172  
FNUS72 KMLB 170736  
FWSMLB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR JDSP E2...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL  
336 AM EDT FRI APR 17 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON APRIL 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS THIS MORNING INCREASE OUT OF THE  
NORTHEAST, REACHING 10-12 MPH BY MIDDAY AS THE SEA BREEZE  
DEVELOPS. AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR TWO CANNOT BE RULED OUT THROUGH  
EARLY AFTERNOON, THOUGH MOST OF THE DAY WILL SUPPORT DRY  
CONDITIONS. THERE ARE NO MIN RH CONCERNS AT THE BURN SITE, AND  
POOR TO FAIR SMOKE DISPERSION IS FORECAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.  
MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH LATE  
IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900 FT AGL LATE IN  
THE MORNING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 30.  
LVORI...............7 DECREASING TO 4 IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........41 47 52 48 44 44 34 27 23  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 0  
TEMP............73 77 79 80 81 82 80 80 80  
RH..............90 79 74 72 69 67 72 72 69  
20 FT WIND DIR..N NE NE NE NE NE NE E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 6 8 9 10 10 10 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 10 13 14 15 15 15 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 2.3 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.9 2.9 2.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 6 7 8 9 10 9 9  
DISPERSION IDX..5 13 18 22 25 31 34 33 33  
LVORI...........6 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.  
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL EARLY IN  
THE EVENING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 12 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....32 DECREASING TO 4 EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
LVORI...............4 INCREASING TO 7.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........17 14 18 18 23 25 27 30 30 22 22 40  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............79 77 75 75 74 73 73 72 72 71 71 70  
RH..............74 76 84 84 84 87 87 90 90 93 90 93  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 6 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 2 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 13 13 13 13 13 12 12 10 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 1.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 1.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12 12 12 12 12 10 12 10 9 8 7  
DISPERSION IDX..35 28 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 3 3  
LVORI...........3 3 4 5 5 5 5 6 6 7 6 6  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.  
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 6 TO 9 MPH LATE IN  
THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 9 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 19 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 29 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING  
TO 38 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 31.  
LVORI...............8 DECREASING TO 2.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........29 32 30 28 30 30 31 32 33 28 23 18  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............69 70 71 74 78 82 83 84 85 84 83 82  
RH..............97 93 90 84 76 67 65 61 59 61 63 67  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE E E E E E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 2 2 3 6 7 8 9 9 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 8 8 7 8 10 12 13 14 15 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.5 2.2 3.1 3.5 3.9 4.0 4.0 3.8 3.5 3.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE E E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 5 5 6 6 6 7 8 9 9 8 8  
DISPERSION IDX..2 2 3 15 22 25 32 36 41 39 35 31  
LVORI...........8 6 6 4 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 2  
 

 
FORECASTER...SCHAPER  
REQUESTED BY...ROB ROSSMANITH  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2610583.0/MLB  
.DELDT 04/17/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ROBIN.ROSSMANITH@FLORIDADEP.GOV  
 
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