34 36 41 45 45 42
LVORI...........6 5 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL EARLY IN
THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO 7
MPH AFTER 3 AM.
DISPERSION INDEX....36 DECREASING TO 3.
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 6.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........27 30 29 24 17 12
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............79 73 70 69 67 65
RH..............56 71 78 81 87 90
20 FT WIND......E 8 E 6 E 5 E 3 SE 3 S 2
20 FT WIND GUST.14 13 10 9 8 6
MIX HGT (FT)....3100 600 400 400 400 400
TRANSPORT WIND..E 9 E 8 E 8 SE 7 SE 7 S 6
DISPERSION IDX..36 4 4 3 3 3
LVORI...........1 3 4 5 6 6
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 5 TO
9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....2 INCREASING TO 44.
LVORI...............10 DECREASING TO 1.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........13 16 5 5 6 5
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............63 65 76 84 85 84
RH..............97 93 66 51 48 51
20 FT WIND......NW 2 NW 2 N 2 NE 5 E 8 E 10
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 8 13 15
MIX HGT (FT)....400 400 2600 4300 4500 4100
TRANSPORT WIND..W 3 NW 3 N 3 NE 5 E 8 E 9
DISPERSION IDX..2 2 12 26 43 44
LVORI...........10 7 3 2 1 1
FORECASTER...TOLLEFSEN
REQUESTED BY...BURN BOSS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2610456.0/MLB
.DELDT 04/16/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL PATRICK.SULLIVAN@FLORIDADEP.GOV
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