217  
FNUS72 KMLB 240745  
FWSMLB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR TOSOHATCHEE UNIT 3B...FWC  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL  
345 AM EDT FRI JUL 24 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON JULY 24.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW THIS MORNING WILL INCREASE TO  
7 TO 10 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS. A GRADUAL MOISTENING OF THE  
ATMOSPHERE INTO THE WEEKEND IS FORECAST. HAVE BASICALLY KEPT  
PRECIPITATION CHANCES AROUND 10-15 PERCENT WITH MENTION OF WEATHER  
COVERAGE AND TYPE ABSENT FROM THE FORECAST TODAY, BUT CANNOT RULE  
OUT AN ISOLATED BRIEF SHOWER OR STORM THIS AFTERNOON. ANY POTENTIAL  
CELLS WILL MOVE FROM EAST TO WEST AT 10-15 MPH. LIGHT AND VARIABLE  
FLOW SATURDAY WILL TRANSITION ONSHORE LATER IN THE AFTERNOON WITH  
EVENTUAL SEA BREEZE PASSAGE AND A SLIGHTLY HIGHER CHANCE FOR  
PRECIPITATION. GRADUALLY INCREASING SHOWER AND STORM CHANCES CONTINUE  
LATER INTO THE WEEKEND. SMOKE DISPERSION FAIR TO GENERALLY GOOD.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10-15 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.  
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4600 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 10 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....INCREASING TO AROUND 52.  
LVORI...............4 DECREASING TO 1.  
 
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........31 36 34 33 42 48 38 32 27  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 10 15 15 15 15  
TEMP............82 86 89 91 91 92 92 93 91  
RH..............85 75 66 62 62 60 58 56 60  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 7 8 9 10 10 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 8 10 13 15 16 17 16 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 3.1 3.8 4.4 4.6 4.5 4.2 4.0 3.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 7 8 9 10 10 10 10  
DISPERSION IDX..14 24 32 44 51 52 50 46 46  
LVORI...........4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.  
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL EARLY IN  
THE EVENING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH  
OVERNIGHT.  
DISPERSION INDEX....DECREASING TO 2 TO 4.  
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 8.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........28 18 18 13 9 17 18 22 23 18 31 31  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............89 88 84 82 81 80 79 78 78 78 77 77  
RH..............61 66 74 79 85 88 91 94 94 94 97 97  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E SE SE SE N N N S  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 7 5 3 2 1 1 0 0 0 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 13 10 8 6 3 2 2 1 1 2 2  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.5 2.9 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E SE SE SE S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 8 8 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 5  
DISPERSION IDX..44 35 4 3 3 3 2 3 2 2 2 2  
LVORI...........1 3 3 4 5 6 6 6 6 7 7 8  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MID TO LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97.  
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST  
5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL LATE IN  
THE MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 3900 FT AGL  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE  
AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 7  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....INCREASING TO AROUND 46.  
LVORI...............8 DECREASING TO 1.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........36 37 40 30 30 39 28 29 42 45 62 54  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 20 20  
TEMP............77 76 78 82 87 90 92 94 95 95 96 92  
RH..............97 97 97 88 75 66 60 56 53 53 51 60  
20 FT WIND DIR..S N N SW SW SW W W SW S SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 0 0 1 2 3 3 3 3 5 6 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 2 2 5 6 6 7 8 8 9 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.6 1.7 2.6 3.7 4.5 5.6 6.0 7.0 6.1 3.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW SW W W W W W S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 3 3 6 5 6 5 5 3 6 6 7  
DISPERSION IDX..2 2 2 12 18 26 26 30 31 46 45 35  
LVORI...........8 8 8 4 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1  
 
 
FORECASTER...SEDLOCK  
REQUESTED BY...KRISTOPHER BROWN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2618064.0/MLB  
.DELDT 07/24/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL KRISTOPHER.BROWN@MYFWC.COM  
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